Good value to it?
There could be some hedging opportunities here...
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05-01-12 10:42 PM #1
Thunder +3300 to sweep Mavs
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05-01-12 10:43 PM #2
there's some chance it will. Most likely though this series ends 4-1 or 4-2 okc
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05-01-12 10:47 PM #3
Do you mean +3300 on the Mavs sweeping the Thunder in their next 4 games (Dallas in 6)?
The Thunder was +600 before the series started on a 4 game sweep.
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05-01-12 10:49 PM #4
May 03 - 9:35 PM 37029 EXACT SERIES OUTCOME THUNDER WIN 4-0 +3350
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05-01-12 10:50 PM #5
+3300? This must surely be a sportsbook error. They will be about +140 in both games, so should be about +450 to sweep (ie bet whatever on game 3 then put stake+winnings on game 4). NO WAY it's +3300.
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05-01-12 10:51 PM #6
If this is actually true, put something on the +3300 and bet the Mavs in game 3. If the Thunder win, bet the Mavs again in game 4. If you balance your stakes right, you should make some (literally) free money.
What book is this btw?
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05-01-12 11:02 PM #7
this is impossible, it's like betting utah to win vs san antonio, infact, it's probably a worse bet and you got worse odds, haha
Originally Posted by Covy
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05-01-12 11:05 PM #8
There is still a tremendous hedging opportunity here Originally Posted by BrUno0
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05-01-12 11:06 PM #9
onvm then....i thought you were betting on simply OKC to win 4-0 Originally Posted by Covy
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05-01-12 11:08 PM #10
MAVS take game 3 in Dallas
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05-01-12 11:12 PM #11
Mavs could have won both game 1 and 2. They didn't, but it came down to the last possession in both games. This game I could easily see going seven games. What is the odd for a seven game OKC win, that's what I would bet on.
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05-01-12 11:15 PM #12
honestly okc lucky not to be down 0-2, dont think any chance they sweep but those odds are fukked..i certainly wouldnt just bet it then hedge w/o asking book if it a line error (cause if it hits but you lose on the hedge bets and they cancel your wager cause you bet a bad line that would suck).. ....
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05-01-12 11:18 PM #13
I don't think we're lucky to be up 2-0. Durant hasn't played well and the team still hasn't gotten out of their last season funk. On the other side, Dallas has played pretty well. Originally Posted by 2daBank
I'm actually encouraged that we're up 2-0 and haven't played our best ball.
As for this bet, I think a better bet would be to chase Dallas at home. They will win at least won game if not both.
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05-01-12 11:19 PM #14
Guys I like the Mavs too in game 3. But who you like is irrelevant.
Bet $100 on the +3300 odds.
Bet $750 on the Mavs (-150) in game 3.
If it loses, bet $2250 on the Mavs (-150) in game 4.
Mavs win game 3: you make $400.
Mavs lose game 3 but win game 4: you make $650.
Mavs lose both: You make: $300.
True story.
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05-01-12 11:20 PM #15
didnt make a fg the last 4 minutes of gm 2, won cause dumb fouls..gm 1 durant had to rattle in a gm winner, i agree okc can play much better but they honestly have no business being up 2-0 after the way they have played and i agree okc fans should be encouraged they up 2-0 but should def feel blessed to be in this spot.. all i was saying Originally Posted by BigDofBA
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05-01-12 11:22 PM #16
im saying the line is off, so if you bet okc to sweep at those odds and it happens but you hedge gms 3 and 4 then books cancel bet claiming bad line then you would be screwed,another true story... i understand the math with those odds, i just think the odds have to be off... Originally Posted by Seto
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05-01-12 11:22 PM #17
g2 late 3 horrible foul calls, one was the harden turnover after terry layup, 2nd was marion bump on KD, 3rd the terry foul on inbound pass to KD. all 3 like last min of game (?) resulting 6 pts.....kidd missed 3 consecutive 3's at one point (not sure he's done that in his career) most were perfectly aligned and rimmed out. despite having dal both games i also had wagers on ML Originally Posted by TwoWays
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05-01-12 11:23 PM #18
I made a mistake in the post you quoted, corrected it. Mavs are -150 not -110 lol.
But yeah, problem is sportsbook may not pay out if this is a mistake (which it is).
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05-01-12 11:31 PM #19
Originally Posted by Seto
yeah obviously it would work out great if book honored the bet, but if i was op and was gonna do this i would be damn sure to contact book to verify this was correct line instead of betting it then being crushed when they didnt pay....
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05-02-12 12:16 AM #20
Could it be the odds for a future series -- like the Western Conference Semis or Finals? Saying the Thunder would sweep the West Finals seems about 33 to 1.
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05-02-12 12:58 AM #21
its obviously an error
but as hilarious as it gets if they don't cancel/refund until after you hedge a game or even two
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05-02-12 04:13 AM #22
Ticket#:25219
May 03 06:35 PMInternet / -1 May 02 01:48 AM PROP EXACT SERIES OUTCOME
[37029] THUNDER WIN 4-0 +3350134 / 4489
So yeah I will probably throw $$$ on the Mavs in the next 2 games to at least break even... but was uber surprised to see this... (went 134 because I had *,*34 in my acct and wanted to even it out
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05-02-12 07:53 AM #23
Mavs was robbed by FT's in the final minute in game 2 Originally Posted by BigDofBA
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05-02-12 08:10 AM #24
Mavs take game 3 yes
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05-02-12 08:24 AM #25
You clearly overvalue the thunder. I mean, you don't even seem to undervalue dallas, you really must see your team with some special homer goggles. Look, I am a thunder fan and, despite I threw that out of the window when I bet the mavs the last two games, our team has never been a good half-court team on offense. The defense, that supposedly is getting better and should be better with the defensive player of the year to be, one of the best perimeter defenders in the league in sefolosha and a pretty good one in westbrook and then improving guys like Harden and Durant are, plus the BIG FACTOR Kendrick Perkins... is actually getting worse by the season. I predicted championship for OKC or at least finals in 5 years when we won 19 games. I still think the talent is there, but someone needs to realize that winning games in the regular season means shit if you can't play playoff type of basketball. Originally Posted by BigDofBA
And with this said, the Thunder have not been playing that bad. Durant is the only factor that, despite being guarded by Marion which is a great defender, should be driving the ball more. Other than that, we can only thank J Kidd for playing one of the worst games I've ever seen him play in game 2.
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05-02-12 10:17 AM #26
Just contacted the book about whether its correct or not...I plan to hedge, and want to be safe about it
they killed it
was supposed to be +350Last edited by Covy; 05-02-12 at 10:22 AM.
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05-02-12 10:23 AM #27
same here.... they killed my dreams
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05-02-12 10:26 AM #28
I was gonna hedge it but didn't wanna get burned by having OKC win out and canceling the +3350 line
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05-02-12 10:30 AM #29
definatley 0 value in +350
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05-06-12 08:53 AM #30
would've made a killing
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