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Jazz +2 @ Lakers - interesting thing
In thespread 82% from the bets going on LAL -2,in vegasinsider 78% from the bets going on LAL -2..
But still the line didnt move one time..
Whith this trend the line had to jump at least by one point..
But bookmakers have not changed the line...
So they definitely want everyone to continue to go on the Lakers..
I think the a big fade coming...
What's your thoughts?
Public fade obviously, could win or lose just like any game. Fade Lang long term and win, period. Good luck of course.
Dont worry, the last six days I went four times against the public, and four times I won..
Always better to be on bookmakers side..
Good luck to you too pal
This game interest me the most. b2b in Utah and not only that, Utah is actually getting on a bit of a role with 5 wins in a row. Still undefeated at home and looking for a bit of pay back for the blow out in LA. People were prematurely diving off the Lakers bandwagon when the season started, LA is still solid and even a borderline contender. I'm also aware that the Jazz are not THAT good, but this is a very nice spot to take them.
I think that line wont budge in LAs favor no matter how much action they get today. Would like to take it at 2, might have to take the ML, **** 1.5
This is the square play i feel that hits today. Kobe is feeling it. He is already looking forward to this game and talked about how crucial this b2b is. This is the jazz of past years that were $$$$ at home as dogs. Lakers do need a W on the road and this is a great spot for them. There is an enormous disadvantage with Pau and Bynum down low. Jazz are coming off b2b, and they played a tough Cleveland team. Lets remember Jefferson and Millsap are already playing undersize to just about every team in the NBA. Just had to bang bodies with a "energy" player like Varejao. I could see a Laker blowout, but its too fishy for me to play anything more than 2*.
Im really leaning Lakers.
In Pinnacle I see the line is move to 1.5..
Very weird, particularly because everybody put money on the Lakers..
Its not weird, its just that a lot of "smart" money is on Utah. So I would go with Utah then. Ive got em capped at around a 1pt favorite so there is a little bit of value in this play but I think there are better games on the card tonight/
According to thespread, 78% of the public on on the Lakers and the line opened at LAL -2 and moved down to -1.5. That right there tells me who to go with.
The Lakers look too easy in this one, looks fishy.
This line is about as fishy as the Blazers at the Suns last week.
Lakers front court typically dominates the Jazz though which concerns me
Even fishier in my opinion is Blazers -3 at home vs Orlando. Blazers were just 5.5 pt favorites last night against a much better LA team. Now they are only 3 point favorites???
i'm leaning towards jazz, but not touching this. you can be right here
Going small on Jazz. I can't imagine the books would set a line like this to screw themselves over. I mean nearly 80% is on the Lakers. I think they know something that we do not. 2nd end of a b2b in Salt Lake is not a cake walk by any means, and that Utah teams has been playing well as of late.
Thou shall never break one of the 10 commandments of Sports Betting
Never bet against the book
The play is Jazz +2
Always bet against the public....Originally Posted by mv09
I put some money on Jazz +2 and Jazz +9...
Good luck everyone
Jazz have been playing really well especially at home but I see them falling tonight. Should be a close game no doubt. And might be set as a trap, but sometimes even the books screw themselves. Not paying attention to any public money and this and that details...I see this game as the game that brings the Jazz back down to reality, kind of like the TWolves after they killed the Mavs and Spurs at home and looked like a surprise team but since have fallen back to earth.
Lakers take over game in the 4th
i know these lines have been doing great for the home dogs ( phx vs por and bucks vs spurs) but i think utah will have a tough time tonight. i'm usually all over those fishy lines but my gut says lake show..
Last edited by bkane; 01-11-12 at 07:51 PM.
Jazz are tough at home. Think they take the game tonight.
I am playing over 183.5. Definitely can see each team scoring over 100 points.
lakers on a b2b, lakers 0-3 on the road, jazz perfect record from home, i think that's the reason why the line is so low, i will go with the public and take the lakers on this one
is anyone on the lakers?
i know how these normally end up... 100% public on lakers.. too easy pound jazz..
next ya know jazz are down 40
glad i had lakers in the end, next time i avoid those "too good to be true" lines. sorry utah backers u guys deserved that one
Thats funny because the last 6 days i went 4 times with the public and also won 4 times
i had the Lakers tonight and got lucky winning by one point
How'd that work out for ya lol
Took the Lakers ML myself. Sorry for those that lost but seriously, line movement, reverse line movement, public $, etc is such an overrated stat to use when making a play.
that's bs. It took a ref who wanted to cash his Lakers ticket to win that bet. Jazz were robbed.
You must hang out with no coin. You both talk about fishy lines.
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