1. 02-21-12 01:27 AM #1
    BayArea888
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    Is Portland worthy of a big play vs. San Antonio?

    thoughts?

    The Blazers do well versus the Spurs in the Rose Garden; winning 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS L4. (take these with a grain of salt because Portland has undergone drastic changes in roster)

    situational angle as well with the Blazers off an embarrassing loss and the Spurs with a late game rally continuing their double digit winning streak.
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  2. 02-21-12 01:35 AM #2
    eyesickk
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    Blazers will win this one and end the spurs streak.
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  3. 02-21-12 01:36 AM #3
    Speedy88
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    Pound pound pound Portland at home


    Fade fade fade Portland on the road.
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  4. 02-21-12 01:57 AM #4
    DudleyDawson
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    number is too high to back port here. think jail blazers win a 93-89 game. imo.
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  5. 02-21-12 02:05 AM #5
    smarotta09
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    I'm really thinking about pounding Portland tomorrow
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  6. 02-21-12 03:57 AM #6
    moshi
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    Will keep an eye out tomorrow. Was on Portland tonight If they hadn't played such a ridiculous first quarter (7 points seriously!?!) they could've won.
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  7. 02-21-12 04:16 AM #7
    Seto
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    I think this will be one of my biggest plays yet this season (for whatever that's worth)

    -> Old Spurs coming off a b2b in Utah, and go to Portland, not the easiest b2b for any team. I personally wouldn't back any team on the 2nd leg of a b2b in the Rose Garden
    -> Blazers owe it to their fans to perform after that season-low 1st-quarter nonsense yesterday. they started to show signs of life and should carry the energy into this one and stop settling for jumpshot after jumpshot
    -> LA 6-19 yesterday, his mid-range game was off, I would expect him to have a way better night today.
    -> Public all over SA, yet the line seems to be moving in Blazers' favour.

    The second point makes me think portland 1H and 1Q should be decent plays as well. Hope this will cash.
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  8. 02-21-12 04:25 AM #8
    Speedy88
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    This line is screaming for you to take SA. Portland is great at home. And Spurs are a great team to fade on a b2b on the road.
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  9. 02-21-12 09:03 AM #9
    PS3
    Keyser Soze
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    Pop might sit out Duncan.
    Splitter out.
    We may be able to dominate the paint since Blazers are agressive at Rose Garden.

    Hoping for Portland to get back right on track.

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  10. 02-21-12 10:27 AM #10
    BayArea888
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    i use Diamond and they have the line at -3.5 now. the next question is, do we wait for a better line? or do we grab it now? with the public so heavily sided on SAS, i think i can afford to wait and hope for a drop to -3.
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  11. 02-21-12 10:38 AM #11
    PS3
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    If you like Portland a lot grab the line already imo.
    Most books are offering -4 as of now.
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  12. 02-21-12 10:38 AM #12
    Pauulzcappin
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    If it's 4th game in 5 nights then Pop is resting Duncan.
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  13. 02-21-12 10:41 AM #13
    Speedy88
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    Yeah I'd grab it now at -4. I don't see it dipping below 4. If anything it could go up as high as -5 if they announce that Duncan is out.
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  14. 02-21-12 10:57 AM #14
    ridims
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    Quote Originally Posted by DudleyDawson View Post
    number is too high to back port here. think jail blazers win a 93-89 game. imo.
    if you think the line is that razor sharp why even bet on it?

    pathetic
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  15. 02-21-12 11:37 AM #15
    BayArea888
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    i think the line will only go up with the news of Duncan, but with that said...i will grab the -3.5 now at Diamond.
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  16. 02-21-12 11:56 AM #16
    demens
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    This isn't the 4th in 5 for them so there will be no news about Duncan. Its actually only 3 in 6 for SA if i'm not mistaken. It is however 6 in 8 for the Blazers. But i do enjoy reading inaccurate information people constantly post around here.
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  17. 02-21-12 12:05 PM #17
    freebetpicks
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    It dropped to -3.5 on bookmaker. Just picked it up there.
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  18. 02-21-12 12:44 PM #18
    DudleyDawson
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    Quote Originally Posted by demens View Post
    This isn't the 4th in 5 for them so there will be no news about Duncan. Its actually only 3 in 6 for SA if i'm not mistaken. It is however 6 in 8 for the Blazers. But i do enjoy reading inaccurate information people constantly post around here.
    this. finally someone gets it. 99% of this forum are complete morons.
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  19. 02-21-12 01:36 PM #19
    BayArea888
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    Quote Originally Posted by demens View Post
    This isn't the 4th in 5 for them so there will be no news about Duncan. Its actually only 3 in 6 for SA if i'm not mistaken. It is however 6 in 8 for the Blazers. But i do enjoy reading inaccurate information people constantly post around here.
    So are you endorsing a play on the spurs?
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  20. 02-21-12 02:07 PM #20
    Ca$hfloW
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    Quote Originally Posted by demens View Post
    This isn't the 4th in 5 for them so there will be no news about Duncan. Its actually only 3 in 6 for SA if i'm not mistaken. It is however 6 in 8 for the Blazers. But i do enjoy reading inaccurate information people constantly post around here.
    Yeah SA just recently had a pretty decent size break and Portland is off a b2b as well, to me it's spurs or no bet because of the streak the spurs are on and how they are playing. Duncan playing or not used to mean alot more than it does now days. Granite I am a spurs fan so take this with a grain of salt.

