NBA - Monday, 10/29/18

KDF500 · 10-29-18, 11:50 AM

AD playing LT??

Also, thoughts on Mavs +7.5? Thanks and great work!

sheedy17 · 10-29-18, 12:14 PM

AD has been ruled out

BOL. I think im sitting this NBA night out

Mike Brownwell · 10-29-18, 12:36 PM

Didn’t know LT Profits has a podcast about his picks. Good listen combines his plays with late line movements.

http://www.blogtalkradio.com/bettheboard/2018/10/29/sbr-lt-profits-sports-picks-review

LT Profits · 10-29-18, 12:54 PM

Originally posted by Mike Brownwell

Didn’t know LT Profits has a podcast about his picks. Good listen combines his plays with late line movements.

http://www.blogtalkradio.com/bettheb...s-picks-review

WTF is that? LOL

Mike Brownwell · 10-29-18, 01:05 PM

Breaks down your picks combined with late line movement on a Unit system. For example, If a particular play of yours gets steamed on Pinnacle right before the game bet a certain Unit amount on the line movement. The bigger the steam move the higher the unit. If line movement goes against your play don’t bet. Interesting theory since your a math model guy

LT Profits · 10-29-18, 01:14 PM

I get that, but this is just some random guy following me and doing a podcast with my picks. This is first I am hearing about it.

Bucketwah · 10-29-18, 01:23 PM

Good luck

LT Profits · 10-29-18, 01:34 PM

Shit I bet too early.

I thought no AD was already built into the +6.5. Now +9.

KDF500 · 10-29-18, 01:44 PM

Man that’s strange. You got a big fan LT LOL

Mike Brownwell · 10-29-18, 01:56 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

I get that, but this is just some random guy following me and doing a podcast with my picks. This is first I am hearing about it.

I would take it as a compliment. I listened makes sense. It’s basically handicapping you and finding your strengths along with line movements The one thing I found interesting is that he has multiple books up right before game time and can usually find a number better than you recommend. I’ll give it a try Saturday if you have a big card.

LT Profits · 10-29-18, 05:25 PM

Just the one play today (sorry for terrible line), passing in other sports.

Mike Brownwell · 10-29-18, 10:44 PM

No Davis No problem for you LT. Great start to NBA season

KDF500 · 10-30-18, 06:24 AM

Podcast review LOL

LT Profits · 10-30-18, 06:24 AM

Originally posted by Mike Brownwell

No Davis No problem for you LT. Great start to NBA season

Yes, I lived to tell the tale.

Just to clarify, I knew AD was extremely doubtful when I made my bet, but I was under the assumption that books knew that too and that it was thus built into the line. With line immediately shooting up 2.5 points after he was announced out, it seems to imply that the +6.5 assumed he was playing.

Those that got the +9 did not need to sweat the last minute of the game, but schmucks like me holding +6.5 won on three-point bucket by New Orleans bench player with less than one second left. :whew: