1. #1
    Jay Edgar
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    Jay Edgar NBA, Tuesday 11.14.06

    RESULTS
    Monday, 0-3-1, -1.52u
    YTD, 51-60, +2.59u

    RANKINGS by POWER RATING OVER LAST 10 GAMES
    1 LAC, 2 SAN, 3 HOU, 4 UTH, 5 SAC
    6 CHI, 7 GS, 8 SEA, 9 WAS, 10 DET

    11 CLE, 12 ATL, 13 NJ, 14 PHX, 15 MIL
    16 DAL, 17 ORL, 18 IND, 19 NOK, 20 DEN

    21 MEM, 22 LAX, 23 MIA, 24 POR, 25 PHI
    26 TOR, 27 NY, 28 MIN, 29 BOS, 30 CHA

    EDGAR LINES for 11.14.06
    (FAVORITE-POINTS-MONEYLINE-DOG)
    ATL 5.1/180 over MIL
    MIA 4.8/173 over DEN
    NOK 6.0/212 over CHA
    MIN 3.0/138 over POR
    DAL 2.3/124 over CHI
    HOU 3.8/154 over SAN
    UTH 3.9/159 over LAC
    GS 5.8/205 over TOR

    SELECTIONS
    for 1*
    ATL E -106
    HOU E (have +1.5 -110 from overnight)
    POR +8 -105

    for 0.5*
    POR E +300
    CHI E +180 (have +200)
    UTH E +100
    o211 @ GS -107
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 11-14-06 at 10:21 AM.

  2. #2
    Jay Edgar
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    Final numbers and selections in top post.

    GL

  3. #3
    moses millsap
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    That Portland number feels like a too good to be true play for me, but the Wolves are a mess, so I'll probably bite.

  4. #4
    moses millsap
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    This Miami team is just horrible with GP running the point. It looks like it pains him to push the ball up the court; he might as well be playing with a wheelchair out there. Not big on this Denver team, but can they string another W together on the road? I rate the Heat so low at this point, I may take a shot with Karl's bunch.

  5. #5
    Jay Edgar
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    Quote Originally Posted by OWNED
    I may take a shot with Karl's bunch.
    Agree on the analysis, but have held off so far with DEN due to some fear that we'll see MIA's best tonight, coming off the HOU loss and with 3 days before the Knicks are in next.

    Doubt we'll see +200 but if we do, it will be tempting.

  6. #6
    primo_skillz
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    Any thoughts on the Atlanta side tonight? I feel like it may be a strong play...

  7. #7
    Jay Edgar
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    Primo, I like 'em, but am more concerned by the Bucks than would show from the selections up top here.

    MIL has had an extra practice day following two losses in tough spots where they played well enough to win. While I think ATL should be a bigger favorite, they will have to go earn it tonight. I think they can do it, but it may be tougher than they'd like.

  8. #8
    dave11486
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    I kind of like the ATL fade tonight. Their start has been amazing, but it has to start going down hill somewhere.

  9. #9
    bigboydan
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    Im liking that Chicago play myself bro.

    BOL to you sir

  10. #10
    Jay Edgar
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    Quote Originally Posted by OWNED
    That Portland number feels like a too good to be true play for me, but the Wolves are a mess, so I'll probably bite.
    Numbers are even drifting Minny's way throughout the day. Puzzling. I don't seen how it can be support of the Wolves. No signs of life there. They just had extra practice time before the last game, whereupon they were bombed by Orlando.

    It must be an opinion that POR is overmatched or not ready to play. I gotta to stick to my guns and respectfully disagree.

  11. #11
    moses millsap
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    I was telling my friend last night that the line would move like that just because it seemed so out of whack to begin with. I like the matchups for the Bucks in Atlanta.

  12. #12
    Jay Edgar
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    Hey, lookee -- the guy who writes "Blazers Blog" for the Portland papers knows the line (and links to Covers), says that +8 is "serious disrepect," and predicts victory!!!

    OregonLive.com: Blazers Blog

    I'm sure he's never wrong!!!! He travels with the team, right?

    Oops -- not so much.

    "Casey lives in SE Portland with his longtime partner Bonnie, a basset hound, a Maltese and two cats."

  13. #13
    moses millsap
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    I thought we might get a lucky backdoor in this one, but Aldridge kept getting the ball

  14. #14
    Jay Edgar
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    Yeah -- that 20-2 or whatever start for Minny made us look a little dim.

    And that POR -6.5 2H alt line was fun, too.

    But if it lands between 211 and 214 in GS . . .

  15. #15
    moses millsap
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    Damn, you almost had that middle in Oakland, too bad MoPete didn't fling up the 3 at the end. I wasn't close at all on mine (needed 227 or 228 )

  16. #16
    Jay Edgar
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    Quote Originally Posted by OWNED
    Damn, you almost had that middle in Oakland, too bad MoPete didn't fling up the 3 at the end. I wasn't close at all on mine (needed 227 or 228 )
    Lots of good stuff almost happened tonight.
    We'll get our share.

  17. #17
    moses millsap
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    Been on the unlucky end the last few nights, 198.5 totals at Arco and MSG the last couple of days both went the other way for me by half a point and lost my 3 unit play by 1 point tonight (Fairfield +15). Any thoughts on this Rice/Gonzaga 2nd half line? I'm tempted to take some contracts of Rice +13.5 +300. They seemed to get some decent shots near the end of the half, but they can't seem to stop the Zags at all. +20.5 for the game at normal vig or the live betting option...Hmmmm

  18. #18
    imgv94
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    Portland # was high cause of injuries.. I was going to play them until I saw all the injuries they had..

    I love your threads Jay Edgar.. Would love your thoughts on Bos vs Ind tomorrow?

  19. #19
    Jay Edgar
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    I may play the Celtics, because they are the value IMO, and if so I'm gonna do it with about the usual sense of dread.

    It's really not much of a disadvantageous spot for the Pacers. Four days off, most of them at home, and coming out with a renewed focus on rebounding.

    The total's been pushed downward, and I agree with that.

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