Does anybody here believe that moneyline parlays can be a successful long term betting strategy in the NBA? I ask because I got back into NBA betting over the last week or so and have had way more success with moneyline parlays than spread betting. It seems like it's a 100 times easier to pick SU winners than spread winners
I'm trying it with a simple model that seems to be good at picking favorites. I can get a very high win percent, but it's hard to outrun the juice. It also looks like there might be a chance with ML big favorite/under parlay due to early giveup decisions by the underdog. Neither team tries hard to score in the second half.
I started this season and don't have enough games to know about how profitable it will be. Looks like it is grind out a small profit at best.