1. 01-07-12 07:41 PM #1
    t-wizzle
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    Bucks +10 at Clippers

    I think Milwaukee has a shot at winning this game. They are without Andrew Bogut but that just means other guys will need to step in and do the job. They're 0-3 on this road trip so I'm confident that the players will be giving full effort tonight to try and avoid losing another game. Clipjoint on the other hand are coming off a win against a really good Blazers team and a blowout of the Rockets so they may be feeling good about themselves which could make them vulnerable tonight. This team still needs time to gel.

    Not sure how relevant it is but I think it's interesting that the Greek is the only book holding 9.5. On top of that they are offering +425 on the ML when most books are offering upwards of +500.

    GL if you take them.
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  2. 01-07-12 07:44 PM #2
    mikea33
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    The Greek lines have been wack lately
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  3. 01-07-12 07:46 PM #3
    PR9
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    it was -9.5 at other places though besides greek. I checked around about 2 hours ago. I see its back to -10 at my book right now.
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  4. 01-07-12 07:49 PM #4
    HendoNation
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    I'm going big on the clippers, they've got things figured out
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  5. 01-07-12 08:22 PM #5
    ugabooga
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    Don't mind Bucks for each and every reason listed in the OP. With such a large spread i guess backdoor cover is always a possibility. In the Bucks 4 away losses they're 1-3 for losses over 10 as well.
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  6. 01-07-12 08:43 PM #6
    PR9
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    Here is someone else's evaluation on this game from another board who is going big on the Bucks:

    MILWAUKEE +10 ( 4 units ) Game of the Week

    "Current Bucks road run 0-3 SU/ATS !! Then why would i want to play a team that has been struggling ?? Simply because i think this line is inflated by about 3 points. They could of easily won two out of those three games.

    A five point loss at Denver and in which they had a one point lead with less than a minute left and three days later they shoot 51% from the field in a 3 point loss at Sactown.

    Here's my argument on POINT SPREAD VALUE !!! Oddsmakers install Denver as a 5 point chalk five days ago and today the Clippers are a 10.5 point chalk. I seriously doubt that the CLIPPERS ARE 5 POINTS BETTER THAN DENVER ON A NEUTRAL POINT SPREAD VALUE CHART.
    Bogut probably out for today's game ! That's fine ! Gooden is a more than capable fill in.

    I love the CP3/JENNINGS match up. With CP3 getting all the attention you would think Jennings will bring his A-GAME."

    Also to keep in mind, the following:

    The Bucks rank 3rd in the NBA in 1st-half points per game at 52.8, behind only Miami and Oklahoma City. They're also holding their opponents to 43 points per game in the first half. After the break? Milwaukee is dead last with only 39.5 2nd-half points per game and gives up 48.8. Over an 82 game season, 1st-half Milwaukee would project as a 78-win team by Pythagorean Win Expectancy. 2nd-half Milwaukee would project as a four-win team.
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  7. 01-07-12 08:44 PM #7
    Speedy88
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    Vegas is trying to get ppl to jump on the clips it seems like. Line should be going up not down.
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  8. 01-07-12 10:07 PM #8
    ugabooga
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    Not great signs for bucks backers but the under is looking good. 33pt first qtr
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  9. 01-07-12 10:22 PM #9
    PR9
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    The Buckaroos are hangin in there. After that note I posted above i threw a couple units on Bucks 1H +6

    also have a decent amount on the full game.
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  10. 01-07-12 10:27 PM #10
    ugabooga
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    Quote Originally Posted by PR9 View Post
    The Bucks rank 3rd in the NBA in 1st-half points per game at 52.8, behind only Miami and Oklahoma City. They're also holding their opponents to 43 points per game in the first half. After the break? Milwaukee is dead last with only 39.5 2nd-half points per game and gives up 48.8. Over an 82 game season, 1st-half Milwaukee would project as a 78-win team by Pythagorean Win Expectancy. 2nd-half Milwaukee would project as a four-win team.
    So far so good, let's hope they can hold on.
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  11. 01-07-12 10:32 PM #11
    TheAntFather
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    Bucks are doing good so far.
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  12. 01-07-12 10:43 PM #12
    ugabooga
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    Quote Originally Posted by PR9 View Post
    The Buckaroos are hangin in there. After that note I posted above i threw a couple units on Bucks 1H +6
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  13. 01-07-12 10:45 PM #13
    PR9
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    Now, the dilemma is.. the bucks suck in 2nd halves.


    time to lay some money on the clips ? I have Bucks on full game bet as well. Maybe hedging some of it would be a good idea.


    the clips looked to have awakened at the end of that 1st half playing with a lot more energy.
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  14. 01-07-12 10:48 PM #14
    sportfan
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    bucks suck in the 2h?
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  15. 01-07-12 10:49 PM #15
    sportfan
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    clips -7.5 96 2h , whats the play?
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  16. 01-07-12 10:50 PM #16
    PR9
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    Quote Originally Posted by sportfan View Post
    bucks suck in the 2h?
    Didn't you read the thread ?

