1. #1
    dontknowhowtobet
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    Pay attention to these NBA lines

    You say I am not posting picks beforehand, after I won $5,200 in the last 2 days. (and got it paid by the way, because I encouraged people to use normal bookies and not dodgy ones)

    Look:



    There are only 2 games tonight, and the line with the spread is something I less care about.
    The under/over in both of these 2 games is around the 200.

    That requires 50 points per quarter in average.
    I am suggesting to everyone, now, beforehand, to wait for the LIVE BETTING and bet based on that, because when there are only 2 single NBA games in a day there ain't many choices!!

    Vegas knows this and the line should remain close to the 200 at least in one of these games, so you bet based on that.

    I cannot know how it would go, but I can tell you that I am going to bet based on these original lines

    So don't say I don't try to help beforehand, boeing power!

  2. #2
    dontknowhowtobet
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    DO NOT bet $385,000 to win $350,000 before the game starts ... in live betting the chances to catch a lower number than 198 are greater!!!!

  3. #3
    BabyMatrix27
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    unfortunately, my sportsbook doesnt do live bets! Only Game, qtr and halves... I think both games go over listed total but what would you pick for these games?

  4. #4
    dontknowhowtobet
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    Quote Originally Posted by BabyMatrix27 View Post
    unfortunately, my sportsbook doesnt do live bets! Only Game, qtr and halves... I think both games go over listed total but what would you pick for these games?
    It's hard to tell but from a 1st glance the OVER in Dallas / Miami looks promising ... Dallas has started scoring with lots of 3 pointers, Miami got LeBron (who's celebrating his birthday in 10 days) and it looks like a game which could go Overtime as well ....

    But it's too early to say, I doubt it would be a 60 points in the 1st quarter, hence I wanna take the live betting here.

  5. #5
    Mocknroll
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    There are actually 3 games tomorrow, and should be another game that will open just over 200. I predict 203.

    Secondly, I didn't realize that players who are 10 days away from a birthday are likely to put up huge numbers and contribute to overs? Great trend. I'm on it.

  6. #6
    ngates815
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    Thanks for the great write ups!!!!

    Are you telling us to take okc ml and Dallas ml? I'm very confused. I noticed you mention its LeBron James birthday in 10 days and therefore take the over, but personally when its someone's birthday in 10 days I normally like to take the opposite team and I think most of the forum would agree. I think you only take the over in the game when its a guy on the teams birthday month, but when it gets within 10 days they usually don't go with that and take the opposite team all together. Maybe I'm just rambling, I don't know.

  7. #7
    GIVEMETHEMONEY
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    What teams are you looking to bet on?

    I kind of see what you are saying. The line movements are like the Stock Market indicators, mostly about buyers and perceived value on who will win.

    So who are you looking to take in these games and why?

    Can you elaborate some more please?

  8. #8
    hubbard689
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    Obv the play here is Miami -5, LeBron 10 days away from his bday he's gonna go OFF!!

  9. #9
    pellumb341
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    he is saying to bet the "over" ,but not to do it before the game.He is saying to do it live (in-play) because there are better chances to catch a better line.If there are less than 50 points in first quarter ,it means that at the beginning of 2nd qtr the total will be less than 198.5 This is the moment to bet the "over"

  10. #10
    dontknowhowtobet
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    Quote Originally Posted by pellumb341 View Post
    he is saying to bet the "over" ,but not to do it before the game.He is saying to do it live (in-play) because there are better chances to catch a better line.If there are less than 50 points in first quarter ,it means that at the beginning of 2nd qtr the total will be less than 198.5 This is the moment to bet the "over"
    E-X-A-C-T-L-Y.

    Thank you Pellumb.
    Is my English okay or I need to improve it??

  11. #11
    dontknowhowtobet
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    Quote Originally Posted by ngates815 View Post
    but personally when its someone's birthday in 10 days I normally like to take the opposite team
    That's what you do on his birthday ... in 2008 he had 4 losses in a row!!!
    Don't do it now and I don't care about Money line now ... he's just getting warmed up, also Xmas is coming, should be entertaining game, not a low scoring one, that's all I'm saying.



    Watch this video.
    It has nice background music.
    This video shows you what you do on LeBron James birthday.

  12. #12
    milwaukee mike
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    your local has livebetting?

  13. #13
    face
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    7 days before birthday is the key number. also you want to look deeper to find mother's birthdays, and if they will be in attendance. most handicappers know this so i don't have to tell you. also moon cycles of course and never bet against the more powerful mascot unless they are on the road.

  14. #14
    dontknowhowtobet
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    Quote Originally Posted by face View Post
    7 days before birthday is the key number. also you want to look deeper to find mother's birthdays, and if they will be in attendance. most handicappers know this so i don't have to tell you. also moon cycles of course and never bet against the more powerful mascot unless they are on the road.

  15. #15
    dontknowhowtobet
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    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    your local has livebetting?
    Me?

