1. #1
    shawnjohn5
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    ShawnJohn's NBA Money Maker (Season)

    Hi sbr, how we doing tonight/today, I have been on fire with nba so i figured why not start posting. I follow some threads in ncaa hoops (filmoz) (madhatter) (ayo, sonny, buck) and have appreciated some of their insights picks and the fact that i have made a decent amount of money following their advice with my own knowledge.

    I have been gambling for the better part of the past 5 years, currently I am griding it out in Vegas playing $1/2 nlhe as well as supplementing income with blackjack, but my money maker has been sports. I have been very good over the past decade wagering on NFL, NBA and ESPECIALLY MLB. I make a modest living I'm not a baller, a fake, or a fly by night. Obviously to get this thread going I'm going to need some winners, and obviously friendly banter as well as discussions is always welcomed. If you are simply going to flame, talk crap or say I told you so, please don't bother.

    The goal here is to make us all money, I will do my best to post plays daily prove myself and hopefully I can help some of you make money in NBA as well as MLB this year. I have been a winning player (per year) since 2001, and keep all records of plays. I dont play much online anymore because I feel the doj is on the verge of shutting things down in a major way (full tilt has owed me over 9k for a while) finally looks like i might get that $$, we shall see. I am lucky enough to live in sin city so I have many options, i know juice here in vegas isn't the best but I also have a local I can use.

    Anyways back to the basics, the picks!!!! If you are a player who has to take action i will post plays that I feel are only "leans," leans are plays that I WILL NOT be wagering on myself, but if i had to pick a side I'd pick that side. Plays are actual WAGERS I place myself, I dont believe in the 1-10 unit plays some of you believe in so I will strictly be using 1unit 2unit and 3unit plays. My unit amount isn't important but for the curious sole, it will be $200. I will probably have 2-3 ACTUAL plays each day with a half time or two as well. My twitter handle is @shawnj5 if any of you care, and i will likely post some plays on there but not as often as I will here.

    I dont follow the 1-10 unit play because simply a bet is worth a bet or not. Often you will see a game you feel you have an edge in so you bet it (1unit), if you see a bet you really think is strong (2unit), if you absolutely LOVE a game (3unit) I dont do 10 units I dont do 5 units, I feel like that's too much of a variance in +ev vs -ev in the event you lose. I find it difficult to swallow going 3 out of 4 on a day only to lose my 10unit play and be down 7units that day. I have learned the hard way over the past 5 years. I know i dont have the experience as some of you do but I haev been gambling since 1998 almost daily on a sporting event or cards in some sort. I haev been bust many times, and bounced back many times, I have tried to be a pro for a few years now, and about a year ago I really hit my stride with money management and disciplined wages. Again I have recently figured out what works for me. Let's work together, and make some more money!!!. It's not mind blowing but it will leave you +money at the end of the year and isn't that the goal?!

    I will try and post plays the night before or at least 2 hours prior to the game depending on the line, if/when i like it. Good luck guys happy wagering... If you want to post your own plays in my thread I dont mind, but in all honesty I dont see the point. if you want to discuss certain games, feel free to do so but posting 10 plays a day everyday START YOUR OWN THREAD...

    DAILY Record 0-0
    Weekly Record 0-0
    Total Record 0-0

  2. #2
    shawnjohn5
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    Day 1 Dec. 29th

    Leans
    Dallas +6.5
    Portland -5
    Lakers -3.5
    NJ Orl O181
    Hou SA U196
    OKC DAL O196

    ACTUAL GRADED WAGERS. Nothing jumps out at me today therefore no 3 unit plays
    Orlando -11.5 1unit
    Spurs +1 1unit
    Kings +7.5 2units
    Den Por O199 1unit


    Good luck and happy wagering!!!

  3. #3
    Kadinni
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    Hey man! Im on dallas and spurs myself.

    Just wondering, whats the reason for you not pulling the trigger on the dallas game?? I love the spurs bet too, Rockets look like they might be heading to the lottery this year.

