1. 11-26-12 04:16 PM #1
    leo2302
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    NBA Road Favorites system

    Now that we have a better idea of who the better teams are, I will be posting daily plays. Feel free to tag along for a nice profit. This is the system that I found a few years ago and has done pretty well:

    Bet on road favorites (with at least a 16% higher win percentage than their opponents, added to which is over .500, unless opponents are horrible [winning percentage of .300 or less]) ATS in the 1st quarter. If they fail to cover in the 1st quarter, double your wager in the 2nd half.If that fails to cover, take the loss.


    Monday's bets:

    SAN ANTONIO 1Q -2


    -----------------------
    1Q: 0-0
    2nd HALF: 0-0
    YTD: 0-0
    UNITS: 0
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: sbrhgary
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  2. 11-26-12 06:38 PM #2
    leo2302
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    easy W in the 1st Q!
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  3. 11-26-12 07:14 PM #3
    laca07
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    Interesting stuff, will keep an eye on this.
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  4. 11-26-12 08:30 PM #4
    Dom177
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    Any results that you've kept of it? Sounds pretty interesting
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  5. 11-26-12 09:49 PM #5
    leo2302
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dom177 View Post
    Any results that you've kept of it? Sounds pretty interesting
    Unfortunately, I don't have results from previous seasons, as I played the system on and off (always with success though). I figured if I posted here, it would give me a reason to track all plays as well as help other people out.

    Looking forward to making some $$
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  6. 11-27-12 11:32 AM #6
    leo2302
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    One play today:

    Phoenix Suns 1Q -½

    -----------------------
    1Q: 1-0
    2nd HALF: 0-0
    YTD: 1-0
    UNITS: 1
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  7. 11-27-12 11:42 AM #7
    laca07
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    Tailing with low $, let's see how things go. BOL.
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  8. 11-27-12 04:26 PM #8
    Dom177
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    I'll be watching! Good luck
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  9. 11-27-12 06:40 PM #9
    leo2302
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    another easy W in the 1Q!
    Points Awarded:

    laca07 gave leo2302 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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  10. 11-27-12 07:52 PM #10
    laca07
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    Right on, congrats again.
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  11. 11-28-12 12:58 PM #11
    leo2302
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    3 plays today:

    Portland Trailblazers 1st Quarter -½ vs Washington Wizards
    San Antonio Spurs 1st Quarter -2 vs Orlando Magic
    Utah Jazz 1st Quarter -½ vs New Orleans Hornets

    -----------------------
    1Q: 2-0
    2nd HALF: 0-0
    YTD: 2-0
    UNITS: +2
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  12. 11-28-12 01:21 PM #12
    jooshoowa
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    how come the knicks -.5 doesn't fit with your system?
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  13. 11-28-12 01:28 PM #13
    laca07
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    Knicks winning %: 69
    Bucks winning %: 58
    Diff: 11%, which is <16%

    leo can correct me if i'm wrong.
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  14. 11-28-12 01:31 PM #14
    jooshoowa
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    oh okay. thanks a lot man! been tailing since day 1. BOL
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  15. 11-28-12 01:54 PM #15
    leo2302
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    Quote Originally Posted by laca07 View Post
    Knicks winning %: 69
    Bucks winning %: 58
    Diff: 11%, which is <16%

    leo can correct me if i'm wrong.
    I think you answered your own question

    "Bet on road favorites (with at least a 16% higher win percentage than their opponents)"
    the differential is only 11%. Needs to be AT LEAST 16%
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  16. 11-28-12 06:47 PM #16
    dante1
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    4-0 correct?
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  17. 11-28-12 06:56 PM #17
    sbrhgary
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    Your system is working very well. Cheers.
    Last edited by sbrhgary; 11-28-12 at 09:28 PM.
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  18. 11-28-12 08:09 PM #18
    leo2302
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    Utah Jazz 2nd Half -1½*
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  19. 11-28-12 09:22 PM #19
    16johnnymac
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    Nice job ill be tailing tomorrow !! $$ in the Bank bro yeah

