1. #1
    lunchbawks
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    Is Dallas going to bury 85% of the public??

    I already have 3u on Mavs -5.5.. if this is a trap there will be a great opportunity to hedge in game, GOO MAVS! while it is still 5.5

  2. #2
    Speedy88
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    yes it is a trap, so is OKC -8

  3. #3
    yoman456
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    How do you define trap? I have never understood that

  4. #4
    YouHave2outs
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    Quote Originally Posted by yoman456 View Post
    How do you define trap? I have never understood that
    bets that on the surface look like obvious winners that really have no value or are -ev plays to sharp bettors. usually huge public plays. is how i think people use the term around here.

  5. #5
    yoman456
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    so basically you're saying it's a trap here because....?

  6. #6
    Gndias
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    you have to buy that book "Trap for Dummies"

  7. #7
    Speedy88
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    Quote Originally Posted by yoman456 View Post
    so basically you're saying it's a trap here because....?
    because over 80% of the public is on Dallas and the line hasn't moved up. The public is playing against the books. If a high percentage of bets go on one side, typically the line should move depending on which side the majority of the public is on. Notice how 85% are on Mavs, yet the line hasn't moved. They want ppl to keep putting bets on Dallas.

  8. #8
    lunchbawks
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    It may be a trap because the line opened at Dallas -5.5 and STAYED THERE even with 80-85% of bets coming in on MAVS!!

    Hornets buried after losing in Houston

  9. #9
    Masu485
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    Dallas loses outright, or wins by 5

  10. #10
    yoman456
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    yeah I see that, but the Mavs are going to win, so I don't get what the bookers are doing!

    Where can I see the percentage of bets for each side??

  11. #11
    lunchbawks
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  12. #12
    Speedy88
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    Quote Originally Posted by yoman456 View Post
    yeah I see that, but the Mavs are going to win, so I don't get what the bookers are doing!

    Where can I see the percentage of bets for each side??
    thespread.com and then go to the NBA tab and click on public bets.

    Dallis will probably win, but I doubt they win by more than 6. Anyways, trust the lines man. A few weeks ago Portland was 2 point favorites at Phoenix and they lost by 30. The bad teams have to win too.

  13. #13
    manutd19
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    So far this week, trap games have bn winning. The better teams have been winning

  14. #14
    yoman456
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    Quote Originally Posted by Speedy88 View Post
    thespread.com and then go to the NBA tab and click on public bets. Dallis will probably win, but I doubt they win by more than 6. Anyways, trust the lines man. A few weeks ago Portland was 2 point favorites at Phoenix and they lost by 30. The bad teams have to win too.
    that's definitely true!! Yeah, come to think of it I wouldn't put money on the -5.5 either. I have dallas for the win in my huge parlay because it's Dallas -143 which is a pretty good ML

  15. #15
    M.W.
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    because over 80% of the public is on Dallas and the line hasn't moved up. The public is playing against the books.

    And how does that make it a trap? The Mavs are going to cover.

  16. #16
    cleaveland
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    Quote Originally Posted by M.W. View Post
    because over 80% of the public is on Dallas and the line hasn't moved up. The public is playing against the books.

    And how does that make it a trap? The Mavs are going to cover.
    Let's say that homer refs are reffing this game + Dirk's injury is worse than the public knows about + a million other potential factors that you don't know about. If the books know things that the general public don't that would make them think that New Orleans has a good chance to win this game and therefore they'd want to get as much money Dallas as possible...that kind of thing makes for a trap.

    Check out Tim Donaghy's book for an explanation of some of what I'm talking about.

    BTW, the Mavs could easily lose this game if a few things don't go their way.
    Last edited by cleaveland; 01-21-12 at 04:50 PM.

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