1. #1
    Justin7
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    1st half injury in WNBA NY-LA

    Plennete Pierson gimps around after taking a shot in the ribs. Her team plays 20 seconds without her, and doesn't notice her hunched over on the far half-court. She is a starter, and has 171 minutes on the season, 3rd highest of any NY player.

    She sucks. Her defensive rating is 12 points worse than the team average. NY's OEF/DEF differential is -7 (meaning they are a below average team). Pierson's is -17, meaning she is pretty bad for a starter.

    If she doesn't come back in the first half, look to play NY for the second half. If the game is tied, take NY +3.5 or +4, regardless of her status, for the second half.

  2. #2
    Justin7
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    Looks like she shook it off... NY+4.5 h2 is the right side.

  3. #3
    vyomguy
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    game tied

  4. #4
    Justin7
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    Small play on ov79.5 h2 also. Market hasn't approved much of +4.5 so far.

  5. #5
    yisman
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    Not completely sure I understand your logic, but I went ahead and bet NY +5.

    As for the total, books are offering either 80.5 or 81 right now.

    actually, did get 80 at BetJam. Pinnacle has 81.

  6. #6
    Emily_Haines
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    ny always seems to play la tough plus pondexter is finally making some shots.

  7. #7
    Emily_Haines
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    dam u can get +5.5 now

  8. #8
    Justin7
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    Quote Originally Posted by yisman View Post
    Not completely sure I understand your logic, but I went ahead and bet NY +5.

    As for the total, books are offering either 80.5 or 81 right now.

    actually, did get 80 at BetJam. Pinnacle has 81.
    I thought NY was the right side. In my world of bad lines, Pick'em would be a better line than +7 or +7.5. The WNBA market is inefficient. The closing line in this sport is often crap. NY is right for the game, and *if* you accept this, taking NY+5 for h2 is better than +7.5 for the game.

    If that player were injured, I think a backup would do at least as well. If the oddsmakers adjusted for the injury of a starter, I think they would add value to a NY bet.

  9. #9
    Bluehorseshoe
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    NY here.

    Lost Wash. Won Phoenix and Chicago.

  10. #10
    flipside2469
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    Anyone taking ml?

  11. #11
    Bell Curves
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    Took NY +5 and o81. Let's see how that goes.

  12. #12
    yisman
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    Quote Originally Posted by Justin7 View Post
    I thought NY was the right side. In my world of bad lines, Pick'em would be a better line than +7 or +7.5. The WNBA market is inefficient. The closing line in this sport is often crap. NY is right for the game, and *if* you accept this, taking NY+5 for h2 is better than +7.5 for the game.
    Certainly it would be, but I'm not sure if factoring in the opening line is the right thing to do when deciding whether to take +5 2h.

    If that player were injured, I think a backup would do at least as well. If the oddsmakers adjusted for the injury of a starter, I think they would add value to a NY bet.
    I see what you're saying. Unfortunate that she came back. She's doing well tonight, though.

    I ended up betting +5 and over 80. I didn't hang around long enough for it to get to 5.5.

  13. #13
    flipside2469
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    Phew. 5.5 wins by the hook. Good call Justin.

  14. #14
    Bell Curves
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bell Curves View Post
    Took NY +5 and o81. Let's see how that goes.
    Double push, I should have gotten a better line.

  15. #15
    Justin7
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    Quote Originally Posted by flipside2469 View Post
    Phew. 5.5 wins by the hook. Good call Justin.
    I'm glad you won. I dropped 2 g's by being a chump, and not knowing which way the line would move. Fortunately, the side covered for the game.

  16. #16
    xXxBallin21xXx
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    over 80 , got me sweatin at the end

  17. #17
    Bell Curves
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    Quote Originally Posted by Justin7 View Post
    I'm glad you won. I dropped 2 g's by being a chump, and not knowing which way the line would move. Fortunately, the side covered for the game.
    There were plenty of chances for NY to score one basket at the end. Though beat IMO.

  18. #18
    panik
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    Great calll . I didnt tail though too bad.

  19. #19
    yisman
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    Wish I had gotten the +5.5!

  20. #20
    Bell Curves
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    Wish I had gotten the o80.5

  21. #21
    minet123
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    Great call justin

  22. #22
    Whippit
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    ko'd liberty +7 pregame suckas

    what u think about that

  23. #23
    CarpeDime
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    i tailed the full game side pick


    thanks J7

  24. #24
    Whippit
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    ur welcome

  25. #25
    yisman
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    Quote Originally Posted by Whippit View Post
    ko'd liberty +7 pregame suckas what u think about that
    Quote Originally Posted by Whippit View Post
    ko'd liberty +7 pregame suckas what u think about that
    Quote Originally Posted by Whippit View Post
    ur welcome

  26. #26
    Scorpion
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    Quote Originally Posted by bell curves View Post
    took ny +5 and o81. Let's see how that goes.
    push/push

  27. #27
    marcojuiceman
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    won that 2 pick parlay over and new york

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