1. #1
    johnnyP
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    ACCUSCORE vs’ The Book

    ACCUSCORE vs’ The Book

    I recently came across the website http://accuscore.com Its a very interesting site that I’d like to share with those who are unfamiliar. It runs 10,000 simulations per each professional sporting event and publishes its results for free before game time. It also has a premium pay service but not interested right now. I have not run a lot of tracking on the site because of discovering it recently but last night was interesting. Basically the NBA over/under report was pretty helpful on a couple bets because of the difference between its over under number and the Books number. I was already thinking the Clippers and Mav’s would go over and AccuScore’s number was higher than the books so I took it. Same thing with Hornets Lakers game.

    It’s obviously not a perfect system but every little bit helps before making an investment.

    Here are today’s ACCUscore numbers.

    1/7/2008
    7:05 PM
    CHARLOTTE 80.6
    CLEVELAND 95.5
    Total 176.1

    7:05 PM
    ORLANDO 95.5
    ATLANTA 93
    Total 188.5

    7:05 PM
    TORONTO 96.1
    WASHINGTON 98.7
    Total 194.8

    7:35 PM
    HOUSTON 89.5
    BOSTON 97.2
    Total 186.7

    7:35 PM
    MEMPHIS 98.9
    NEW JERSEY 100.8
    Total 199.7

    8:05 PM
    PHILADELPHIA 90.7
    MILWAUKEE 97.4
    Total 188.1

    8:05 PM
    OKLAHOMA CITY 101.2
    MINNESOTA 104.2
    Total 205.4

    9:05 PM
    INDIANA 103.5
    PHOENIX 109.7
    Total 213.2

    9:05 PM
    MIAMI 97
    DENVER 105.5
    Total 202.5

    9:05 PM
    NEW ORLEANS 94.7
    UTAH 99.5
    Total 194.2

    10:05 PM
    DETROIT 88.5
    PORTLAND 88.6
    Total 177.1

    10:35 PM
    LA LAKERS 119.3
    GOLDEN STATE 105.3
    Total 224.6
    Last edited by johnnyP; 01-07-09 at 01:42 AM.

  2. #2
    therber2
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    Hmm seems somewhat accurate with some exceptions in my opinion. Thanks for sharing. I wouldn't recommend anyone use this though. Might be interesting to see how often it is right, and what parts of the season it usually nails the points 'n sitch.

  3. #3
    nick2060
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    yea i like okc tommorrow so if they lose by 3 i'd be happy

  4. #4
    therber2
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    Yeah, I'm actually leaning on them winning as a matter of fact. So I like goin' on a hunch, and then checking it with this thing for piece of mind... Do you pay for this piece of crap OP?

  5. #5
    johnnyP
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    Charlotte at Cleveland UNDER 180.5?

    Charlotte at Cleveland UNDER 180.5

    AccuScore has a total of 176.1 and the Book has total of 180.5 a difference of –4.4
    Charlotte has gone under 4 of its last 5 on the Road
    Cleveland has gone under 7 of its last 10 at home

    Charlotte should be tired from beating the Celts in OT last night with a lower shooting percentage

    Cleveland gives up the least amount of points per game in the league at 89.39

    Leaning towards the under.

    Do you guys have any thoughts?

  6. #6
    ManBearPig
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    accuscore is free software unless you want to pay for more bells and whistles which isnt really worth it. This is not really used a betting tool typically but more as a stat based tool. It could be used for capping but the results it spits out I wouldn't put a whole lot of faith in. It could get some results right but I dont think that you wanna go putting the house on it.

  7. #7
    therber2
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    goin over. i think both teams will be juiced. where did you get the accuscore info you posted by the way? Link?

  8. #8
    johnnyP
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    Quote Originally Posted by therber2 View Post
    goin over. i think both teams will be juiced. where did you get the accuscore info you posted by the way? Link?
    If you go to www.accuscore.com and click on NBA in the navigation bar you will see each of todays games listed on the left hand side. Just click the game you want to preview and it will bring you to that. I cant find a page with all the totals together nicely so I just copied and pasted them into a document.
    Here is the direct link to the Cleveland game forecast: http://accuscore.com/option,co
    m_acc_nba_game_preview/Itemid,/game_id,516/tab,stats/

  9. #9
    therber2
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    Thanks brutha! I'll check it out.

  10. #10
    therber2
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    Grain of salt

    Man. I've been doing well. This thing is just going to make me second guess myself now. Hehe. Seems too easy.

  11. #11
    accuscoresucks
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    gl guys

  12. #12
    homerbush
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    there is a poster on this site with the handle accuscoresucks so maybe you should get his input about that tool.

  13. #13
    therber2
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    public is on GSW winning the game lol. I agree with + pts on the spread

  14. #14
    therber2
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    Quote Originally Posted by accuscoresucks View Post
    gl guys
    GL with what sir?

  15. #15
    Wilforth
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    Charlotte should be a bit tired and won't play much D. If Cleveland maintain a good lead, they too won't bother much about playing D. They'll only try to outscore Charlotte. All that bodes well for the Over. I initially thought that game would go Under, but I'm now for the Over.

  16. #16
    homerbush
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    Quote Originally Posted by therber2 View Post
    public is on GSW winning the game lol. I agree with + pts on the spread
    Not really. The money line percentages are always skewed because a lot of people won't play heavy favorites on the moneyline. So a lot of the time you will get like 96% of the people on the big dog moneyline. Does not mean anything.

  17. #17
    accuscoresucks
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    Quote Originally Posted by therber2 View Post
    GL with what sir?
    are you guys not using this to try and get a handle on picks,or as an extra tool.i was with accuscore back when it use to be called statshark.com i have no problem with then really,i lost a bet with a fellow poster their thats why i am here now under this kname started as a joke




    if you guys like totals you might like this site
    http://picklogic.com/default.aspx

    i do not condone nor endorse any of these sites,and quite frankly i am opposite on logics site on increasing wagers after a loss has inncured


  18. #18
    BelieveTheHype
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    ESPN Insider offers accuscore vs the spread.

    For Instance:

    Point Spread AccuScore Probability

    Charlotte Bobcats +14 51.9%
    Cleveland Cavaliers -14 44.5%

    Over / Under AccuScore Probability

    OVR 182.5 38.1%
    UND 182.5 61.8%

    Money Line AccuScore Probability

    Charlotte Bobcats +1200 13.6%
    Cleveland Cavaliers -1800 86.4%

  19. #19
    therber2
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    Yeah just to be clear. None of my picks are or ever will be based on accuscore. I thought it was funny that it showed the public going so heavy on GSW winning straight up. I'm doing a small wager that GSW covers, but that's it.

    Today I agree with the accuscore BOB's and CLEV point spread probability, but not with the UO. The game will be an over.

  20. #20
    The_Kid
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    johnnyP - Are you going to continue this thread? I've been looking at accuscore the past couple days and some of their lines have been pretty dead on as far as the spread is concerned. I don't solely use it as a way of handicapping but I take a look at it every now and then and see what they have.

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