1. #1
    Speedy88
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    Is Houston Really Only -4 vs Bucks?

    After looking at tomorrow's card, HOU -4 at home against Milwaukee really jumped out at me. Houston seems like the obvious play at home, going for their 7th straight win. They are the hottest team in the NBA. I expected a line around -6. Perhaps Vegas is showing a little respect to the Bucks with recent wins over NY and Miami (although beating NY is not saying much).

    HOU opened at -5.5 and the line had already moved down to -4. And it appears that the public is mainly on Houston.

    I'm going to keep an eye on this one. Might be one of those games where the line movement prior to the game tells us who to back. From the way it looks, Milwaukee may have to be a play tomorrow.
    Last edited by Speedy88; 01-25-12 at 05:34 AM.

  2. #2
    Avenger
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    I wrote a full-on write up why I like the OVER 189
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basket...-tomorrow.html

    Reasons why I'm not taking rockets:
    1. Been watching film on Jennings and he's the real deal. I don't see anyone on rockets stopping him in the paint.

    2. don't see dalembert stopping bogut from scoring

    Reasons why I'm not taking the bucks:
    1. They're the bucks, they find ways to lose, Rockets find ways to win.

    IMHO, +4 is as sharp as it gets, but I'd defintely play them at +7.

    BOL, hope you get this.
    Last edited by Avenger; 01-25-12 at 09:38 PM. Reason: changes -4 to +4, but you know what I meant. :)

  3. #3
    B1AZE
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    Jennings is having a great year.

    Looking like a play on the Bucks unless this line shoots up today.

  4. #4
    cumatmebrah
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    Quote Originally Posted by Speedy88 View Post
    After looking at tomorrow's card, HOU -4 at home against Milwaukee really jumped out at me. Houston seems like the obvious play at home, going for their 7th straight win. They are the hottest team in the NBA. I expected a line around -6. Perhaps Vegas is showing a little respect to the Bucks with recent wins over NY and Miami (although beating NY is not saying much). HOU opened at -5.5 and the line had already moved down to -4. And it appears that the public is mainly on Houston. I'm going to keep an eye on this one. Might be one of those games where the line movement prior to the game tells us who to back. From the way it looks, Milwaukee may have to be a play tomorrow.

  5. #5
    monologue
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    Quote Originally Posted by cumatmebrah View Post
    Nice 0-3 last night

  6. #6
    Speedy88
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    bucks matchup nicely with houston. they have covered in 4 of their last 6 meetings. And Milwaukee is 4-0 ATS with one days rest.

    This game has RLM on it. 78% of the public is on Houston, yet the line went from HOU -5 to HOU -4.

    Bucks +4.5 will be a play for me (may buy half point up to +5).

  7. #7
    bleek88
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    This game should be close.

  8. #8
    ShogunRua
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    Coin flip game. No thanks.

    Pass

  9. #9
    Elad
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    Quote Originally Posted by Speedy88 View Post
    bucks matchup nicely with houston. they have covered in 4 of their last 6 meetings. And Milwaukee is 4-0 ATS with one days rest.

    This game has RLM on it. 78% of the public is on Houston, yet the line went from HOU -5 to HOU -4.

    Bucks +4.5 will be a play for me (may buy half point up to +5).


    Rockats win strike should be stopped,Bucks have a great opportunity to be that stopper.

    BOL Speedy

  10. #10
    monologue
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    Bucks+4.5

  11. #11
    Elad
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    # Milwaukee could'nt beat Houston in the road since the last century
    # Milwaukee is the only team that failed to win in the Toyota Center since it opened.

    last night Magic won 4 in a row in Pacres court for the first time in history,also day before thay score a neg record against boston.
    Melo score only 1 point and poor Knicks win by 30,so maybe all the routine breaks down this week..

  12. #12
    lunchbawks
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    trap game milwaukee doesn't get blown out often

  13. #13
    Elad
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    Quote Originally Posted by lunchbawks View Post
    trap game milwaukee doesn't get blown out often
    I have to ask and I have no intention to upset you,but what's all this shit with the trap thing?!

    Bet = Trap

    You can really show me a bet that he was not a trap? with 100% to win? i dont think so...

    BOL man.

  14. #14
    CallMeMrOMac
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    Rockets can't be trusted against non-awful teams. Especially one capable of playing teams close (Milwaukee almost beat Philly until the end) or beating them (Heat).

  15. #15
    Speedy88
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    Weird, line opened at -5.5, went down to -4, and now it is back up to -5. Still liking the Bucks here.

  16. #16
    CallMeMrOMac
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    Good luck, Rockets backers. I was very close to taking them.

  17. #17
    demens
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    Quote Originally Posted by ShogunRua View Post
    Coin flip game. No thanks.

    Pass
    What a coin flip about this, Rockets are on a roll, Bucks are crap on the road.

  18. #18
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by demens View Post
    What a coin flip about this, Rockets are on a roll, Bucks are crap on the road.

    Score?

  19. #19
    lunchbawks
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    Quote Originally Posted by lunchbawks View Post
    trap game milwaukee doesn't get blown out often


    70-80% public favs lose at a 55% rate, don't forget it!

  20. #20
    demens
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Score?
    Bucks blowing them out atm. Either way, a blow out is hardly a coin flip. Games not over though.

  21. #21
    Speedy88
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    Bucks looking good so far boys. Books were begging ppl to jump on the Rockets.

  22. #22
    Speedy88
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    Bucks

  23. #23
    migz
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  24. #24
    jabro21
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    funny that you never see anyone stridently against the winning play earlier in a thread ever chime in after they miscalled it explaining what they saw, and why it was wrong. i wish those ppl's computers would break.

  25. #25
    Elad
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    Quote Originally Posted by Elad View Post
    # Milwaukee could'nt beat Houston in the road since the last century
    # Milwaukee is the only team that failed to win in the Toyota Center since it opened.

    last night Magic won 4 in a row in Pacres court for the first time in history,also day before thay score a neg record against boston.
    Melo score only 1 point and poor Knicks win by 30,so maybe all the routine breaks down this week..
    As I thought... this week the history changed..

    Greetings Speedy88,good job!

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