1. #11166
    tommygun
    Hareeba! for Prime Minister
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shazzadude View Post
    Why do you keep repeating yourself Tommygun? Yes, Sando's taken off, we don't need weekly updates.
    sando?

  2. #11167
    rohan22no
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    Putting it out there for anyone who's interested.

    I've been fine tuning a spreadsheet which analyses past data. I've got it to the stage now where if a decent sample of data (in any sport) in input, it will spit out basically any stats you want instantly. The data that needs to be input is Home team, away team, home team score, away team score, home team odds, and away team odds.

    After inputting that data (a quick copy and paste), I can very easily run any "what would have happened if...." filter you can think of. Eg bet on the fav, bet on the home team, bet on the away team between rounds x and x, bet on the home team if paying between x and x, and whatever else.

    I've already done significant analysis on many different rugby and league competitions, AFL, baseball and a few others. So, if anyone out there wants to collaborate on anything like this (or if you have data that you want analyzed) feel free to send me a PM.

  3. #11168
    Shazzadude
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    Sando's starting to feel it again on the weekend footy.

    Swans ML 1 unit at $2.75 win
    Swans +13.5 2u win
    Roosters 13+ 2u at $1.92 win
    Warriors -6 2u win
    Warriors/Raiders over 43.5 1u win
    Bombers -23.5 2u loss
    Storm -5.5 1.5u loss

    5-2, +4.59 units
    Last edited by Shazzadude; 05-10-14 at 08:02 PM. Reason: Correcting a mistake as per Lakey

  4. #11169
    Lakey
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    It was Storm -5.5 which was a loss.

    Has had a good weekend though.

  5. #11170
    Rabbitbrew
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    Queensland Firebebirds @ Adelaide Thunderbirds

    Game total UNDER 106.5: 3 units @ $1.88 (Sportsbet)

    I was waiting to see the defensive combination of the Thunderbirds and with Shimmin named at GD I expect this to be a defensive contest within plenty of turnover ball. Thunderbirds have only gone over 106 goals in 3 out of 9 matches while Firebirds have only gone over the total in 2 out of 10. The total is inflated due to the spanking the Firebirds gave the Tactix last week. The current poor play of Borrego seems it will continue having to come up against Geitz. Total at 94.


    Queensland Firebirds to WIN: 1 unit @ $2.08 (Luxbet - $2.05 bet365)

    I know I have said I'll only be playing totals but this price is too good to pass up. The Firebirds have the edge in the mid court and defensive end and with the ability to run either Wild or Wells through the GA position. I have the Firebirds clearly on top. Firebirds by 6 goals.



    NOTE: Sportsbet INCLUDE overtime in any total bet while Bet365 does not. Total at Bet365 is 105.5.

    Good luck and bet smart!

  6. #11171
    Shazzadude
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    Yeah I like the total. The Thunderbirds have won the last 6 games between the two sides however.

    Firedbirds HT/Thunderbirds FT has cashed out out of the last four games they've played. At $7, I think it's worth a wee punt.

  7. #11172
    Rabbitbrew
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    2 steps forward, one step back!

  8. #11173
    Rabbitbrew
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    Pulse @ Tactix

    Pulse Team total OVER 58.5 goals: 4 units @ $1.90 (Cbet)

    Tactix defense is decimated by injury. Moulds/Walker dominated the Pulse in their last meeting. Pulse get their revenge here. TT 64

  9. #11174
    Rabbitbrew
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    Story of my season.

    Beaten by the hook.

  10. #11175
    Shazzadude
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    Total and spread went to the hook as well. Brutal.

  11. #11176
    Shazzadude
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    Sando says Eels -3.5 is the play of the year, he's got 4 units on it.

    He lost 2 units on Knights -3.5 yesterday.

  12. #11177
    martywest17
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    Anyone like Collingwood over Crows tonight?

  13. #11178
    Lakey
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    Big day of netball today, looking forward to seeing what Rabbit has for us!

  14. #11179
    Shazzadude
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    He's posted 3 units under 106.5 for Vixens-Fever on Twitter.

  15. #11180
    trigga50
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    Wnba is back on. Season pretty much just started.

    Game starts in under 2 hours.

    But i really like connecticut in this one. They seem to have a good list this season and chicago are under maned with a few injuries. Only danger here is the connecticut team is stil fresh playing together so only a 1 unit play.

    Connecticut +5.5 X 1 unit.

  16. #11181
    sando
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    Hey Lads, long time no talk.

    Big w/e in NRL so thought I'd drop by to share my plays.

    (12-3 last week, 7-4 week before that across NBA, AFL & NRL).

    NRL

    Warriors -8 (3.5x)

    Roosters v Bulldogs Under 40 (2.5x)

    Raiders -7.5 (2x)
    Raiders (to win by) 13+ (1x)

    Wests Tigers ML +129/$2.29 (1.5x)
    Points Awarded:

    ender749 gave sando 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    the tross gave sando 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Gusto0810 gave sando 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  17. #11182
    Dr.Gonzo
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    Good to see you back again Sando.

    Also keen on the Raiders myself.

  18. #11183
    john360180
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    Roosters / Waratahs / Warriors Parlay = $2.6
    Good Luck

  19. #11184
    Shazzadude
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    Nice one Sando

  20. #11185
    easysaid
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    Wow! congratulations sando on getting this thread to 1 million views, just goes to show the good cappers never die off

  21. #11186
    fitguy67
    blessed be the cheesemakers
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    Quote Originally Posted by easysaid View Post
    Wow! congratulations sando on getting this thread to 1 million views, just goes to show the good cappers never die off
    "it's better to remain silent and be thought a fool, than open your mouth...and remove all doubt"

    i've never heeded this advice...so i'll ask...WHERE do you find these "view" numbers for each thread?

