1. 02-13-12 08:28 PM #1
    Speedy88
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    Monta Ellis OVER 24pts +135???

    First off I want to say that I never play prop bets. And I probably won't play this one, but I think it is worth mentioning for all you prop takers.

    Monta Ellis OVER 24 pts at +135.

    That juice seems very weird. At first I thought it said -135, but my book BetIslands is offering Monta OVER 24 at +135. The UNDER 24 is at -165. Is this right?
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  2. 02-13-12 08:37 PM #2
    cpatel18
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    My site states the following:

    475 Over 24 points +120
    476 Under 24 points -150
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  3. 02-13-12 08:38 PM #3
    Speedy88
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    may take a shot with it. Monta can score 10 points in 2 minutes.
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  4. 02-13-12 08:40 PM #4
    yisman
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    if I had betislands I'd absolutely bet that. +135 is a gift
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  5. 02-13-12 08:42 PM #5
    Speedy88
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    only thing that worries me is that GS has so many scorers that it isn't a given that Monta goes over 24.
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  6. 02-13-12 08:50 PM #6
    yisman
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    5Dimes has no props at all, bovada only has points+assists for ellis at 30.5
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  7. 02-13-12 08:51 PM #7
    yisman
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    Quote Originally Posted by Speedy88 View Post
    only thing that worries me is that GS has so many scorers that it isn't a given that Monta goes over 24.

    obviously it's not a given but you're getting +135 on something that I'd say is over 50% to at least push
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  8. 02-13-12 08:59 PM #8
    thejrichshow85
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    curry points + assist Over 25.5
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  9. 02-13-12 09:02 PM #9
    Gee
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    Pinny has o/23 +102/-120

    Betting against the juiced pinny side on player props is asking for trouble.
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  10. 02-13-12 09:09 PM #10
    Speedy88
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    yeah i'm laying off it. i'd rather take Suns ML at +140.
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  11. 02-13-12 09:11 PM #11
    yisman
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gee View Post
    Pinny has o/23 +102/-120

    Betting against the juiced pinny side on player props is asking for trouble.

    But you're getting an advantageous line compared to Pinny. I'd take that every time.
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  12. 02-13-12 09:30 PM #12
    Gee
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    Quote Originally Posted by yisman View Post
    But you're getting an advantageous line compared to Pinny. I'd take that every time.
    It depends what value you are ascribing to a full point on a player prop.

    I agree though, it probably isn't worth 33 cents.... I still don't like fading the pinny juiced side on a player prop, unless I get a massive edge. This isn't enough.

    ps. I'm on Curry u/18 points. The way the books are juicing the Curry and Monte unders and moved GSW from -4 to -3 means Phoenix has to be the play....
    Last edited by Gee; 02-13-12 at 09:35 PM.
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  13. 02-13-12 10:14 PM #13
    yisman
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    A point on a player prop isn't worth close to that. Clearly beating the Pinny line
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  14. 02-13-12 10:16 PM #14
    Speedy88
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    Quote Originally Posted by Speedy88 View Post
    yeah i'm laying off it. i'd rather take Suns ML at +140.
    so glad I laid off, monta has 0 points and we are nearly half way through the 2nd quarter.
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