I'm scared to death of betting against Miami this year. I still am spooked from the way they came out and absolutely demolished Dallas before halftime. But Pacers play at a slower pace, are in the top 10 at crashing the boards, especially on the offensive end. Atlanta plays at a slow pace and they took care of Miami Monday. They don't turn the ball over and are currently the most defensively efficient team in the league.
The problem I'm having pulling the trigger is Miami's "spot". I'm not great at reading these so far this year. They're coming off their first loss, so I'm wondering how much more fire they come out with than they would after a win.
I don't think Indiana is terribly overmatched talent-wise like most teams who play the Heat. Hibbert should protect the rim while Hansbrough and West fill out the front court. As I said their low TO rate is going to be huge in limiting easy transition buckets for Miami. Anyone want to throw in their 2 cents?