[Mriswith]

some quick food for thoughts...gotta run in a min but will check back later

Booked : ORL - HOU UNDER 187.5 -110

Trends :
- ORL hitting UNDER 7 out of last 10 games and 5/10 away
- HOU hitting OVER 5/10 and 4/5 home
- last 3 H2H totals were 189, 190, 195

Spread is +1/-1, so a close game is expected. Close games = clock stopping = more than average pts at the end, total should take that into account.

Yet it opened @ 189 -110 and keeps dropping w/ vegasinsider showing 92% pounding the OVER.

Conclusion : books want you on the OVER.

add to that :
Howard is averaging 25 points, 14 rebounds, 2.4 blocks and 1.2 steals per game over the course of his last five games ( and a career-high 21.1 points and a league-best 14.0 rebounds this season ), has been held to 12.8 points and 10.4 rebounds per game in his nine games against the Rockets. A career 56.9 percent shooter from the field, he's connected on 45.9 percent against Houston.

Howard's struggles against the Rockets are largely due to Yao's interior presence. In addition to his ability to contain Howard, the 7-foot-6 All-Star has averaged 24.0 points and 9.8 rebounds while shooting 55.6 percent in eight games against the Magic since Howard came into the league.
Yao had 22 points and 13 boards while shooting 9-for-15 to lead Houston to a 100-95 win at Orlando on Nov. 22. Howard had 13 points and nine rebounds.

finally :
I don't remember who recommended to fade the public under the week and tail them weekends

Strong lean : take the UNDER

rgz,
Mris

[Wilforth]

Under is the play! Orlando and Houston are putting up some of their best defensive efforts right now!

1H goes Under.
3Q goes Over
4Q stays Under.
Game goes Under.