    BOL
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  21. 02-21-12 03:04 PM #21
    demens
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    Quote Originally Posted by BayArea888 View Post
    So are you endorsing a play on the spurs?
    Personally no. I'm thinking of making a play on the Blazers but not sure going against a winning streak like SA is smart. Not too concerned about the 6 in 8, teams in that situation actually have a pretty great record this year.
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  22. 02-21-12 03:17 PM #22
    Pauulzcappin
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    Spurs are actually 5-3 on B2Bs this year.
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  23. 02-21-12 04:05 PM #23
    BayArea888
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    Spurs are actually 5-3 on B2Bs this year.
    that is actually not a huge factor in my analysis. it is more of a situational angle more than anything else. spurs should cruise on to their 12th consecutive win so why even bother with +points? seems to me books EXPECTED and WANT heavy action on the spurs. but know this, books (whether they take a side or not; that controversy is better left out of this thread) lose sometimes as well too; but i still would rather side with them...
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  24. 02-21-12 04:15 PM #24
    ebelisle22
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    SA wins su
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  25. 02-21-12 04:46 PM #25
    rjp322
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    Spurs definitely arent gonna win this one. Just depends if they lose by less than 4. My money is confidently on Portland
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  26. 02-21-12 04:49 PM #26
    YouHave2outs
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    said this in the other thread about this game, Crawford will be moved into the starting lineup tonight.
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  27. 02-21-12 05:20 PM #27
    BayArea888
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    Quote Originally Posted by YouHave2outs View Post
    said this in the other thread about this game, Crawford will be moved into the starting lineup tonight.
    that is an interesting move. i hope that means an explosive night for crawford. he is a very talented player and provides a big spark off the bench (obviously since he won 6th man award with the hawks). i am hoping for an even better performance from him out of the starting lineup.
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  28. 02-21-12 05:32 PM #28
    Walulu
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    With Portland so good at home why is the line not screaming to take them? 3.5 is not a huge number to cover as it seems everyone is overly confident in them. I think SA or no play.
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  29. 02-21-12 05:34 PM #29
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    Spurs are actually 5-3 on B2Bs this year.
    Were any of them the night after a game in either Utah or Denver?
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  30. 02-21-12 05:37 PM #30
    demens
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    Quote Originally Posted by Walulu View Post
    With Portland so good at home why is the line not screaming to take them? 3.5 is not a huge number to cover as it seems everyone is overly confident in them. I think SA or no play.

    The line is absolutely telling you to take Portalnd. Strictly by the numbers they should not be a 4 point fav. 17-16 team vs 23-9 team, a team that is on an 11 game win streak. That line is screaming pretty loud actually.
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  31. 02-21-12 05:46 PM #31
    Automoto
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    Portland first quarter -1.... they will get tired in the second half.
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  32. 02-21-12 05:50 PM #32
    sportfan
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    Portland or no play ..medium stake
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  33. 02-21-12 05:56 PM #33
    PR9
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    Quote Originally Posted by demens View Post

    ]The line is absolutely telling you to take Portalnd. Strictly by the numbers they should not be a 4 point fav. 17-16 team vs 23-9 team, a team that is on an 11 game win streak. That line is screaming pretty loud actually.
    If that were the case then over 70% of placed wagers wouldn't be on the Spurs
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  34. 02-21-12 05:59 PM #34
    hawley
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    Quote Originally Posted by PR9 View Post

    If that were the case then over 70% of placed wagers wouldn't be on the Spurs
    why?

    Most people will simply see the red hot Spurs with a big winning streak getting 4 points and hammer it
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  35. 02-21-12 06:00 PM #35
    M.W.
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    Yeah SA just recently had a pretty decent size break and Portland is off a b2b as well, to me it's spurs or no bet because of the streak the spurs are on and how they are playing. Duncan playing or not used to mean alot more than it does now days.
    It means a lot when Splitter is also out.
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