    QUOTE=leo2302;16935838]I think you answered your own question

    "Bet on road favorites (with at least a 16% higher win percentage than their opponents)"
    the differential is only 11%. Needs to be AT LEAST 16%[/QUOTE]
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  20. 11-28-12 09:23 PM #20
    16johnnymac
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    So if not less can u play the other team ?
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  21. 11-28-12 09:28 PM #21
    sbrhgary
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    Double down on Utah 2nd half following your system. Your system is awesome.
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  22. 11-29-12 09:44 AM #22
    leo2302
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    Quote Originally Posted by 16johnnymac View Post
    So if not less can u play the other team ?
    Unfortunately, I don't think it works that way. Or at least I haven't kept track of those plays. No games today, but have a beer with the winnings from yesterday!

    -----------------------
    1Q: 4-1
    2nd HALF: 1-0
    YTD: 5-0
    UNITS: +5
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  23. 11-29-12 10:20 AM #23
    StephenSmith
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    Quote Originally Posted by leo2302 View Post
    Unfortunately, I don't think it works that way. Or at least I haven't kept track of those plays. No games today, but have a beer with the winnings from yesterday!

    -----------------------
    1Q: 4-1
    2nd HALF: 1-0
    YTD: 5-0
    UNITS: +5
    This is very interesting. Seems to be working out nicely, will tail tomorrow..no plays today, correct?
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  24. 11-29-12 10:58 AM #24
    thunderous
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    Interesting...will have to follow this
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  25. 11-29-12 01:05 PM #25
    16johnnymac
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    great action Great Job lets get it going keep up the money breaking books lol QUOTE=leo2302;16944766]Unfortunately, I don't think it works that way. Or at least I haven't kept track of those plays. No games today, but have a beer with the winnings from yesterday!

    -----------------------
    1Q: 4-1
    2nd HALF: 1-0
    YTD: 5-0
    UNITS: +5    [/QUOTE]
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  26. 11-29-12 01:16 PM #26
    leo2302
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    Quote Originally Posted by StephenSmith View Post
    This is very interesting. Seems to be working out nicely, will tail tomorrow..no plays today, correct?
    Correct... we're off today, but Friday we should have a few plays:
    PHX
    BKN
    DEN

    Will have to wait to see if they are road favorites first though. Enjoy your Thursday everyone!
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  27. 11-30-12 10:47 AM #27
    leo2302
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    Not sure what I was smoking yesterday... DEN not a play, and PHX is not a road favorite, so we'll have to pass on that one. Here are Friday's plays:

    Brooklyn Nets 1st Quarter -1
    Indiana Pacers 1st Quarter -½

    Good luck everyone!


    -----------------------
    1Q: 4-1
    2nd HALF: 1-0
    YTD: 5-0
    UNITS: +5
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  28. 11-30-12 11:25 AM #28
    uncynd
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    Nice idea! Do you factor in much for injuries? Keep up the good work man, awesome.
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  29. 11-30-12 12:16 PM #29
    leo2302
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    Quote Originally Posted by uncynd View Post
    Nice idea! Do you factor in much for injuries? Keep up the good work man, awesome.
    I think that's why we only take road favorites. But yes, I'll stay away if a key player gets injured.
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  30. 11-30-12 07:11 PM #30
    professorzu
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    Looks like 5-1 now with the Nets covering.
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  31. 11-30-12 09:34 PM #31
    sbrhgary
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    Pacers are locked 1st qtr. You are awesome!
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  32. 11-30-12 09:47 PM #32
    brigade125
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    great day... glad i saw your thread today..
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  33. 11-30-12 09:50 PM #33
    16johnnymac
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    Way to go ill loading more units tomorrow you have a nice system keep up the good work
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  34. 12-01-12 10:42 AM #34
    leo2302
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    Awesome night last night with two 1Q wins. Only one play today:


    Oklahoma City Thunder* -2 1Q



    -----------------------
    1Q: 6-1
    2nd HALF: 1-0
    YTD: 7-0
    UNITS: +7
    Points Awarded:

    laca07 gave leo2302 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

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  35. 12-01-12 07:42 PM #35
    laca07
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    And another one bites the dust. I know the second I up the units I'm putting on these things will not end well...
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