Originally Posted by
loungee
It seems we're on the right train of thought as far as capping for this year given the scheduling, injuries, etc. This year has been the hardest, for me at least, of the last 5 years to cap and gamble on because of the schedule. For instance, the books seem to be almost on target when it comes to O/U's, as I've lost damn near 20 O/U's this year within 1-2 points.
But on to the point where we disagree: you're telling me if every possible thing in the world (stats, angles, line movement or RLM, situations, etc.) points to one team but the team has a let down, there is no such thing as a right pick? Following that logic, let's have a monkey flip a coin and decide who will win, because with your logic, it's the same. There's a reason why sharp, or actual, gamblers make money and why novice's don't. They do research. A monkey doesn't.