  4. #4
    shawnjohn5
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    Hey Kad, good luck on your plays my friend, I'm hesitant on dallas simply because I want to see more from this team. A few variables go into this game, OKC can be potent on offense and with Westbrook going 0-13 this game and the little spat he and Durant have I'm not quite sure if he's going to mature and have a great game or fold and pout. If i had to guess I would think he's young immature and would be more likely to fold then bounce back so soon.

    I am also weary about dallas because of the pieces they lost, this is NOT the same team that won a championship last year. Losing Stevenson their best perimeter defender, losing Chandler their best interior defender and losing their spark plug off the bench (JJ) might be a huge huge problem. I think Dallas still gets into the playoffs (4-6) seed, but will be WAY overvalued by the public in the early stages. It looks like they are saving cap space for next summer while somewhat sacrificing this years team. The lines on all dallas games early should show this but we will see. I think Dallas will be overvalued quite a bit, I'm just not sure which OKC team shows up tomorrow (westbrook will be key). Generally the next couple weeks I'll be more likely to bet against Dallas, but i think this is a let down game for okc.

    As far as Houston go's, man this team is very very AVERAGE. Spurs had a pretty easy go of it tonight the season is young the fact that this is a b2b shouldn't be much of an issue. This game is basically a pick so i'm picking the MUCH better team. Houston doesn't have Hayes, no center to speak of and an inconsistent #1 option (martin). I dont like this teams depth it's front line or it's starters, i do agree LOTTERY...

  5. #5
    shawnjohn5
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    Gl to all today!

  6. #6
    shawnjohn5
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    Editing
    Kings +7.5 3u play get in it.

  7. #7
    shawnjohn5
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    Bump

  8. #8
    shawnjohn5
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    Leans Record 5-1 (should have took my leans lol)
    1unit plays 2-1
    3unit plays 0-1
    Total Record 2-2
    Total Units -2.2


    Not the best day after my hot start, and the Kings melted down late in the 4th not surprised but still bummed..

  9. #9
    shawnjohn5
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    Friday Dec 30
    Leans
    Pacers -9.5
    Pacers/Cavs O187
    Hawks/Nets U175
    Bulls/Clips O189.5

    Actual PLAYS
    Hawks -11 2u
    Miami -8 2u
    Philly -3 3u
    Memphis -5 1u
    Raps +8.5 1u

    Heres looking for a bounce back day...

  10. #10
    blankoblanco
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    gl man, following some of your plays. here's to a profitable season

  11. #11
    shawnjohn5
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    Hey thanks a lot man, sounds good, i look forward to building a bankroll so we can crush baseball. I hope you were on my leans today as well as my plays 5-1 on leans. Tomorrow almost all plays, feel real good about the card, looks good!!

  12. #12
    mission
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    I'll be checking some of these out... Good luck, full tilt owes me a couple stacks too. I like your mentality, sounds like a true poker player. Bol man

  13. #13
    DegenerateGmblr
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    I'll be following your plays too BOL!

  14. #14
    iuliux
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    Good luck with this!

  15. #15
    shawnjohn5
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    Thanks a lot fella's very juicy board today I'm tempering my plays, I wanted to play several at 3u. Also might be some good middle opportunities. If you followed my (lean) on the bulls over last night, it's a nice 3 point middle opportunity taking the bulls under 192.5 right now. I didn't lock it in but maybe some of you did. GL.

    A middle: When the line moves so much you have an opportunity to win 2 bets with one outcome. For instance I bet 200 on the over bulls 189.5 (last night) today the line is 192.5 bet the under for 200. If the game ends anywhere between 190-192 you win BOTH bets while only risking the juice. At worst you lose $20, at best you hit BOTH bets and win 400. You can also always bet less on the over for a middle if you still like the under.

  16. #16
    shawnjohn5
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    Adding
    Hornets -2.5 1u

  17. #17
    shawnjohn5
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    Added play 2h Hornets/Suns O90

  18. #18
    shawnjohn5
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    1 possession 3 missed layups for the hornets, holy cow..

