[bubblebuttluv]

I believe the Pacers will beat the Jazz tonight. Here is my write up:

Jazz:
1.) avg points last 4 games: 90.25
2.) avg points last 4 home games: 100.75
3.) avg points last 4 road games: 100.5
4.) avg points last 2 meetings: haven’t played this year
5.) average rebounds last 4 meetings: 42.5
6.) average offensive rebounds last 4 games:11.75
7.) free throw % last 4 games: 72.9
8.) avg turnovers last 4 games: 14.75
9.) avg points allowed last 4 games: 96

Pacers:
1.) avg points last 4 games: 93
2.) avg points last 4 home games: 94.75
3.) avg points last 4 road games: 88.5
4.) avg points last 2 meetings: Haven’t played this year
5.) avg rebounds last 4 games: 47.25
6.) avg offensive rebounds last 4 games: 12.5
7.) free throw % last 4 games: 73.33
8.) avg turnovers last 4 games: 15.5
9.) avg points allowed last 4 games: 85.25

The Pacers are ahead in 5 out of 9 categories. For my spread calculations I take the (avg points last 4 games - avg points allowed last 4 games) and then i subtract the lowest number (the Jazz's -5.75) from the highest (the Pacer's 7.75) to arrive at my personal spread of Pacers -13.5 (7.75 --5.75). For home team advantage for this game, I gave 1 point (though it could be argued that books already factor in a so-called home team advantage in games, if such an advantage exists in the NBA). So I now arrived at a spread of Pacers -14.5 (-13.5 - 1). This is more than the 5Dimes line of -3.5, so I think Pacers is the play. Appreciate any info on my write-up. I do not call this a lock, because the only locks I care about are watching "Carl's Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week" (for comedic purposes only, not for serious advice of course). Ride with me if you choose.

[Reign Man]

Pacers screwed me over last night but they played a pretty tough Bucks team so I wasn't surprised when they lost. Utah is coming off a win on the road, I can't trust them to win back to backs on the road and against a Pacers team that matches up well with them down low, gonna be a low scoring game so will be on the under as well

[Reki]

Under seems to be the play.