[billyunl]

All posted lines represent the number I got down on my official record tracker. They may be different at the time I post my plays publicly. My record only reflects what is officially tracked by my website record tracker, so I have to post the number I got there to keep my records accurate.

Keep in mind that my picks are primarily based on market analysis and situational power rankings, the following write-ups are not exhaustive as to the factors that led to my booking each play.

All power rankings are SOS weighted and split exclusively between home and road performance. Home performance has no effect on a team’s road power ranking and vice-versa.

Plays:

Milwaukee Bucks +3

Stake: 2.2 to win 2 units
Referee assignments:

• Greg Willard: 18-25 home team ATS record
• Kane Fitzgerald: 27-19 home team ATS record
• Eli Roe: 15-21-2 home team ATS record

Match-ups	Starters
Player	Roland	Player	Roland	Pos.
Carlos Delfino	-6.5	Kevin Durant	+11.1	SF
Ersan Ilyasova	+0.9	Serge Ibaka	+4.4	PF
Drew Gooden	-2.2	Kendrick Perkins	-7.6	C
Monta Ellis	-0.3	Thabo Sefalosha	+4.3	SG
Brandon Jennings	-0.8	Russell Westbrook	+7.4	PG
Match-ups	Bench
Player	Roland	Player	Roland	Pos.
Shaun Livingston	-4.6	Daequan Cook	-4.5	SF
Jon Leuer	+2.5	Nick Collison	-3.5	PF
Ekpe Udoh	+2.2	Nazr Mohammed	-3.9	C
Mike Dunleavy	+7	James Harden	+7.8	SG
Beno Udrih	+4.4	Derek Fisher	N/A	PG

*A player must play at least 10% of minutes for a given team to qualify for a Roland rating with that team.

Minnesota Timberwolves +2.5

Stake: 2.2 to win 2 units
Referee assignments:

• Eddie F. Rush: 19-19 home team ATS record
• Brian Forte: 17-23 home team ATS record
• Rodney Mott: 29-14-1 home team ATS record

Match-ups	Starters
Player	Roland	Player	Roland	Pos.
Michael Beasley	-2.3	Jared Dudley	+5.5	SF
Kevin Love	+9.8	Channing Frye	+1.4	PF
Nikola Pekovic	+7.4	Marcin Gortat	+7.9	C
Martell Webster	-0.7	Shannon Brown	-2.3	SG
Jose Barea	+1.8	Steve Nash	+10.6	PG

*A player must play at least 10% of minutes for a given team to qualify for a Roland rating with that team.

Utah Jazz +3

This line has flipped to -2 in most places, but I have to post it as I locked it in my official record tracker: The Market Capper’s pending picks at Covers

Since I use Covers to track my official record, all of my posted plays must be consistent with what I locked-in at Covers. No need to worry, the Jazz have a huge 12-point edge with Parker, Duncan, Ginobili out (at Jazz -2) this one is a play all the way up to Jazz -6.5.. which it will not even come close to hitting.


Stake: 2.2 to win 2 units

Referee assignments:

• Ken Mauer: 18-22 home team ATS record
• James Williams: 20-19 home team ATS record
• Gary Zielinski: 18-27 home team ATS record

Match-ups	Starters
Player	Roland	Player	Roland	Pos.
Gordon Hayward	+3.3	Kawhi Leonard	+0.4	SF
Paul Millsap	+5.8	Boris Diaw	N/A	PF
Al Jefferson	+5.9	DeJuan Blair	-5.2	C
Alec Burks	+1.1	Danny Green	-0.7	SG
Devin Harris	+0.1	Patrick Mills	N/A	PG

*A player must play at least 10% of minutes for a given team to qualify for a Roland rating with that team.

Write-ups to come, if I can find time.

[gushman]

Thanks

[freshguy222]

thanks for the plays, was thinking already that youd be on jazz and bucks (similar line to indiana some days ago, and line is even lower)

[Speedy88]

Thanks Billy, I really like UTA. Leaning MIL. Not sure about MIN.

[spippen]

Thunder ain't letting up on anyone no matter how bad Vegas does not want them to cover all these spreads. This team is as dominant as the Spurs.

[ses_d]

Thunder ain't letting up on anyone no matter how bad Vegas does not want them to cover all these spreads. This team is as dominant as the Spurs.

on the money!
that being said, Billy is still a excellent capper. let's get em again tomorrow