1. #1
    t-wizzle
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    Dallas +3 and Portland -3.5 are the Plays Thursday

    The Spurs should NOT even be favored here. Dallas has looked bad but they are starting to find themselves and get used to some of the new faces. Delonte West has been a nice fit and Odom finally showed some life against Phoenix. The Spurs had to rally to beat the Warriors and now they are facing a much tougher challenge. The only way San Antonio wins this game is if they shoot the lights out but I really see Dallas controlling this game from start to finish.

    Portland is a better team than the Lakers. The Blazers are much much deeper and I expect Lamarcus Aldridge to go to work on Pau in the post. Felton will get the ball where it needs to go and the Blazers have the guys to hit the shots whether it's Matthews, Crawford, or Batum. Wallace is physical enough to neutralize Artest's tight defense as well. Lakers will hang around but in the end Portland wins by 8 or so.

  2. #2
    ShogunRua
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    Agree with both plays. Good luck.

  3. #3
    celticsboy
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    yup, i like theses plays as well, i also like atl +4, it would b sweet if james and wade dunt play. and mil -2.5 only if bogut plays cuz the the kings are on a b2b2b and they lookd awful the last two games.

  4. #4
    hawley
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    Like Portland but worried what Bynum will do to them if he gets enough touches. Blazers match up well elsewhere

  5. #5
    t-wizzle
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    Quote Originally Posted by celticsboy View Post
    yup, i like theses plays as well, i also like atl +4, it would b sweet if james and wade dunt play. and mil -2.5 only if bogut plays cuz the the kings are on a b2b2b and they lookd awful the last two games.
    That's a revenge game for Miami. I don't think they would have set the line Heat -4 unless James was fine.

  6. #6
    Wrecked
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    I like Miami, Mavs, and Blazers.

  7. #7
    Speedy88
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    yup i like both too.

    Any news on the bucks players (dunleavy, bogut, mbah moute)? If Bogut is back I like the Bucks to win straight up. Sac is a team free falling now, and my guess is that Wesphalt pretty much knows that he is done there. My guess is he'll be fired very soon.
    Last edited by Speedy88; 01-05-12 at 01:10 AM.

  8. #8
    celticsboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by t-wizzle View Post
    That's a revenge game for Miami. I don't think they would have set the line Heat -4 unless James was fine.
    it could be a trap, publics going to be all over miami tomorow because everyone thinks its a revenge game

  9. #9
    Kadinni
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    Quote Originally Posted by t-wizzle View Post
    That's a revenge game for Miami. I don't think they would have set the line Heat -4 unless James was fine.

  10. #10
    PR9
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    Quote Originally Posted by hawley View Post

    Like Portland but worried what Bynum will do to them if he gets enough touches. Blazers match up well elsewhere
    Camby is a good long defender.

    I've watched portions of every Blazers game but one. He still has some tread left on those tires on that end of the floor.

  11. #11
    rdkjglsk
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    Dallas at 1.5 now...

  12. #12
    PR9
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    Results of Blaze/Fakers over the last 8 games at the Rose Garden:

    4/8/11: Blaze wins by 7
    2/23/11: LAL wins in Overtime
    2/6/10: LAL wins by 17
    1/8/10: Blaze wins by 9
    4/10/09: Blaze wins by 8
    3/9/09: Blaze wins by 17
    4/8/08: Blaze wins by 9
    2/29/08: Blaze wins by 8

  13. #13
    chankng
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    Quote Originally Posted by hawley View Post
    Like Portland but worried what Bynum will do to them if he gets enough touches. Blazers match up well elsewhere
    I agree worried about the size and length of bynum and gasol. Portland's front court is camby and Alridge, so worried not as tall and lengthy as the lakers frount duo. But love the dallas pick!

  14. #14
    PR9
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    At one sportsbook, 99% of the moneyline is on the Lakers:

    http://betlm.eu/betting_trends/nba_betting_trends.html

  15. #15
    PR9
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    Why hasn't the line moved in the lakers favor by a half point by now ?


    The disparity on bets in the Bucks game is the same, yet that line moved half-a-point, and it moved awhile ago.


    The Blaze/Laker spread hasn't had any changes. They want people to continue betting on the Lakers

  16. #16
    Kadinni
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    PR, im debating if i should up my wager now or wait. I have a feeling it wont change. Maybe before tip off people will keep hammering the lakers to win back their losses? My POY up to today, just really wish it was -3. damn.

  17. #17
    PR9
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kadinni View Post
    PR, im debating if i should up my wager now or wait. I have a feeling it wont change. Maybe before tip off people will keep hammering the lakers to win back their losses? My POY up to today, just really wish it was -3. damn.
    yeah. I've been waiting all day for it to move to 3. I want to buy a point to bring it to -2 (just in case). Big savings instead of going moneyline. If they win by a point so be it. But I want -2.


    ALL the elements are there for it to move to 3, yet the line hasn't budged an inch..not anywhere.


    meanwhile, all of the other lines for the games today have been moving.

  18. #18
    Pauulzcappin
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    Who is going to cover Kobe Bryant? If McMillan doenst put Wallace on #24, Portland is in trouble.

