Leans for Monday 1/19/09 CK vs hockeytown11

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  • Killer Chihuahua
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-16-08
    • 324

    #281
    I would ask if this day could get any worse.......but I know the answer

    wow...spoke too soon
    Comment
    • africanroller
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-30-08
      • 936

      #282
      Man hits the 3 and I go 2-2
      Comment
      • cocknocker
        Restricted User
        • 11-06-08
        • 8001

        #283
        Wow, what a shot! At least that makes up for my hook loss on the Rockets!

        Update for the CK versus hockeytown11 Challenge

        New Orleans 103 Indiana 100 Cover for the under 210.5

        Updated records for the challenge

        CK 5-2-1

        hockeytown 2-6-1
        Comment
        • maddogmadden86
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-08-08
          • 898

          #284
          wow what a close one on that under
          Comment
          • hockeytown11
            SBR MVP
            • 01-04-09
            • 1102

            #285
            it goes ot and i win 1500 on over and 2 team parlay for 500
            Comment
            • BiggDogg5n2
              SBR MVP
              • 11-23-08
              • 2416

              #286
              Chris Paul...My hero....Thanks CK
              Comment
              • hockeytown11
                SBR MVP
                • 01-04-09
                • 1102

                #287
                this is the worst day ive had in probably 4 years,down large coin right now
                Comment
                • danrman
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-30-08
                  • 2696

                  #288
                  everybody bet the lakers,,they cover when you least expect them to on days when all the underdogs are hitting.. this is a good spot for them... the game against orlando was their 1st game back after a road trip.. kobe will be on tonight.. they've had time to rest and make some adjustments.. lakers by 10
                  Comment
                  • Longrange48
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 01-19-09
                    • 2

                    #289
                    Hey guise,

                    I've been lurking here since the beginning of this year, and I have been reading every CK thread every day. There is some real gem-making going on here. I just wanted to introduce myself in the hopes that I can learn something from you all. I know least about the NBA; my biggest sport is college football. And since the NBA offers way more betting opportunities, I hope you all welcome me into your basketball picks discussion!

                    I have one question for you all: do any of you live in Vegas or another gambling city where you make a majority of you wagers at sports books?

                    I am asking because I go to Vegas fairly often, but I have never bet at sports books there. Which ones would you guys recommend? THanks
                    Comment
                    • ram1502
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-26-08
                      • 822

                      #290
                      Shorthanded Hawks win but do not cover for me, but the Wolves come through and I squeaked out the Wizards/Warriors over by 1/2 of a point. 2-1 thusfar with the Cavs and Celtics to come.

                      Danrman, my man, I totally respect your input/insight since you have made some stellar picks in the past few weeks since I have been here, BUT both the Cavs and Lakers are coming off 2 days rest. Yes, Kobe will probably be on, but please tell me who on the Lakers team can guard Lebron, with fresh legs, 1 on 1? The answer, my friend is nobody. Should be a close game with possible a middle and a win for everybody. I have the Cavs at +4.5. It got down to 2.5 or 3 earlier today I think so if you got it at that, maybe the Lakers will win by 4 and we both win. I don't think there is a team in the NBA that should be giving Lebron and the Cavs, with or without Delonte, 0.5 points much less 4.5. Just had to point that out. Good luck to you sir in all your endeavors.
                      Comment
                      • joanapoker
                        Restricted User
                        • 12-09-08
                        • 2275

                        #291
                        a miracle happens....ehehehe
                        Comment
                        • BiggDogg5n2
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-23-08
                          • 2416

                          #292
                          CK....
                          Detroit looking good first quarter and first half wins....
                          Put 1/2 of that on Detroit -1 2nd half...
                          what you think? BOL to you and GB...Dogg
                          Comment
                          • The_Kid
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-09-08
                            • 5049

                            #293
                            Originally posted by danrman
                            everybody bet the lakers,,they cover when you least expect them to on days when all the underdogs are hitting.. this is a good spot for them... the game against orlando was their 1st game back after a road trip.. kobe will be on tonight.. they've had time to rest and make some adjustments.. lakers by 10
                            RLM on the game for those that are interested in that theory. If the Lakers lose here, then that'll be three in a row and CK knows what to do when that happens.
                            Comment
                            • Smacksmiter
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-20-08
                              • 1169

                              #294
                              Originally posted by Smacksmiter
                              Good information there djpremier...I am taking a teaser myself...

                              3 Team 8pt BK Special Teaser ( any tie is a loss )

                              [511] INDIANA +16½-110 (B+8)
                              [520] BOSTON PK-110 (B+8)
                              [523] CLEVELAND +12½-110 (B+8)

                              Boston has found their swagger, Indiana can shoot themselves into covering with that many points...and as we all know, the Lakers are terrible at covering spreads so a double digit cover against Cleveland has about a 10 to 20% chance of happening in my estimation...

                              As you can see, any tie is a loss here, so you need to select lines that make sure you do not end up with a tie... if possible.

                              $600 to win $500...
                              Bumping this up in case anyone wants to hit the last parts of it with me... good luck!
                              Also, rolling with a little on Carolina and the over in hockey per hockeytown's recommendation..