  19. #19
    shawnjohn5
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    Bulls +2 2units

  20. #20
    shawnjohn5
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    Bulls/Clips 2h O94 2u

  21. #21
    shawnjohn5
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    Friday Dec 30
    Leans
    Pacers -9.5
    Pacers/Cavs O187
    Hawks/Nets U175
    Bulls/Clips O189.5

    Actual PLAYS
    Hawks -11 2u
    Miami -8 2u
    Philly -3 3u
    Memphis -5 1u
    Raps +8.5 1u
    Hornets -2.5 1u
    Nor/Pho 2h O90 1u
    Bulls +2 2u
    Bulls/clips 2h O94 2u
    Heres looking for a bounce back day...

  22. #22
    shawnjohn5
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    Leans 7-3
    1unit plays 3-4 (1-3)
    2unit plays 2-2 (2-2)
    3unit plays 0-2 (0-1)
    Total Record 5-7
    Total Units -5

  23. #23
    shawnjohn5
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    Leans 12-31
    Nuggets +5.5
    Atlanta -1
    OKC -13

    Wagered Plays
    LA/Den O199 2u
    Pacers -2 3u
    Jazz/Spurs U196.5 1u

  24. #24
    shawnjohn5
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    Added plays
    Kings +1.5. 1u
    Gs/phi U190 1u
    Okc -11. 2u

  25. #25
    suicidekings
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    Quote Originally Posted by shawnjohn5 View Post
    Leans 7-3 1unit plays 3-4 (1-3) 2unit plays 2-2 (2-2) 3unit plays 0-2 (0-1) Total Record 5-7 Total Units -5
    You're not accounting for the juice in your record? The W-L record listed above should have resulted in -8.4u @ -110, not -5u

  26. #26
    shawnjohn5
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    Quote Originally Posted by suicidekings View Post
    You're not accounting for the juice in your record? The W-L record listed above should have resulted in -8.4u @ -110, not -5u
    Of course minting for juice but last night my math was a little off. Don't forget my 1u is $200.
    1u plays I'm up $600 down $880 total down $280 down 1.4units total.
    My 2u plays I'm 2-2 down juice $80 -0.4units, and 3u plays down $1320. Down 6.6 total down 8.4. You're absolutely correct I post often at 2-3am so apologies. but thanks for pointing that out
    Last edited by shawnjohn5; 12-31-11 at 12:53 PM.

  27. #27
    suicidekings
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    Quote Originally Posted by shawnjohn5 View Post
    You're absolutely correct I post often at 2-3am so apologies.
    I'm very familiar with late night math fails, haha. GL this year.

  28. #28
    shawnjohn5
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    Haha appreciate it u too, who u taking today?!

  29. #29
    shawnjohn5
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    Lakers nuggets combined 1-21 from 3 point range. Wow not helping my over! Smh

  30. #30
    shawnjohn5
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    Not a good week, no worries it's all about the long haul!!

    Denver -3. 1u
    Clip/por O201 2u
    Charlotte +15 3u
    Toronto +12 3u
    Cle/nj O186 1u
    Dallas -2. 2u

  31. #31
    shawnjohn5
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    Total record!

    Quote Originally Posted by shawnjohn5 View Post
    Leans 8-4
    1unit plays 5-5(2-1)
    2unit plays 4-4 (2-2)
    3unit plays 0-3 (0-1)
    Total Record 9-12
    Total Units -12.9u
    update
    Last edited by shawnjohn5; 01-01-12 at 12:04 AM. Reason: Leans are wrong.

  32. #32
    Ockert12
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    Dallas -2 is fishy.. smells a whole lot like the hornets -2.5 and sixers -3... I'll be on the Twolves for sure.

  33. #33
    shawnjohn5
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    Clips/por O199.5 3u

  34. #34
    shawnjohn5
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    Lakers +5.5 1u going for a middle on this one!

  35. #35
    shawnjohn5
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    Not too bad yesterday, too bad missed that Denver middle.

    Jan 2
    Hawks +9.5. 2u
    Knicks. O200 2u
    Orlando's -3.5 2u
    Den -3.5. 3u
    Hornets +6.5 3u

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