"70% math play" system tracking

[sprasad03]

any plays today?

[xxdjstriderxx]

i believe there are a few maybe but lets wait for someone to post officially

[willpies]

there be no plays today

[schaapattack]

no plays for 01/23?

[SportsLockPicks]

cleveland is the only one that comes close, but injuries nullify it

[xerac]

ok slow posting today but no 7pm games are plays wanted to take my time check plays it given since i missed double dig spread other day.

01/23 0 Plays (99.9% sure its a play) Updated Celeveland No play West Broken Wrist 6 weeks out





New Orleans No Play Tyson Chandler has been ruled out of Friday night's game against Minnesota because of a sprained left ankle also David West has been ruled out of Friday's game against Minnesota because of back spasms.


Cleveland Play Game is not back to back Cleveland have no starters injured or returning starters also spread no double figures

also despite earlier reports to the contrary, Wallace (flu) played in Friday's victory over the Hornets so don't see this as a injury so should be consider if it goes to -10 or above then its a no play.

if you can see anything ive missed on Cleveland play why it shouldnt be a play let me know but sure ive cover all filters for it and added to my record as a play

Updated:

West will miss up to six weeks with a broken right wrist, the Associated Press reports. (Jan 16) as he listed 3rd on depth chart didnt even both to check him guess was my mistake.

my bad thanks guy for notice the no play so look like 17 days no play streak contiunes

[schaapattack]

isnt d. west out?

[schaapattack]

D. West is a starter and hes out wouldnt that make it a no play?

[MVFC182]

Ilgauskas is still considered a starter aswell I'd assume.

[xerac]

thanks guy dam still missed it put west down in notepad for further cleveland plays again

[schaapattack]

so no play?

[xerac]

not 100% sure as west not listed as starter anymore so does that mean he still consider a starter for the system but think its a No play

http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/teams/depth?team=cle

[willpies]

Cavs arent a play because igauskas

[xerac]

ok gone back re read what porkchop posted and mundane been doing it as filtered so you guys right cavs no play due to igauskas and west/

from tomorrow going off what porkchop found on the system going track the system aswell but unfiltered so be two plays filtered and unfiltered from the system cause might be intresting as we are currently on 17 day no play streak on filters.

like cavs tonight would of been a play on unfiltered system as they adjusted there starters cause of the two injurys and see what record it gives for rest of the season as unfiltered system again im just tracking it and if you using it to bet do so at your own risk

[xerac]

01/24 0 Plays



Portland No Play Steve Blake (shoulder) is no longer wearing a sling and could return in 10 days (01/19)

Cleveland No play back to back games.

Record:
Win 11
Loss 3
78.57%

________________________________________ ______________________

Non Filtered

01/24 2 Plays

Cleveland +3
Portland -10


Record: From [01/23]
Win 0
Loss 2
0.00%

ok just had quick look back from 2nd of jan at the plays ive posted. check the results with the open lines i had he what i got it to below if you took the plays unfiltered have record below, it doesnt include 01/24 plays.

Record: From [01/02]
Win 14
Loss 28
33.33%

so guess the filters are big part in the plays not sure how walt said he saw they where still winning not using the filters unless ive been doing something wrong tracking this

[xerac]

01/25 0 Plays



L.A Clippers No play Davis (tailbone) said he's hoping to be ready for Wednesday's game at home against Chicago.

Record:
Win 11
Loss 3
78.57%

________________________________________ _

Non-Filtered

01/25 1 Play

L.A. Clippers +9.5

Both unfiltered plays won last night but remeber im just tracking if you bet do so at own risk bear in mind quick check i did back to 2nd jan on unfiltered plays above.