  19. #19
    demens
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    Who is going to cover Kobe Bryant? If McMillan doenst put Wallace on #24, Portland is in trouble.
    Why? Wes Mathews or Batum and play him just fine.

  20. #20
    PR9
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    Quote Originally Posted by demens View Post

    Why? Wes Mathews or Batum and play him just fine.

  21. #21
    Pauulzcappin
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    Quote Originally Posted by demens View Post
    Why? Wes Mathews or Batum and play him just fine.
    Batum might be able to guard him because of his height, but Kobe played VERY well the last game, Matthews cant cover him.

    Still, I think Portland is the play.

  22. #22
    PR9
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    Tip of the day:

    80 - 90% of the ML bets this year that had a number between 165 and 175 have won. Portland has been hovering between -165 AND -170 ALL NIGHT AND DAY.

    Memphis was at 170 - 175 yesterday and right at +168 a half-hour before gametime at The Greek. The minute I saw that odd number (one-fukking sixty-eight ?) , along with betingwizard and his money squares, I placed 5 units on that bitch !

    I study this shit like einstein on relativity.


    ;-)

  23. #23
    Kadinni
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    Quote Originally Posted by PR9 View Post
    Tip of the day:

    80 - 90% of the ML bets this year that had a number between 165 and 175 have won. Portland has been hovering between -165 AND -170 ALL NIGHT AND DAY.

    Memphis was at 170 - 175 yesterday and right at +168 a half-hour before gametime at the greek. The minute I saw that odd number (one-fukking sixty-eight ?) , along with betingwizard and his money squares, I placed 5 units on that bitch !

    I study this shit like einstein on relativity.


    ;-)
    hahah

    Well lets get this Portland game. Had the game circled and hopefully today is a pay day. I jumped on -3.5 already, i have a feeling it will get to -4 to have more money on the lakers.

  24. #24
    demens
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    Quote Originally Posted by PR9 View Post
    Tip of the day:

    80 - 90% of the ML bets this year that had a number between 165 and 175 have won. Portland has been hovering between -165 AND -170 ALL NIGHT AND DAY.

    Memphis was at 170 - 175 yesterday and right at +168 a half-hour before gametime at The Greek. The minute I saw that odd number (one-fukking sixty-eight ?) , along with betingwizard and his money squares, I placed 5 units on that bitch !

    I study this shit like einstein on relativity.


    ;-)
    what are you talking about?

    Wasn't memphis a dog yesterday (PLUS)170 and Blazers a (MINUS)170 fav today? What does one have to do with the other.

  25. #25
    PAULYPOKER
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    I like the Blazers in this spot................

  26. #26
    PR9
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    Knicks line movement last night right before the game was another dead giveaway. I Placed 5 units on Charlotte the second I saw that vegas manipulation.. and even placed a 1 unit ML on charlotte (at +650) , thats how ridiculous that line movement was.


    VEGAS TOLD you who was going to win.



    Last edited by PR9; 01-05-12 at 12:29 PM.

  27. #27
    PR9
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    Quote Originally Posted by demens View Post

    Wasn't memphis a dog yesterday (PLUS)170 and Blazers a (MINUS)170 fav today? What does one have to do with the other.
    it's been happening both ways. Any ML between that number (no matter who's favored or an underdog) has won "over" 80% of the time so far this season.

    i told your ass, I study this shit like einstin on relativity

  28. #28
    shift_knob
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    Quote Originally Posted by PR9 View Post
    Knicks line movement last night right before the game was another dead giveaway. I Placed 5 units on Charlotte the second I saw that vegas manipulation.. and even placed a 1 unit ML on charlotte (at +650) , thats how ridiculous that line movement was.


    VEGAS TOLD you who was going to win.



    What was the line doing? Kinda new and still learning, thanks

  29. #29
    KingJD31
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    love portland not sure bout dallas

  30. #30
    t-wizzle
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    The Blazers own the Lakers at the Rose Garden. Don't expect it to change tonight.

  31. #31
    PR9
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    Quote Originally Posted by t-wizzle View Post
    The Blazers own the Lakers at the Rose Garden. Don't expect it to change tonight.
    http://www.latimes.com/sports/basket...,7264096.story

  32. #32
    t-wizzle
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    This game has nothing to do with who the public is on, line movements, etc. Portland is the right side fellas. When's the last time Portland was even favored against the Lakers?

  33. #33
    Speedy88
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    Quote Originally Posted by PR9 View Post
    Why hasn't the line moved in the lakers favor by a half point by now ? The disparity on bets in the Bucks game is the same, yet that line moved half-a-point, and it moved awhile ago. The Blaze/Laker spread hasn't had any changes. They want people to continue betting on the Lakers
    PR, what site do you use to see what % of the public is on which side?

  34. #34
    demens
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    Quote Originally Posted by Speedy88 View Post
    PR, what site do you use to see what % of the public is on which side?
    I dont know which one, but i can tell you its not a very good one.

  35. #35
    Speedy88
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    Quote Originally Posted by demens View Post
    I dont know which one, but i can tell you its not a very good one.
    just looking for one. you got one demens?

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