Probability wise, the Pacers actually seem to be favored on the moneyline, but I like the ATS better. Indiana are strong road underdogs, while the Hawks have struggled against good teams this year and not covered as much as you'd like to see as the home favorite.
I just think a 10-5 road team who has won 5 of last 6 away is going to a place where they havn't won in 8 straight trips is catching to many points. Not to mention Hawks who have dropped 3 straight.
I try not to let lines affect me to much but I am buying what Vegas is selling and staying clear of Pacers.
GL I hope they win I don't think they get enough credit overall.