Record
Win 2
Loss 2
50.00%

[jholl]

you guys I emailed Football jesus , who is a real gambler in vegas about so called "System Plays" and he sent this:

"not worth anything, and over the long term are just 50-50, on average, they have nothing to do with the preperation, talent, location , situation and motivation of the teams involved. If you really want to win , look at each game separately, and do your homework, you will come out on top. All power numbers from every joe out there, are all available to the guys who make the lines and are factored in, as soon as you think you know more than the guys who set the lines, you are doomed, no system has ever worked over a large sample of games, if you dont believe me, try it on very game for a week, and see what happens . "

so i guess we should beware

[willpies]

Nets +2 is a play if you disregard the fact jianlian isnt playing. I think he hasnt played in ages so its a play

[jholl]

cleveland is the only one that comes close, but injuries nullify it

how does an injury NULLIFY a system play ? how does the system quantify it ? so you dont count any game if there is is an injury of any player ? on either side? this seems a little convenient, beacuse who is the judge of the degree of injury and to what player and how many minutes he plays etc

a play is a play regardless

[MexicanStallion]

how does an injury NULLIFY a system play ? how does the system quantify it ? so you dont count any game if there is is an injury of any player ? on either side? this seems a little convenient, beacuse who is the judge of the degree of injury and to what player and how many minutes he plays etc

a play is a play regardless

If you would read the first post I think it says all the requirements for a play. Plays dont count if a starter is injured because it breaks one of the filters

[xerac]

jholl it seems you havent look at the system proper or eles you know injurys wouldnt count for both teams only the team thats the play and you know injurys for only starters be a case not all players.

a play is a play regardless

if you even bother reading up the page you seen i counted the plays without filters and posted record i got from 2nd of jan to 23rd



01/26 0 Plays




New Jersey no not sure if Hassell or Jianlian are starters also Devin Harris is dealing with bruised ribs but he hasnt missed any games as far as i cant see with it so think thats ok just Hassell is he a starter

______________________________

Non-Filtered

01/26 2 Play

Phoenix -3.5
New Jersey +1.5


Record
Win 2
Loss 3
40.00%

[Achilles15]

If you would read the first post I think it says all the requirements for a play. Plays dont count if a starter is injured because it breaks one of the filters

well, what constitutes a "starter" , a starter in the first game of the season who has now been out for 2 months( like mcgrady) or a starter in the last game they played? im confused.

[SportsLockPicks]

no play is no play, when you try to start squeezing plays in and talking yourselves into taking a team anyway, you break the mold...thats why this is such a great tool, it isn't supposed to pump out winners..its is a slow and steady thing and in the process of proving itself...be patient, and for the record, watch for when XERAC says weather or not it is a play, not anyone else

[xerac]

not sure just trying to track it as best i can not sure if it means starters from the 1st game of the season or weather when a starter got injury you have to wait for him to come back then wait 7 days before playing the team or weather you wait 7 days for a starter to come back if he doesnt they carry on as normal.

ive been following if starters out waiting for him to come back they wait 7 days before playing the team

but think if a starter not injrued and not listed as a starter dont think it should be called a no play to be honest but so far most of the no plays have been cause starters have been out injured

think if a starter get traded then wait 7 days then play the traded as the starter not 100%

[willpies]

Orlando -8.5 (at WSEX) at home playing Indiana is a play.

[NBA Hero]

if orl -9 still a play?

[therber2]

Good luck. Orlando isn't good enough I think to cover that. Why don't you guys just ML non-filtered plays.

Have you tried RPI in the equation instead?

[therber2]

Good luck. Orlando isn't good enough I think to cover that. Why don't you guys just ML non-filtered plays.

Have you tried RPI in the equation instead?

[SportsLockPicks]

peitrus is the cog in the wheel on this one...Xerac..whats the call on the Orlando game?

[Achilles15]

Good luck. Orlando isn't good enough I think to cover that. Why don't you guys just ML non-filtered plays.

Have you tried RPI in the equation instead?

i agree , this game is going to be high scoring, and 9 is way high

[xerac]

01/27 0 Plays




Cleveland No play over 10 spread

L.A. Lakers No play over 10 spread

Orlando No play i make Mickael Pietrus a starter Pietrus (wrist) returned to practice Monday and said he may be able to play this coming Sunday in Toronto, the Orlando Sentinel reports. (Jan 26)


______________________

Non-Filtered

01/27 3 Play


Cleveland -13.5
Orlando -9
L.A. Lakers -11


Record
Win 3
Loss 4
42.86%

[willpies]

You guys suck it was a play

[willpies]

Pietrus played and played well

[xerac]

yeh but he didnt start he was on the bench

[AdaBarber]

Pietrus is not considered a starter anymore. It was a play. Thanks for the work guys.