[Snowball]

This thread is for players like me who have been taking Miami
but have their reservations about putting money on them Tuesday
night. They are only -165 ML. OKC will be desperate and will play
desperate, this is their most important situation because if Miami wins
tomorrow, the Series really is functionally over. Being down 3-1 would
surely be too much for them to overcome. I think they will lose the
Series but more likely than not, they will win another game. It would
be this game to even the Series. The Heat will not lose their final
home game of the season. I realize they will try like hell to win the
next 2 in Miami and win the trophy at home, but OKC is too evenly
matched/talented to let that happen. And the NBE may want a
return to OKC which means they have to win 1 in South Beach.
I will be saving my funds to put more on Series but not until after
tomorrow night and I also like Miami in the final home game Thursday
and that's win OR lose tomorrow.
Might even consider OKC ML tomorrow.

[Shafted69]

OKC peaked too early with their 5 games in a row streak. Don't do it! Heat will win 4 in a row and finish at the peak.

[Degenerate Life]

I think this is probally the best time to go OKC ML or series, I also had Mia ML game 2 and think they'll win the series but it seems every time momentum shifts in this series it goes right back to the other team. OKC played a pretty good game but couldn't close. If OKC takes one in Mia I think its this one.

[bureK]

okc won't lose 3 in a row

they can win like the spurs but not lose

impossible

it's nba

[Snowball]

Miami is only -185 for Series
between that and ML only -165
i think Vegas may be telling us something.
When Miami was down 0-1 they were +220's
OKC is only +160
either OKC is overvalued or the fix is in.
Still, no bets until tomorrow
need to see LM

[Snowball]

I'm thinking OKC TT Over 94.5 might be less risky than ML or pts.
If they can get to the line that is in.
I'm going to book some of that right now.

OKC Over 94.5

[Pauulzcappin]

OKC ML is the play on game 4.

[Snowball]

OKC ML is the play on game 4.

i know, but i also like the TT. for obvious reasons the TT is safer.

[Pauulzcappin]

i know, but i also like the TT. for obvious reasons the TT is safer.

I like the TT as well, playing both I suppose.

[Hangoverblack]

Does anyone else think this whole series is scripted?

I cannot get over how horribly the Miami Heat came out of halftime last night. Go back and watch the first 5 minutes of the third quarter. They weren't even trying to run an offense. Basically wade or lebron dribbling then fallIng away from the bucket with an airball. If Durant doesn't sit, okc goes up 14.
Then Act 3 kicked in, with Durant on the bench. Here comes the Heat.

There is no intragame consistency to the Heat's play. Spoelstra? Perhaps. But I get the sense there is a fix in for halves, totals, sides, quarters.

Seems paranoid even to me. But watch that first 5:00 and explain how was that even possible if the Heat were trying?

[bureK]

Does anyone else think this whole series is scripted?

I cannot get over how horribly the Miami Heat came out of halftime last night. Go back and watch the first 5 minutes of the third quarter. They weren't even trying to run an offense. Basically wade or lebron dribbling then fallIng away from the bucket with an airball. If Durant doesn't sit, okc goes up 14.
Then Act 3 kicked in, with Durant on the bench. Here comes the Heat.

There is no intragame consistency to the Heat's play. Spoelstra? Perhaps. But I get the sense there is a fix in for halves, totals, sides, quarters.

Seems paranoid even to me. But watch that first 5:00 and explain how was that even possible if the Heat were trying?

They have been playing like this since they got together, so day 1 2010

Just go watch the games vs Boston. I went to bed after HTs because they were playing like dogsh1t just every single time

[Snowball]

all i know is OKC will be balls out for points
and Durant could take over
Miami may still outscore them but OKC will get theirs
thus over 94.5
also some more Miami Series -175 but leaving much powder
for if they lose. I already have them but I'm talking about adding.
Because Miami could still win this game
I just see OKC getting more calls. It's still not a sure thing to take ML
no matter the NBE interests to bring back to OKC because Miami smells blood
and are determined to end this at home.

[nj1035]

OKC better and more talented team. Miami smarter, more experienced. Kind of like last year except Miami was the more talented team and Dallas was the smarter team.

Should be interesting to see if it plays out the same way - doesn't always.

[Reedeman]

I cannot get over how horribly the Miami Heat came out of halftime last night. Go back and watch the first 5 minutes of the third quarter. They weren't even trying to run an offense. Basically wade or lebron dribbling then fallIng away from the bucket with an airball. If Durant doesn't sit, okc goes up 14.

OKC shut down the lanes. Pretty much played perfect defense at the start of the 3rd. Then the refs take out durant and OKC foolishly gave up six points in freethrows. The Heat shot great from the line, while the thunder shot poorly. Not expecting to see that again in game 4.

[bighawk12]

Do or die for okc tomorrow evening.

[Goat Milk]

MIA is not a good matchup for the Thunder bro. I had MIA winning in five, but I'm just having trouble seeing which game the Thunder will win. Durant has to be LIGHTS OUT for OKC to win, as he was in Game 1, which MIA controlled the entire game btw until Durant unleashed in the 4th quarter.

The Spurs would give the Heat a lot more problems--and may be able to get inside Lebron's head. These 22 23 year olds. Lebron and Wade are the 2 vets on the court. That's never been the case for Lebron in his entire finals career.

[Snowball]

To be clear I am not putting one red cent on OKC ML or the Side tonight.
Nor am I taking Miami in this game.
I am only betting on OKC TT Over 94 (-118)
Even if I couldn't buy on TT's I still like Over 94.5
I do not trust OKC to win but I trust them to score.
The Miami TT is too high for me. (98)
It will be nice to not pick a side for a change.
The general total @ 192.5 is too high also bec. it's skewed to
Miami's TT.

and the Mets.