  22. #11187
    thorny
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    Quote Originally Posted by fitguy67 View Post
    "it's better to remain silent and be thought a fool, than open your mouth...and remove all doubt"

    i've never heeded this advice...so i'll ask...WHERE do you find these "view" numbers for each thread?

    If you go to the sub-forum that this thread is listed under, eg NBA or More Sports, it shows the total replies and views for each thread.

  23. #11188
    fitguy67
    blessed be the cheesemakers
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    thanks thorn...seen it a million times, just never registered...

  24. #11189
    sando
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    Hey lads, for those that have been asking yes I am planning to come back to SBR & post regularly again, however I have been so busy and really pressed for time last few months.

    I find twitter a simple and quick way to share my plays but I will (hopefully soon) start posting on SBR again.

    In the meantime @Mr_Sando

    (Will try and share tomorrow's plays here. 5-1 so far this week)
    Points Awarded:

    Gusto0810 gave sando 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    GunnerCrow09 gave sando 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    ender749 gave sando 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    hardy4 gave sando 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    aussieH gave sando 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  25. #11190
    jaimediazm
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    www.masterleagues.com worth it? Anyone know this fantasy sight?
    Thanks

  26. #11191
    sando
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    Time to dust the cobwebs off this thread and get back to work.

    I always said I'd be back and well here I am...

    Will post my plays for the NRL & AFL seasons (NRL starting this w/e) and probably a few boxing/MMA plays (have been doing really well with the fight game lately).

    For those that don't know me I have had a moderately successful last few years in AFL, and an extremely successful last few years in NRL.

    No more rugby, nba, football or netball plays. Just sticking to my bread & butter - NRL, AFL & fighting.

  27. #11192
    sando
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    NRL 2015

    1st Play

    Canberra Raiders @ Cronulla Sharks

    Sharks -6.5 (2x) Sportingbet/Centrebet
    (Don't take anything over -7)

    Sharkies are legit this year. You can forget all about the disaster of a team that showed up in 2014. Arguably the best forward pack in the comp, talented backs, solid spine, great kids & depth & finally they have there first choice coach back in charge. Also Barba looms as an interesting X-factor if he can click with Robbo. I expect them to start this year with a bang in front of their home crowd. Raiders only asset is their great forward pack, however with everyone healthy (bar Lewis) the Sharkies can match them easy up forward and dominate them through the spine & 3/4 line. The Sharkies will be so so keen to get this season off to a flying start after the Asada nonsense of last season.
    Points Awarded:

    trigga50 gave sando 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    oldscho0led gave sando 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  28. #11193
    gotov
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    Welcome back Sando I hope u have a killer season.

  29. #11194
    ExodusNZ
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    Welcome back Sando and everyone else!

  30. #11195
    swordsandtequila
    Soul Eating Machine
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  31. #11196
    aussieH
    Update your status
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    Let's do this again

  32. #11197
    oldscho0led
    home dogs
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    You got a great line there, man. It's already -8 on some books. You said don't pull trigger on more than -7. Thinking on just pounding the ML.

  33. #11198
    sando
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    Thanks everybody, it's good to be back.

    Friday Night footy

    Manly @ Parra

    I think the Eels are definitely worth a unit here. It's a tough match to call, however Parra has opened strongly at home in recent times, and with Watmough coming up against his old side, I would expect him to have the young & huge Parra forward pack fired up to bash to the older & smaller Manly forward pack. Some of the big Islanders Parra has coming off the bench (Paulo, Paulo & Pauli) will surely impact the game. Manly still has lots of turmoil surrounding them, with the coach Toovey under pressure & their star centres under injury clouds (Lyon, Matai) and all the drama surrounding DCE & Foran. I give a small edge to Parra in this clash and seeing as you can pick them up at the ML at $1.98 at most books, they are definitely worth a unit here.

    *Aussie lads take advantage of Luxbets & Sportsbets season opening NRL specials for extra value! Also for the smaller punters you can get $6 on a Parra win & Radradra try at Sportingbet (which is great value) although unfortunately only $20 max bet...

    Parramatta Eels ML (1x) $1.98

  34. #11199
    swordsandtequila
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  35. #11200
    sando
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    Will not be playing any totals until I get a look at the speed of the game this season with the new rule changes...


    West Tigers @ Gold Coast Titans


    Tigers -4.5 (2.5x)
    *-5.5 is fine to

    Titans are in a shambles as a result of the drugs scandal that has decimated their forward pack. They are a "professional" rugby league club with no permanent training facility? WTF? The Tigers have a fantastic spine of Farrah, Brooks, Tedesco & Moses and the potential of those 3 young kids is sky high. Also with everyone back healthy in Tigerland they have a far superior pack to whomever the Titans can scramble together, with two Australian rep players in Farrah and Woods, rising young star Sironen back healthy, and the enforcer Marty Ta-Pow! off the bench. Better forwards, better halves/spine, probably par in the respective backlines, however the Tigers have far more stability going for them under new coach JT, than the shamble that is the current Titans team. I think the Titans will be competitive early and may even take a lead into half time, however I expect the Tigers to run them down at some point and possibly pile on the points late. Probably my favourite play of round 1.

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