1. 03-08-12 06:49 PM #71
    toddorts
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    Only one pick for tonight:

    Mavericks @ Suns UNDER 192 -110
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  2. 03-09-12 12:42 AM #72
    toddorts
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    Barely eeked out a win tonight. Record was 1-0, +0.91 units.

    Record:

    100-93-3
    51.81%
    +0.69 units
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  3. 03-09-12 06:48 AM #73
    eTalkMoney
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    Nice work for yesterday night. What about today?
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  4. 03-09-12 11:43 AM #74
    WILLIE
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    toddorts, is there any particular stat/stats that you like to look at to arrive at your picks?
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  5. 03-09-12 02:13 PM #75
    toddorts
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    Quote Originally Posted by WILLIE View Post
    toddorts, is there any particular stat/stats that you like to look at to arrive at your picks?
    No, not one in particular. It's a whole host of stats. Everything from average points for/against, to steals, to total rebounding percentage, and lots more. All of it gets different weight in my formulas. It's a pretty complicated system, but most of the work on my part just involves inputing all of the stats and results in my spreadsheet every night, and then the spreadsheet does all of the hard work. It just took a long time to develop it in the first place using years of back-testing, but now that it's all put together, it's not a whole lot of work for me.
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  6. 03-09-12 02:15 PM #76
    toddorts
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    Here are today's picks:

    Nets @ Bobcats UNDER 192.5 -105
    HAWKS @ Pistons PK -108
    TRAILBLAZERS @ Celtics +3 -103
    CAVALIERS @ Thunder +14 -108
    Knicks @ Bucks UNDER 206.5 -105
    KNICKS @ Bucks -1.5 -105
    CLIPPERS @ Suns +5 -103
    Hornets @ Nuggets UNDER 195 -103
    Mavericks @ Kings UNDER 197 -107
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  7. 03-09-12 03:07 PM #77
    WILLIE
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    Quote Originally Posted by toddorts View Post
    No, not one in particular. It's a whole host of stats. Everything from average points for/against, to steals, to total rebounding percentage, and lots more. All of it gets different weight in my formulas. It's a pretty complicated system, but most of the work on my part just involves inputing all of the stats and results in my spreadsheet every night, and then the spreadsheet does all of the hard work. It just took a long time to develop it in the first place using years of back-testing, but now that it's all put together, it's not a whole lot of work for me.
    Seems like a lot of plays to only be even for season. Has this formula/system done any better in the past few years?
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  8. 03-09-12 05:46 PM #78
    toddorts
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    Oh yes. Last season I finished up about 30 units. That's typical. This season is tough. The players didn't have a pre-season, there are tons of back-to-backs, and even a good number of back-to-back-to-backs, and the number of key injuries has been high.
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  9. 03-09-12 06:01 PM #79
    WILLIE
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    Quote Originally Posted by toddorts View Post
    Oh yes. Last season I finished up about 30 units. That's typical. This season is tough. The players didn't have a pre-season, there are tons of back-to-backs, and even a good number of back-to-back-to-backs, and the number of key injuries has been high.
    I completly understand, my NFL system that I've used the last few years has had only 1 loss in last 5 years, but had 4 this last year due to starting QB injuries. When it rains it pours. that's why I've been real reluctant to play very much in NBA this season.
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  10. 03-10-12 01:05 AM #80
    toddorts
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    Well, another bad night. Can't seem to keep it in the + numbers. Record was 3-6, -3.15 units.

    Record:

    103-99-3
    50.99%
    -2.46 units
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  11. 03-10-12 05:35 PM #81
    toddorts
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    My formulas are turning out a bunch of unders for tonight's games. I'm a bit wary of it, but I'm sticking with my numbers and making the plays. Totals have been a loser for me so far this year, but hopefully that's just been a fluke. We'll see. Here are the picks:

    Trailblazers @ Wizards UNDER 201 -110
    TRAILBLAZERS @ Wizards -5.5 -105
    Raptors @ Pistons UNDER 185.5 -105
    RAPTORS @ Pistons +3 -105
    Pacers @ Heat UNDER 195 -105
    Hornets @ Timberwolves UNDER 188.5 -105
    HORNETS @ Timberwolves +8 -108
    Rockets @ NETS +6.5 -108
    Grizzlies @ Suns UNDER 192.5 -108
    GRIZZLIES @ Suns -1.5 -105
    Mavericks @ Warriors UNDER 194.5 -110
    MAVERICKS @ Warriors +4 -108
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  12. 03-11-12 12:14 AM #82
    toddorts
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    Basically a break even day. Record was 6-6, -0.36 units.

    Record:

    109-105-3
    50.93%
    -2.82 units
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  13. 03-11-12 09:07 AM #83
    toddorts
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    My picks for the early games:

    76ers @ Knicks UNDER 195 -103
    76ers @ KNICKS -3 -105
    Pacers @ Magic UNDER 187 -110
    PACERS @ Magic +5.5 -108
    ROCKETS @ Cavaliers +3.5 -108
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  14. 03-11-12 03:50 PM #84
    toddorts
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    And the picks for the rest of the games:

    Bucks @ Raptors UNDER 198 -110
    Bucks @ RAPTORS +2 -104
    Hawks @ Kings UNDER 193 -108
    HAWKS @ Kings +1 -105
    Warriors @ CLIPPERS -7.5 -105
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  15. 03-12-12 12:27 AM #85
    toddorts
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    Well, there's just no other way to describe today other than calling it a slaughtering. That was just brutal. Record was 1-9, -8.05 units.

    Record:

    110-114-3
    49.11%
    -10.87 units
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  16. 03-12-12 02:43 PM #86
    toddorts
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    Only one thing you can do after a slaughtering: keep going. Bad days happen. Days that bad don't happen often, but they do happen. Hopefully my luck is better tonight:

    Bucks @ NETS +3 -105
    Knicks @ Bulls UNDER 199 -108
    KNICKS @ Bulls +8.5 -102
    Bobcats @ Hornets UNDER 183 -110
    Bobcats @ HORNETS -6 -113
    Wizards @ Spurs UNDER 207 -110
    WIZARDS @ Spurs +14.5 -113
    Pistons @ JAZZ -6.5 -108
    TIMBERWOLVES @ Suns +4 -108
    Celtics @ Clippers UNDER 186.5 -108
    CLIPPERS @ Celtics -5.5 -103
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