[sprasad03]

I have created a system to predict every game winner SU and ATS, the ATS is still being revised but SU is 30-9, ATS is 21-11-2. I will be watching ATS for more games b4 i post those plays but i will post SU. Every game is a play but this does not mean i bet on every play because I also use my own discretion to see how smart the bet is (this is key). I pick the best ones. I also have secret plays which are 7-1. I know i haven't posted my results to prove this to you, but really i don't care. I am just posting picks for you guys, use or don't.

*Injuries are factored

How I will record wins:
SU- if they win, they win.
Secret Play- Since I say you can lay points, I will put the max of what you can lay but we all could have different points so in order to combat this, my method will be to take -2 from
the max and record if the team wins, draws, or loses.


02/04/09

SU- Orl, NJ, LAL, Det, Cle, NO, ATL, Den, Hou, Dal, Phx

(ATS plays are still being revised, so im just gonna try to get more games in)

Eventually Goal is to get ATS to replace SU system bc more money obviously. but workin on it.

Orl-W
NJ-W
LAL-W
Det-W
Cle-W
NO-L
ATL-W
Den-W
Hou-L
Dal-W
Phx-L

(8-2)

[sprasad03]

Online Pick Record 8-2 as of now

[yan7181]

keep up the good work, cheers.

[sprasad03]

SU Record- 8-3, today's play coming up soon!

[sprasad03]

02/05/09

SU Picks
Boston
Philly
Utah

No Secret Plays

[NBA Hero]

just try to post your games earlier so people here could update you with injuries etc

[sprasad03]

just try to post your games earlier so people here could update you with injuries etc

ya i understand, but i research all injuries b4 picks. Most of the time an injury hasnt changed the game winner yet. If its at the level i will note but none are. If the injury is a maybe i usually put it down as an injury as precaution.

[NBA Hero]

on phillie, brand has been out on 2nd half last game. if he will play its for just limited minutes. I think brand will just disrupt the minutes of his teammate. brand needs to be out and recuperate and come back after all star.

GL, im with you on bos, all the way.

BTW, is the picks with live odds

[sprasad03]

ya ur right on brand, but after philly performance on boston and home court, i think indiana will lose it, just my analysis. idk about the spread tho, i predict a close game but one thing for sure i have bet on indiana lately and they lost every time, so im def not doing it again ha.

[TrafficUB]

hey sprasad, do you see the game going over 216 points?

[sprasad03]

trafficub sorry bro, i dont deal with point totals, its not really factored in the system. But in my personal opinion, looking at their two recent games against each other, and improvement. I still say under. the last 2 games were between 180-190.

[OC]

This may be one of the times a injury precaution comes into play. GL.

http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/news/story?id=3887072

Elton Brand's first season in Philadelphia is coming to an abrupt ending.


Sources close to the situation told ESPN.com on Thursday afternoon that Brand will undergo season-ending shoulder surgery Monday after a failed attempt to play through the injury. The Sixers' marquee summer signing has averaged a mere 5.7 points and 4.7 boards in less than 20 minutes per game in his six outings since sitting out 16 games after dislocating his shoulder in a home game against the Milwaukee Bucks on Dec. 17. The former All-Star, who turns 30 on March 11, managed only eight minutes in Tuesday's one-point loss to the Boston Celtics, sitting out the entire second half. After an Achilles injury that limited him to eight games last season with the Clippers, Brand signed a five-year deal worth nearly $80 million with Philadelphia in July to end his six-season stay in Los Angeles.

Props to Lunt101 for his post and the story.

[sprasad03]

philly plays fine without brand as you can see when they played boston. if they can do that they can play without him

[sprasad03]

just fyi picks are ML, to get best value i see where the public is betting for instance yesterday NJ was underdog but i had them winning str8 up, you dont pick spreads even on dogs. you bet ML. So if public goin one way, wait till u get better value but if its like boston, get on quick.

[sprasad03]

Boston-L
Philly-W
Utah-

[sprasad03]

Updated Online SU Record:
10-4

Picks will be coming up today, dont know exact what time i got some hw.

[sprasad03]

2/6/09
SU Picks
Orlando
Atlanta
Boston
Portland
Denver
Utah
Phoenix

Secret Play: (You can Lay Points on Secret Plays)
Memphis- Only -6 and lower as max
New Orleans- Only -5 and lower as max

(*Note if chris paul does not play or tyson chandler does not play, no play, cant have more than 2 starters out, they are both questionable)

[sprasad03]

Just for updates, i have been watching the wins, im going to see if i am able to determine the strongest plays out of the SU picks. hopefully within the week i will show 1 5 10 unit plays.

fyi its looks like NO is not going to be a secret play.

[sprasad03]

Updated SU Record: 16-7
Secret Play: 0-1

plays for today comin soon

[sprasad03]

2/7/09

SU Picks
Philly
Denver
Memphis
Milwaukee

Secret Plays (Allowed to Lay Points)

Atlanta- -8 and under
Dallas- -7 and under
Houston- -8 and under

[NBA Hero]

why on bucks with a lot of injuries?

[FreeFall]

stop editing your posts

[sprasad03]

i edit them to put W and L. and to put extra information if needed. Whats your prob freefall? i dont like spreading all my info through 10 diff posts.

[sprasad03]

why on bucks with a lot of injuries?

ya they are injured, but they have been playing with those for a while. detroit plays bad ball up and down, up and down. Mil has home advantage as well. The system says its a tight game but Mil wins SU.

but so far the system has been pretty good on picking the underdog to win SU like atl, nj, and some other game in the previous days.

[alittlemoresound]

denver laying a basket is good no?

im looking for a big beat tonight... just 1 game

and i like denver... jersey sucks at home and after watching denver yesterday they play fast paced ball

billups seems like a good fit to the team....

?

[sprasad03]

ya denver should win by more than 1 bucket.