  16. #16
    konck
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    Another ghost of a FAILED poster take a hike pal GFY

  17. #17
    konck
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    You know he is a ghost just suking in 6pts a day he is so sharp that he doesnt gamble his betpoints lol lets watch and see who gets his pts so we can have this nigit banned.
    His next post will be I dont bet pts they have no value to me lol Like littleassreemer and pickuranalallday say
    then as soon as they win the rare fp they drool over gambling it lol

  18. #18
    dontknowhowtobet
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    Quote Originally Posted by konck View Post
    You know he is a ghost just suking in 6pts a day he is so sharp that he doesnt gamble his betpoints lol lets watch and see who gets his pts so we can have this nigit banned.
    His next post will be I dont bet pts they have no value to me lol Like littleassreemer and pickuranalallday say
    then as soon as they win the rare fp they drool over gambling it lol

  19. #19
    dontknowhowtobet
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    Quote Originally Posted by konck View Post
    he is so sharp that he doesnt gamble his betpoints

    Never said I'm shap.
    But I wanna see you, American guy, taking a flight to the UK, from abroad, just like me.

    1) Betting £15,500 GBP on Obama.
    2) Paying for flight + hotel
    3) Sticking to your bet even in hard times when InTrade.com is trying to scare you.
    4) Collecting your £6,000 ($10,000) profit.

    You're good in typing behind the screen, I wanna see you, smart guy, DOING ALL THAT (link) and then you can talk, ok??

  20. #20
    Ra77er
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    Shapping right now as a matter of fact

  21. #21
    smoke a bowl
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    Could be the most non-winning strategy ever posted on a forum which is saying a lot.
    Last edited by smoke a bowl; 12-20-12 at 09:26 AM.

  22. #22
    IGotKidsToFeed
    Sic 'Em
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    I try to Shap at least once a day, wife gets mad if I dont

  23. #23
    VegasInsider
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    So you have two strategies??

    1. Wait for live betting to open and make plays

    2. Bet a huge percentage of your bankroll on each play

    The fact that you've made $5K in the past two days doesn't bother me. What bothers me is that you feel like you've hit the lottery when you laid $1K on last nights Kings/Warriors total. You WILL run cold, which means you WILL go broke using this poor money management.

  24. #24
    thunderous
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    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    your local has livebetting?
    Don't know if its sarcastic or not but mine does but only for TNT and ESPN games in NBA and in NFL certain 1pm games and certain 4pm games.

  25. #25
    dontknowhowtobet
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    Quote Originally Posted by VegasInsider View Post
    So you have two strategies??

    1. Wait for live betting to open and make plays

    2. Bet a huge percentage of your bankroll on each play

    The fact that you've made $5K in the past two days doesn't bother me. What bothers me is that you feel like you've hit the lottery when you laid $1K on last nights Kings/Warriors total. You WILL run cold, which means you WILL go broke using this poor money management.
    There is no straightforward strategy for me, VegasInsider, I look for what seems reasonable and bet on it.
    Could be very likely, that I won't play these 2 NBA games tonight!! if I don't feel safe with the lines...

    if I see a good line I will take it, otherwise NO PLAY.
    That's how I make money long term, I don't bet big if I don't feel certain!
    (I just had 2 say my 2 bets that got VOIDED - wow, that was PURE LUCK lololol)

  26. #26
    ngates815
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    So can we just assume that you won't post a play, you just say "I might make a play"....

    Yet we can guarantee later tonight you post a thread saying "OMG OMG OMG OMG I just won 7200 tonight"

    Once again thanks for the great write ups, letting us know that you may take the over or the under in tonight game....Looks like you set yourself up nicely to post a "I'm a big winner" thread for later tonight.

    cheers.

  27. #27
    dontknowhowtobet
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    Quote Originally Posted by ngates815 View Post
    So can we just assume that you won't post a play, you just say "I might make a play"....

    Yet we can guarantee later tonight you post a thread saying "OMG OMG OMG OMG I just won 7200 tonight"

    Once again thanks for the great write ups, letting us know that you may take the over or the under in tonight game....Looks like you set yourself up nicely to post a "I'm a big winner" thread for later tonight.

    cheers.
    Sorry if that's how I play but I don't havr other strategy ... market is something you make money from if you join the right direction in the right time...

  28. #28
    RetardStrength
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    Fading the fukk out of this idiot

  29. #29
    dontknowhowtobet
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    Quote Originally Posted by RetardStrength View Post
    Fading the fukk out of this idiot

  30. #30
    tto827
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    Quote Originally Posted by RetardStrength View Post
    Fading the fukk out of this idiot
    what are you fading though, from that whole write-up I didn't see a pick. He just stated that 200/4 is 50.

  31. #31
    figue
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  32. #32
    KTnamja
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    So, what's the play?

  33. #33
    RetardStrength
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    Quote Originally Posted by tto827 View Post
    what are you fading though, from that whole write-up I didn't see a pick. He just stated that 200/4 is 50.
    Primarily his English

  34. #34
    tto827
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    Quote Originally Posted by RetardStrength View Post
    Primarily his English
    I'll take English as a second language for $1000 please.

  35. #35
    pimpinaces
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    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    your local has livebetting?
    Ya, his local text messages him the live play

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