                              Comment
                              • africanroller
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-30-08
                                • 936

                                #295
                                the line has gone from -4 to -5 how is that RLM
                                Comment
                                • Smacksmiter
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-20-08
                                  • 1169

                                  #296
                                  I have not heard much about college ball leans on the thread tonight... anyone liking anything ?
                                  Comment
                                  • ANDYW15
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-28-08
                                    • 1254

                                    #297
                                    Originally posted by africanroller
                                    the line has gone from -4 to -5 how is that RLM
                                    Because 61% are on the Cavs
                                    Comment
                                    • danrman
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-30-08
                                      • 2696

                                      #298
                                      the easy trend is to bet the celtics who have been covering as of late and bet against the lakes who got smoked on national tv by orlando... conventional wisdom is the cavs. have beaten the lakes 5 straight times and that cleve. is at least as good as orlando and the lakes got no defense so take the points and lebron.. it aint gonna happen.. the celtics wont cover and the lakers will.. tis my opinion.. the other way is tooooooo easy and dont think im a blind lakers fan cause i'll bet against them in a heartbeat.. also i wouldnt be surprised if the lakes are down at halftime.. good luck to whom ever you choose
                                      Comment
                                      • vassman86
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-11-08
                                        • 1042

                                        #299
                                        Originally posted by africanroller
                                        the line has gone from -4 to -5 how is that RLM
                                        Are you referring to the Cavs-Lakers game? 61% of the public is on the Cavs' spread, but the line has improved for Cavs backers: going from +4 to +5
                                        Comment
                                        • SamsNCharge99
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-22-08
                                          • 41242

                                          #300
                                          I'm guessing a little bias out of the Lakers statement......Avatar
                                          Comment
                                          • BelieveTheHype
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-03-09
                                            • 747

                                            #301
                                            can't listen to a guy betting on the Lakers with a Lakers avatar, lol.
                                            Comment
                                            • cocknocker
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 11-06-08
                                              • 8001

                                              #302
                                              Celtics are going to blow out the Suns. I am very confident about that one. i am also taking the Cetlics -2.5 first quarter as well, homies
                                              Comment
                                              • BelieveTheHype
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 01-03-09
                                                • 747

                                                #303
                                                Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                Celtics are going to blow out the Suns. I am very confident about that one. i am also taking the Cetlics -2.5 first quarter as well, homies
                                                With you on that, booked it earlier.

                                                GL
                                                Comment
                                                • The_Kid
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-09-08
                                                  • 5049

                                                  #304
                                                  Originally posted by ANDYW15
                                                  Because 61% are on the Cavs

                                                  Originally posted by vassman86
                                                  Are you referring to the Cavs-Lakers game? 61% of the public is on the Cavs' spread, but the line has improved for Cavs backers: going from +4 to +5
                                                  Comment
                                                  • africanroller
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-30-08
                                                    • 936

                                                    #305
                                                    2 NHL plays tonight

                                                    1. Dallas -110

                                                    Dallas 7-0 last 7 meetings in Tampa
                                                    Dallas 10-3 last 13 meetings
                                                    Road team 6-0 in last 6 meetings

                                                    2. Buffalo -even

                                                    Both teams are hot right now but I just see Buffalo with more talent.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MJ
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 01-05-09
                                                      • 222

                                                      #306
                                                      Originally posted by ANDYW15
                                                      Because 61% are on the Cavs
                                                      Andy, can you tell me the website that shows the percentage of people betting on a particular game?

                                                      Thank you in advance.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Dexter
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-24-08
                                                        • 25829

                                                        #307
                                                        Originally posted by danrman
                                                        heartbreaking loss w/ the bulls but minny covered vs. the clipjoint so im 1-1.. im betting the suns and the lakers.. i guarennteeeee the lakers will cover... the public is all over cleve and the house has been racking up all day on the bettors.. the lakers will cover.. they always cover when you least expect them to and on days when all the underdogs are hitting
                                                        says the man with the laker avatar
                                                        Comment
                                                        • johnnyP
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 12-06-08
                                                          • 305

                                                          #308
                                                          CK, How do you feel about taking a little action on UAB tonight? Big favorite and seems like easy money first half and game?

                                                          1st Half - -9 -110 ML= -650
                                                          GAME - -16 -110 ML= -1600

                                                          I hate tying up that much cash in a single bet but its such a strong play. I know it breaks the rules of money management but how often do we find really solid odds if you know what i mean.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • danrman
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-30-08
                                                            • 2696

                                                            #309
                                                            good one dex... 70% of the public is on cleve and they are the 3rd most bet on team today.. the lakes arent even in the top 10.. the celtics are not gonna cover 8 1/2
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ANDYW15
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-28-08
                                                              • 1254

                                                              #310
                                                              Originally posted by MJ
                                                              Andy, can you tell me the website that shows the percentage of people betting on a particular game?

                                                              Thank you in advance.
                                                              There are many I believe, and I don't know how reliable they are really but I have a look at this one


                                                              Since 1999 TheSpread has been delivering fast and accurate public betting information, betting predictions and betting odds every game day!


                                                              scroll to nba > public bets

                                                              others may know more reliable/informative ones.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • cheesehead004
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 12-24-08
                                                                • 715

                                                                #311
                                                                Anyone like Boston -4.5 1H and Under 104.5 1H. I see it playing out something like 51-40 Boston at the half. No way they score 105 points...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • africanroller
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-30-08
                                                                  • 936

                                                                  #312
                                                                  You guys need up to the minute. Its 61%
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • nonsense48
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-15-08
                                                                    • 2927

                                                                    #313
                                                                    locked in as follows:bos-8' texam+10' nickle each. good luck everyone
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cheesehead004
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                                      • 715

                                                                      #314
                                                                      Originally posted by africanroller
                                                                      Im thinking I have to roll with the Cuse tonight +9
                                                                      I think they might win this game straight up, although I just have them +5 1H and that looks pretty good so far.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ANDYW15
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 07-28-08
                                                                        • 1254

                                                                        #315
                                                                        Grizzlies lead 69-67 going into the 4th , Pistons beginning to look tired
                                                                        Comment
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