(1) Cleveland (3-0 SU and ATS) at (8) Detroit (0-3 SU and ATS)
The Cavaliers are looking to complete a first-round sweep of the Pistons when the division rivals square off in Game 4 of their best-of-7 Eastern Conference playoff series inside the Palace of Auburn Hills.
Cleveland has won and covered in all three games to this point, including Thursday’s 79-68 win in Detroit as a five-point chalk. After scoring just nine points in the third quarter and going into the final period tied, the Cavaliers dominated the final 12 minutes, outscoring the Pistons 26-15 to grab the 11-point victory. LeBron James just missed a triple-double in the contest, finishing with 25 points, 11 rebounds and nine assists. Cleveland’s defense held Detroit to just 38 percent shooting and allowed just two players to reach double-digits in points.
The Cavs are on an 8-1 SU and ATS run overall and they are looking to get past the first round of the playoffs for the third consecutive year. Detroit has now lost six straight and it is 0-7 in its last seven overall. Furthermore, the Pistons are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games and 1-9 ATS in their last nine against Central Division foes.
Cleveland has now won six straight against the Pistons (5-1 ATS), losing only the first meeting of the season back on Nov. 19, 96-89 as a 2 ½-point underdog. The Cavaliers are just 2-4 SU and ATS in their last six trips to Motown as the home team is on an 8-4 ATS run in this series. The favorite in these series clashes is on an 11-1 ATS streak.
Including Friday’s win and cover, Cleveland is 28-14 on the road this season (23-19 ATS) while the Pistons are just 21-21 at home, including a horrible 13-29 at the betting window.
The Cavaliers are on several positive ATS streaks, including 13-3 as a playoff favorite, 4-1 as a road chalk, 4-0 on Sundays, 4-0 in conference quarterfinal games and 7-0 against the Eastern Conference. The Pistons are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 as ‘dogs of five to 10½ points, but otherwise it’s all negative runs for them, including 11-28 after a straight-up loss, 7-19 at home, 9-23 after a non-cover, 1-5 as a home ‘dog, 1-7 after just one day off and 0-7 against the Eastern Conference.
Friday’s game came nowhere near the posted total, leaving the under standing at 37-15 in the last 52 meetings between these two teams, including 18-5 in Detroit.
Cleveland has topped the total in four of its last five on the road and five of its last seven as a road chalk, but it is on a slew of under runs, including 39-14-1 on Sundays, 24-9 after a spread-cover, 11-4 against Central Division teams and 5-0 as a playoff favorite of between five and 10 ½ points. Detroit has topped the total in 11 of 16 games after getting one day off, but otherwise it’s all “unders” for the Pistons, including 21-5 against teams with a winning record, 37-17-1 as ‘dogs of between five and 10 ½ points, 20-8-1 as a playoff pup and 5-1-1 as a home ‘dog.
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