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Fri, Dec 26 3Q plays - take 1H loser...experiment
Okay, African Joint Roller or whatever his nickname is told me about this play. Whoever is losing after the 1H, take them in the 3Q. I ran some stats on this and if that team loses the 3Q then take them in the 4Q.
I'll track this if I am around later. The Boss wants me to do some handyman around the house crap so I might be in servitude.
Yesterday all 5 teams who were behind at HT won their 3th quarter, impressive !!!
curious, you are on Miami now 1st quarter ?
Yes, Miami 1Q -150 ML 450 to win 300Originally Posted by strybie
Go back two weeks and for any time that did lose the 3Q after being behind at the HT they won the 4Q so this play hits at like 98% over the last 2 weeks.
Doesn't mean it will win > 50% over the NEXT two weeks though. Which is why they call it gambling.
SOOOOOOOO, what we do is for any team behind at the HT we play the ML for the 3Q and if the team loses that one then we double up on the ML for the 4Q. So, either we win BIG or we go bankrupt. But, that is the way I roll. My mentor always told me "You cannot win big if you do not bet big".
OK I was on CHI first two quarters, now I place bet on MIAMI 3th quarter ML. Think one possible reason is the starters get a rest at the start of the 2nd half ? Anyway I am on MIA now and if they Lose I double my bet for the 4Q; Good Luck !
Hmm doesn't pay goodI am on MIA ML 3Q and CHI +3.5 3Q; also the under (first 2Q also under)
Last edited by strybie; 12-26-08 at 05:05 PM.
Miami 3Q -140 420 to win 300
Taking Miami 3Q -140 ML 420 to win 300
Miami 3Q Winner Winner!!!
We cash Miami 3Q!!!
Also had another 3Q play on Miami in the quarters martingale experiment, I kept them separate for bookkeeping purposes.
On to the next loser (HT loser that is)
Nets HT loser...Taking Nets 3Q ML -140 to win 300
420 to win 300 Nets 3Q ML
Knicks HT loser taking Knicks 3Q ML -250
750 to win 300
Adding Memphis and Houston 3Q...
Memphis 3Q ML +105 300 to win 315
Houston 3Q ML -120 360 to win 300
Knicks 4Q ML -250....
3750 to win 1500
Final tally for HT loser experiment
10-1 +3100
Miami Heat 3Q 330 to win 300 Win
NY Knicks lost 3Q won double on 4Q net win 750
NJ Nets 3Q ML -140 420 to win 300 Win
Memphis 3Q ML +105 300 to win 315 Win
Houston 3Q ML & 4Q ML lost total loss 1020 Loss
Oklahoma City 3Q +4 -120 360 to win 300 Win
Oklahoma City 4Q +2 1/2 -120 864 to win 720 Win
Dallas 3Q lost won double on 4Q net win 400
Denver 3Q lost won double on 4Q net win 400
Toronto 3Q -2 +105 300 to win 315 Win
Golden State 3Q +2 1/2 +110 300 to win 330 Win
Last edited by curious; 12-27-08 at 12:51 AM.
Your welcome and I dont roll joints.
Curious !!! that's a very good strategy!!! i never ever thought about that!!! You the mannnnn!!!! (^.^)/
African Roller gets the credit. I just acted on it.
nice! nice!!!! impressive!!!
You need nerves of steel to do this. At one point I had a Knicks 4Q play of 3750 to win 1500 and the Knicks were DOWN most of the 4Q. LOL
Then I had to come right back with Dallas and Denver 4Q plays of 700 to win 660, on each. LOL
Not for the faint hearted.
Well trust me, after years of gambling (sports investing I like to call it!) you need to have some nerve. But that is how you get ahead doing anything. People that have no nerve never get anywhere and have really boring lives for the most part.
It would be very interesting to see how this "system" works over the long haul. It is something that takes a bit to monitor because you can't just bet the game and go...you need to stay around for the entire game and be ready at half and at the end of the third quarter.
It amazes me how many people I know that could spend the rest of their lives making really good money gambling but don't know it yet!
I developed nerve playing blackjack. When you count cards you have to bet the count times your unit size. So, you can have streaks where you are betting 20 units and you lose, then the count is 24, next bet is 24 units, and you lose, count is 25, next bet is 25 units....takes a lot of nerve to keep coming back with big unit bets, but if you don't the probabilities won't be on your side and you will lose in the long run.
I view this sports betting the same way as playing BJ and knowing the count. This is why large unit sizes don't scare me. If I know I have an edge I am not shy about stepping up.
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