1. 01-31-12 10:59 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    1 NBA Play Tuesday

    Nuggets / Grizzlies UNDER 201 -110 (Bookmaker)

    YTD: 23-24, -1.23
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  2. 01-31-12 11:36 AM #2
    CallMeMrOMac
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    I'll take DEN 97, MEM 89

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  3. 01-31-12 12:20 PM #3
    Rockets2200
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    Why under??? avg stats point to value on the under?
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  4. 01-31-12 12:44 PM #4
    LT Profits
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    Grizzlies are just awful offensively right now and probably will be for a while unless they can swing a trade before Randolph gets back. They are shooting under 40% over the last five games and Rudy Gay scored one (count 'em) point last night in like 33 minutes. Memphis hasn't topped 91 points over those five games, so if they score say 90 tonight, then Denver would need at least 111 for the under not to cash. Possible? Yeah. Likely? Meh
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  5. 01-31-12 12:48 PM #5
    redtagboys
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    i personally think it goes under
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  6. 01-31-12 12:50 PM #6
    CallMeMrOMac
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    Why under??? avg stats point to value on the under?
    YES.

    During their last 5 road games (all wins) --- Nuggets averaging 112 points.
    During their last 4 games (all losses) --- Grizzlies averaging 83 points.

    That's 195.

    ________________________

    Gun to my head?

    Nuggets score 95-108 points.
    Grizz score 91-94 points.

    Under looks like better value.

    Thus, the game will go to OT, heh.
    Last edited by CallMeMrOMac; 01-31-12 at 12:53 PM.
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  7. 01-31-12 05:16 PM #7
    h23jdmlude
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    Tailing ... Let's do this!
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  8. 01-31-12 05:27 PM #8
    PR9
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    well Denver is god awful turning the ball over ranked 25th in turnovers.. And Memphis is ranked 2nd in forcing turnovers, they have some very fast hands on defense.

    So if memphis gets a good amount of turnovers here they can get alot of easy points. (especially if lawson is out)

    Denver's defense is also ranked 26th, they give up alot of points, even to the offensively challenged teams.

    But BOL.
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  9. 01-31-12 05:29 PM #9
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by PR9 View Post
    well Denver is god awful turning the ball over ranked 25th in turnovers.. And Memphis is ranked 2nd in forcing turnovers.

    So if memphis gets a good amount of turnovers here they can get alot of easy points. (especially if lawson is out)

    Denver's defense is also ranked 26th, they give up alot of points, even to the offensively challenged teams.

    But BOL.
    But that would also take away from Denver's points.
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  10. 01-31-12 05:31 PM #10
    PR9
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post

    But that would also take away from Denver's points.
    It hasn't seemed to be the case so far this season , as you can see where they rank in pts and offensive efficiency.

    I don't have a play on it. Just relaying some information.

    Again, BOL ;-)
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  11. 01-31-12 05:32 PM #11
    LT Profits
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    Actually Denver's defense is not that bad, they rank 13th in defensive efficiency. The points they allow are a direct function of the pace they play at, but Memphis figures to slow the pace at home.
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  12. 01-31-12 06:12 PM #12
    PR9
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post

    Grizzlies are just awful offensively right now and probably will be for a while unless they can swing a trade before Randolph gets back. They are shooting under 40% over the last five games and Rudy Gay scored one (count 'em) point last night in like 33 minutes. Memphis hasn't topped 91 points over those five games,
    If you are so down on the Memphis offense then why not just bet Grizz TT u100.5 instead of the full game o/u ?
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  13. 02-01-12 11:34 AM #13
    Elad
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    Well done! nice run to be 0.500

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