    Quote Originally Posted by PR9 View Post

    The Bucks rank 3rd in the NBA in 1st-half points per game at 52.8, behind only Miami and Oklahoma City. They're also holding their opponents to 43 points per game in the first half. After the break? Milwaukee is dead last with only 39.5 2nd-half points per game and gives up 48.8. Over an 82 game season, 1st-half Milwaukee would project as a 78-win team by Pythagorean Win Expectancy. 2nd-half Milwaukee would project as a four-win team.
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  17. 01-07-12 10:51 PM #17
    sportfan
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    okay i'm thinking taking the clips -7.5
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  18. 01-07-12 10:56 PM #18
    smallbluedonkey
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    Bucks averaging 40 pts in 2H when they lead at half time this season (which they have in 4 of their 6 games).
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  19. 01-07-12 11:00 PM #19
    sportfan
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    I took Clips -7.5 2h 0.5 x.. just an action play
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  20. 01-07-12 11:01 PM #20
    PR9
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    i didn't tell you who to take. I was just relaying info so you can make an educated decision for yourself.
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  21. 01-07-12 11:04 PM #21
    ugabooga
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    Did you hedge pr9?
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  22. 01-07-12 11:07 PM #22
    sportfan
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    Quote Originally Posted by PR9 View Post
    i didn't tell you who to take. I was just relaying info so you can make an educated decision for yourself.
    I know and no worry dude I'm not the guy whos crying after a loss
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  23. 01-07-12 11:09 PM #23
    sportfan
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    Clips coming out strong in the 2h
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  24. 01-07-12 11:09 PM #24
    PR9
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    Quote Originally Posted by ugabooga View Post
    Did you hedge pr9?
    yup . You can't ignore Milwaukee's woeful 2nd half numbers/performances and you know the clips can score in front of the energy of that home crowd.

    you could see it at the end of the 1st half that a 3rd Q run was coming from the clips

    i hedged about 65%.. just left a little room for the bucks. At least i wont lose much if they don't cover (besides, they won me the 1H bet already)
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  25. 01-07-12 11:13 PM #25
    ugabooga
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    Quote Originally Posted by PR9 View Post
    yup . You can't ignore Milwaukee's woeful 2nd half numbers/performances and you know the clips can score in front of the energy of that home crowd.

    you could see it at the end of the 1st half that a 3rd Q run was coming from the clips

    i hedged about 65%.. just left a little room for the bucks. At least i wont lose much if they don't cover (besides, they won me the 1H bet already)
    Could work out to be a wise move. Clips are starting to pull away
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  26. 01-07-12 11:18 PM #26
    smallbluedonkey
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    I partially hedged on the LAC 2H ML -370 to minimize my loss in the event of Milwaukee doing their usual in the 2H.
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  27. 01-07-12 11:20 PM #27
    ugabooga
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    they just cant seem to score!
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  28. 01-07-12 11:25 PM #28
    ugabooga
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    Semi charge from the Bucks
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  29. 01-07-12 11:45 PM #29
    PR9
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    i like Jennings. He's a little pest and a thorn in the side of the opponent
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  30. 01-07-12 11:52 PM #30
    ksnooksk
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    Come on Bucks.....hang on!
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  31. 01-08-12 12:10 AM #31
    smallbluedonkey
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    Phew!!!
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  32. 01-08-12 12:11 AM #32
    sportfan
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    Clips -7.5 cashes
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  33. 01-08-12 12:20 AM #33
    ksnooksk
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    Bucks +10 - cash!
    Clippers -7 2h - cash!
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  34. 01-08-12 12:33 AM #34
    PR9
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    Quote Originally Posted by ugabooga View Post
    Did you hedge pr9?
    Not only did I hedge but I hit the middle.

    1) had 6 units Bucks +10 full game.

    2) I bet clips -7.5 at halftime for 3.5 units.

    And the 2nd half score was 54-46 Clips..

    So, in conclusion, Clips cover 2H, Bucks cover full game .. and I also had 2 units on Bucks 1H

    Middle baby ! and Trifecta !
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  35. 01-08-12 01:19 AM #35
    ugabooga
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    Boom baby everyone's a winner feelsgoodman.jpg
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