[Dark Horse]

Best of five, with first two games in Motown. No lines yet. Early lean for game #1: DET ATS. More later.

[darkghost]

Both teams looked strong in their last games. Looks like it'll be an interesting final. I can't believe I just typed that. I'm actually entertained by the WNBA. LOL

[bigboydan]

the last meeting between these two teams was a game of runs it seemed like IMO.

needless to say this series should be a good one to watch.

[darkghost]

Here are the current Pinny lines:

Wed 8/30 651 Sacramento Monarchs +4 -105 +167 OVER 137.5 -105
05:00 PM 652 Detroit Shock............-4 -105 -177 UNDER 137.5 -105

What are your thoughts DH? Anyone? I'll pass but have leans on Detroit on the ML and under 137.5.

[bigboydan]

I like the Monarchs on the ML in this one myself.

[Dark Horse]

Passing on the total.

I have a strong lineoff in favor of Detroit, but I'm wondering if it's too strong. Then again, lack of motivation shouldn't be a problem here.

Past results: DET wins 91-71 at home on 7/26. SAC turns around to make it 94-61 on their own floor four days later. But much has changed in a month and it is hard to say how much each team is taking with it from the previous playoff rounds.

May sit the first game out, because I can't make up my mind if I was more impressed by SAC taking it to LA, or by DET's demolition job of CON, both on the road. Both played with an over-my-dead-body attitude, so this should be a real cat fight.

Just some stats:
DET is best without rest (7-2 ATS) and on 3 days rest (7-3 ATS). On 1 and 2 days rest they're a combined 8-12 ATS. DET is 22-17 ATS for the season.
SAC is just 16-20-2 ATS for the season, and has a 11-25 O/U record (4-14 O/U on the road). SAC is 1-4 ATS without rest, and 15-16-2 ATS with rest. SAC is 4-9 ATS as road dog.

[bookie]

Agree 100% with Dan...Monarch's are the better team and the deeper team and the smarter team and you get them with three games at home. Also though Detroit is rightly considered awesome inside, perimeter-oriented teams like Phoenix and Washington had success against them and Sacramento can go there.

[bigboydan]

i'm glad somebody agrees with me on this one bud. I was starting to think i was on the wrong side here plus that generous price.

that last regular season matchup between these teams, Monarch's came out really strong in that 3rd quarter and even took 2 point lead. so needless to say they do have to tools to beat this team again like they did the first two games they played this year against each other.

[Dark Horse]

DET has home court. Format is 2-2-1.

Teams split season series 1-1.

[bookie]

Thanks Dark Horse...Didn't realize that. I guess the price makes a little more sense, but I still like the Monarch's.

[bookie]

Interesting line movement as the first game side has swung about a dime toward Detroit, while at the same time the series price has gone ten cents toward Sacramento.

[Dark Horse]

I have a huge lineoff in favor of DET, but I'm laying off this game, or at least the 1H. Both teams outslugged their opponents in the last round, and I would be surprised if the refs didn't come into game #1 with a clear intent to set a cleaner tone for the series. If they don't do so now, this will be a brawl by the series end. So, basically, I want to see who gets the early fouls.

Also, if I'm right about the refs (man, would I love to be present at their pregame meeting!), the over becomes a real possibility. Give me 50 FT's and I give you an over (most of the time). Anyway, this is too speculative for me to wager on, so watching first half and ready to jump on 2H if conditions are right.

[darkghost]

I told myself I'd wait also to get a better feel for this series and teams but then again it's no fun to watch without some action so I'm going w/ my gut again... 1H over 66 for 1 unit.

GLTA

[Dark Horse]

Your 1H over should be good. Teams shooting a combined 79% over first five minutes. lol.

[Dark Horse]

Halftime. SAC 53-38.

27 FT's at the half. That's almost a guaranteed over.

Rebounding edge 22-12 in favor of SAC. If that doesn't change, that's the series sweep right there.

[goldengoat]

detroit looks like crap

i can't see them winning the series

i'm sure there will be a huge swing in the series price


however recent history of the heat coming back from the grave should show me caution but this looks like a lock

only question is will the price be without any value

[darkghost]

I think I'll have a big play for gm 2. Just waiting for the lines to come out.

[Dark Horse]

Interesting stat for full game. Rebounding edge 31-29 to SAC. That means that DET outrebounded them 17-9 in 2H.