1. 05-13-12 05:47 PM #1
    Inkwell77
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    Can Someone explain San Antonio -10.5 against the Clippers???

    Crazy line here, boys.

    Not making much sense.

    During the regular season San Antonio was -4 both times they played the clippers at home. Now we have a 6.5 pt swing in game 1????

    Look at all the other series.
    Miami was -7.5 and -9.5 at home during the regular season when playing the Pacers. In game 1 they were -8.5.

    OKC was -7.5 the one time they played the lakers at home. They were 1 point dogs on 1 point favs the 2 times they played in LA. For game one OKC is -7.

    Boston was -3.5 the one time they played Philly at home. In game one they were -5.5. A 2 point swing that did not come to being a true indicator of what was going to happen.


    The line is most likely saying take San Antonio, but a 6.5 point swing seems mighty high.
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  2. 05-13-12 05:49 PM #2
    Bdolan33
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    Memories of the 30+ point Spurs blowouts from round 1 that obliterated all spreads even 4th quarter live bets
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  3. 05-13-12 05:50 PM #3
    jmp
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bdolan33 View Post
    Memories of the 30+ point Spurs blowouts from round 1 that obliterated all spreads even 4th quarter live bets
    The Spurs are amazing. It is like they are playing against the spread every game.
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  4. 05-13-12 05:51 PM #4
    Pauulzcappin
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    Arguably the best team on the NBA has been sitting back, watching film and preparing for the series.

    They are playing at home and rested against a banged up (CP3 and Griffin, who happen to be their two best players) team who just had a very emotional win against a tough opponent who folded late.

    This game screams blowout.
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  5. 05-13-12 05:56 PM #5
    ThaTopMoron
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    so either gotta tease them down and find another play to tease... or just play them 1st half and hope they come out a blazing and the Clips get pounded before they figure out how to slow down the Spurs, not laying 10.5
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  6. 05-13-12 05:57 PM #6
    ChiLLx
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    Don't overthink this

    Popovich vs. Del Negro
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  7. 05-13-12 05:57 PM #7
    Speedy88
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    Spurs are about to destroy the Clipps. Spurs in 5, maybe 6 if the Clipps get some help from the refs.
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  8. 05-13-12 05:58 PM #8
    zilchy
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    Blowout all the way, it will be a thing of beauty. My prediction: 120-80 Spurs win.
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  9. 05-13-12 06:04 PM #9
    Pauulzcappin
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    If the Clippers think the Spurs are the Grizzlies, they have something coming for them... Grizz couldn't hit a three to save their life, Spurs on the other hand...
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  10. 05-13-12 06:09 PM #10
    riskyProps
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    Actually I think the Spurs go the edge here in game one. There will be lots of scoring on both sides. The over will look easy
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  11. 05-13-12 06:10 PM #11
    Speedy88
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    Spurs will make you pay if you shoot 60% from the line.
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  12. 05-13-12 06:10 PM #12
    bleek88
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    The spurs are going to blow the doors off the clippers in game 1. nonetheless any other game.
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  13. 05-13-12 07:09 PM #13
    SpreadSniper
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    a) achieve equal action b) deter bettors from playing SA
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  14. 05-13-12 07:14 PM #14
    invader19
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    It's because the Spurs will win the championship this year.
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  15. 05-13-12 08:28 PM #15
    paco
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    Regular season clips had Chauncey
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  16. 05-13-12 08:37 PM #16
    dymd3z
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    Spurs will beat the breaks off of the Clippers.. I wouldn't be surprised if it wasn't -12. Anyway I do think it will drop some prolly about -9.5 or even 9 before it's over with...
    The Spurs cashed every game except game 7 in the 1st round.... I cashed a few tickets with them boys... And I will be glad to cash a few more...
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  17. 05-13-12 08:44 PM #17
    Tofudog
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    I had money on the grizz which was aggravating.. that series made me want to bet against the clippers (or grizz if they won), but spurs are still too heavily favored..
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  18. 05-13-12 09:49 PM #18
    Speedy88
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    I'll likely make a good sized play on SA in game 1.
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  19. 05-13-12 09:58 PM #19
    celtics3388
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    Quote Originally Posted by riskyProps View Post
    Actually I think the Spurs go the edge here in game one. There will be lots of scoring on both sides. The over will look easy
    Agreed I like the over here as well and expect a fast-paced game. The Clips will play to SA's tempo and be willing to run after having to grind it out at Memphis' pace. Prob will be a 2x+ play at 191.
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  20. 05-13-12 10:14 PM #20
    Junk
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    TD & TP vs CP3 & BG, experience vs youth, i cant wait for this matchup
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  21. 05-13-12 10:38 PM #21
    Punter101
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChiLLx View Post
    Don't overthink this

