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NO PUBLIC. NO OVER. We're Going Under System
I'm starting an experimental Under system. Let's see how it goes.
Requirements:
-Both teams must have records of more Unders than Overs
-Away team must have record of more Under than Over on the road.
-Home team must have record of more Under than Over at home.
***PUBLIC MUST BE ON THE OVER***
Bet A: 1.1 Unit
Bet B: 2.3 Unit
Bet C: 3.5 Unit
Bet D: 7 Units
Tonight's only qualifier: Boston Celtics LA Lakers UNDER 175.5
Additionally, if there is RLM by more than one point on the qualifying play, it's a Super-Size bet. Double your units.
Last edited by JetDevil74; 02-09-12 at 06:42 PM.
What qualifies as the public being "on" something? 50%? 75%?
Good question. We'll consider public at 65%Originally Posted by LUNT101
You can easily backtrack this and find out what public % works the best, and if there are certain O/U caps you want to use. (i.e. no games with totals under 180 or over 210). When developing a system it's very important to have strict guidelines so there is no subjectivity.
If you want to backtrack, and I suggest you do, you can use this site out for the public consensus. It allows you to choose the date you want to see and it has a large sample size of bets. GL
http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html
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I appreciate the support. I'm keeping the public number at 65% at a major Sportsbook.
PLAY: Under 175.5
LANDED: 175 in OT
Today's qualifying bet is a win!
Total Record: 1-0
System Record: 1-0 (+1 Units)
Bet A Record: 1-0 (+1 Units)
Celebration:
Today's "Under" celebration comes from down under.
Australian Model Miranda Kerr
Thank you for tailing!
Good work and nice celebration. What fits under the system for friday? I know its too early to tell public wise but any fit record wise?
Thank you!
Under record requirements bring out only two possibilities for tomorrow (2/10):
-Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic
-Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves
We'll see what the public has to say tomorrow, but early percentages point to Hawks/Magic.
Nice work, it will be interesting to see. I'll be following you and your thread. BOL!
I want to bet the under now for Hawks game, lines moving. But publics on the under so, guess I can't under the system...
70+% betting on over for pistons/nets and line moved down from 189 to 188. They scored 191 the other night in jersey
ps: The nets have not won in detroit since 2006
We've got a winner. Under in the Mavs game and it may qualify as doubling the bet but I'll just do it to win 1 unit.
No Knicks/Lakers or Blazers/Hornets?
Knicks are 8-18 and 6-7 at home, Lakers are 11-15 and 6-7 on the road.
Both Blazers and Hornets are 11-15 total, Blazers 3-9 on the road, Hornets 6-9 at home.
You're absolutely right. I posted the possibilities before the remainder of the lines came out.
No Knicks/Lakers or Blazers/Hornets?
Knicks are 8-18 and 6-7 at home, Lakers are 11-15 and 6-7 on the road.
Both Blazers and Hornets are 11-15 total, Blazers 3-9 on the road, Hornets 6-9 at home.
At this point, the only 2 possibilities are the ones quoted above. The Mavs/Timberwolves and Hawks/Magic didn't hold up the required 65%.
For future reference, in the event that there is more than 1 possibility, to select the system play, we'll call it a 5:00 PM Est deadline during the week and select the highest public percentage.
The other possibilities will still be solid picks, just not the system play. We will also keep track of these remainder qualified possibilities as a sidebar.
That being said, the system play for tonight will be:
LA Lakers @ New York Knicks UNDER 184.5
Since this play opened at 186 and is now at 184.5, this play also qualifies for the RLM SUPER SIZE!!!
The Blazers/Hornets game fits almost identically with the above play and also has RLM Super-Size qualifications. Again, not the system play, but will be noted.
Also, this is a 2.2 Units to win 2 Units.
It says on SBR more than 58 percent of public hasn't been on the over in the Lakers game at any point?
BOL, i got lakers/knicks under part of my parlay also.
My sportsbook has it at 89%. Where did you find the public history?
PLAY: Under 184.5
LANDED: 177
Today's qualifying bet is a win!
Total Record: 2-0
System Record: 2-0 (+3 Units)
Bet A Record: 2-0 (+3 Units)
Other qualifying plays that were not the system play: 0-1 (-1.1 Units)
Celebration:
For today's "Under" celebration, we search Australia again.
Australian Model Emily Scott
Thank you for tailing!
wish i would of tailed. this is my worst losing day in weeks...
wish i would of tailed. this is my worst losing day in weeks...We'll get it back.
G'Day Mates.
Tonight's only qualifying play has 77% on the over.
Portland Trail Blazers @ Dallas Mavericks UNDER 186
Risk: 1.1 Units to win 1 Unit*
*Line opened at 187. If line drops to 185.5 or less, it's a RLM Super-Size. Double bet.
Best of luck!
(tailed yesterday, thanks)
Like the play today as well, good Luck JetDevil74
G'Day Mates.
Tonight's only qualifying play has 77% on the over.
Portland Trail Blazers @ Dallas Mavericks UNDER 186
Risk: 1.1 Units to win 1 Unit*
*Line opened at 187. If line drops to 185.5 or less, it's a RLM Super-Size. Double bet.
Best of luck!
GL .. on it
line still on 187
so .. just check bet
GL mate, got a request for the next model, Jennifer Hawkins
2OTs?!? the under was perfect now it's basically trashed now smh
Dammit. Took 2 Overtimes to sink bet A. I'll update records in the morning. To the bar!
omg, 2nd Half take under again
its so weird, two ET, banker win take all
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JetDevil74 gave LUNT101 2 SBR Point(s) for 