    Popovich vs. Del Negro
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  22. 05-13-12 11:00 PM #22
    t-wizzle
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    Nothing crazy about this line. Spurs should smoke the tired, crappy clippers.
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  23. 05-13-12 11:03 PM #23
    bleek88
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    Its not brain surgery
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  24. 05-13-12 11:07 PM #24
    Bdolan33
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    Not touching it
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  25. 05-13-12 11:16 PM #25
    Sport_Fish
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    I can't imagine anyway where this isn't an easy win for the Spurs by atleast 12-15pts....Their starting 5 are much better, their bench is way more deep and can produce more than Clippers' bench can. No discussion even needed about the coaching. I don't see CP3 being able to help his team much, because he relies on his team to keep the game within reach so he can takeover late and close it out - and Spurs won't allow this.

    Not to mention, Spurs will esp. be deadly in this first game given how much rest they've had. And Clippers are a young team for the most part but they are def. banged up with a tough 7 game series. Rust may be a factor for Spurs but 48 mins will be enough for them to get in gear and put Clippers away.
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  26. 05-13-12 11:18 PM #26
    Elliot29
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    Gentlemen.....when a line is too high or too low, you know what that means ! Pound Spurs, they will definitely cover the 10.5 points. Remember when they couldnt set the total low enough in a bulls game last week I believe. It was 169, they wanted public to say thats too low and bet over,I , like many, took the under and cashed it. They know what they are doing. BOSTON ML , OKC -7, SPURS -10.5 !!!

    Lets CASH it Boys !!!

    GL
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  27. 05-13-12 11:37 PM #27
    starfire
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    Spurs got Clippers #
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  28. 05-13-12 11:47 PM #28
    nj1035
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    I worry about Chris Paul. How do the Spurs guard him? In 2008 he tore them up pretty good when he was with the Hornets.

    I was pounding the Spurs last round on every game at large spreads, but even I think 10 is too much. I would take the Clippers but I'm going to lay off because SA is my team.
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  29. 05-14-12 12:39 AM #29
    jbess
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    Clippers win Game 1.

    120-79
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  30. 05-14-12 01:38 AM #30
    chopperocker
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    the fact that SAN was 30-5 SU and 26-8-1 ATS @ Home this reg./post-season may have something to do with it.
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  31. 05-14-12 01:51 AM #31
    chopperocker
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    SAN 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in playoffs when favored by -10 or more.
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  32. 05-14-12 04:39 AM #32
    Inkwell77
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    Quote Originally Posted by chopperocker View Post
    the fact that SAN was 30-5 SU and 26-8-1 ATS @ Home this reg./post-season may have something to do with it.

    Yes. Over-correction here potentially???

    Also, During the last 4 nba playoffs (including this year) when a spread is 8 or more points
    Favs: 33 covers
    Dogs: 30 covers

    During the last 4 nba playoffs when a spread is 9 or more points
    Favs: 25 covers
    Dogs: 22 covers

    Slight edge to favorites
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  33. 05-14-12 07:10 AM #33
    chopperocker
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    in playoffs it seems like it comes down to 1 thing. how will the game be officiated?
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  34. 05-14-12 09:21 AM #34
    SpreadSniper
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    Quote Originally Posted by nj1035 View Post
    I worry about Chris Paul. How do the Spurs guard him? In 2008 he tore them up pretty good when he was with the Hornets.

    I was pounding the Spurs last round on every game at large spreads, but even I think 10 is too much. I would take the Clippers but I'm going to lay off because SA is my team.
    CP will have to score 80+ points for it to matter.
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  35. 05-14-12 11:03 AM #35
    wakeboardr886
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    it's up to -11 now, I just don't think I can lay that much points on the spurs
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