ATS record 27-17
Totals 11-7
Big card tonight let´s start:
Wizards at 76ers -3.5: As we know Washington is the best road team ATS 70%, has a nice 70% as road dog, and so on is all overall better than 76ers ATS, what concerns me here is the fact that Washington is starting a road trip after 3 homestands, usually teams struggle the first game the go away from home, I find more value here in the Total sitting at 190.5, both teams run a slower pace than usual last 3 games, while allowing less than 94 average in last 3, My lean under 190.5.
Pistons at Indiana -8: thought this was a piece of cake to pick, but not, Indiana is 3rd in division games 71.4% ATS, detroit owns the edge in conference games 53.6%, even I see Pacers winning tis one I am not that confident they can cover those 8 pts after a 4 game road trip, I´ll pass.
Orlando at Knicks -9: Orlando is struggling badly to score lately, while NY is playing a great def last 3 games at home allowing 93 avg. Even Orlando is 4th ATS as road team I am not confident anymore with themneither with NY to cover those 9 pts, Prefer to sit and watch.
Toronta at Atlanta -7.5: Atlanta has a record of 0-7 after 2 day rest, and Toronto playing a nice 59.1 in conference games, Overall we could say that Atlanta sucks ATS an are very unpredictable, even with all those facts I have a small lean here on Toronto +7.5.
Sacramento at Boston -7: I see Boston winning by 8 line is at 7 too close for me, I find more value here in the total, Boston plays a good decent defense at home and Kings struggle to score away from home, My lean here Under 194.
Bulls at Milwuakee +1: Line is at 1 I see this game as a PK, Milwuakee has the edge on Conference games but I see the bucks as a better road team than home and they are on b2b, on the Other hand Chicago is way better ATS on the road than home, My lean Bulls -1.
Clippers at Minnesota +4.5: Until Clippers does not recover some players due to injury It´s is better not to touch their games IMO. Pass
Miami at Brooklyn +2: ATS I see this game very close to line, I see a good value here with the Totals, brooklyn have been scoring very good at home lately and defending way better, on th eother hand offense efficiency % from Miami on the road it´s pretty damm good even Nets play slowest pace and Miami does not speed up much the game I have a lean here Over 190.
Charlotte at Spurs -15: even I see Spurs destroying Bobcats no DD for me.
Houston at Denver -4: houston is gaining confidence again migt come flat here after that blowout to Utah, Denver had to fight till late to win vs Pacers, line is at 4 I see thos game beong decided by 5, too close to make a call, pass.
Hornets at Utah -7: NOrleans has been a real money machine for me, althpugh tis time they are on b2b vs a Utah team that was blown out by 45 at home, I see very hard for the Hornets to cover here, I like to play Utah at home usually though I am not confident in this one it´s too close for me to make a call ATS, where I see more value is on the totals, both teams have allowed more than 100 last 3 games, and both have a nice % off efficiency as well, my lean here Over 189.
Lakers at Suns +2.5: Lakers is on b2b playing ATS 42.9% in thi situation, Suns is 2 days off playing 80% ATS (4-1) I like the way Suns have played lately at home and I see this as a pk game , My lean is to take the points Suns +2.5
Will be back later to post final plays
GLTA
Totals 11-7
Big card tonight let´s start:
Wizards at 76ers -3.5: As we know Washington is the best road team ATS 70%, has a nice 70% as road dog, and so on is all overall better than 76ers ATS, what concerns me here is the fact that Washington is starting a road trip after 3 homestands, usually teams struggle the first game the go away from home, I find more value here in the Total sitting at 190.5, both teams run a slower pace than usual last 3 games, while allowing less than 94 average in last 3, My lean under 190.5.
Pistons at Indiana -8: thought this was a piece of cake to pick, but not, Indiana is 3rd in division games 71.4% ATS, detroit owns the edge in conference games 53.6%, even I see Pacers winning tis one I am not that confident they can cover those 8 pts after a 4 game road trip, I´ll pass.
Orlando at Knicks -9: Orlando is struggling badly to score lately, while NY is playing a great def last 3 games at home allowing 93 avg. Even Orlando is 4th ATS as road team I am not confident anymore with themneither with NY to cover those 9 pts, Prefer to sit and watch.
Toronta at Atlanta -7.5: Atlanta has a record of 0-7 after 2 day rest, and Toronto playing a nice 59.1 in conference games, Overall we could say that Atlanta sucks ATS an are very unpredictable, even with all those facts I have a small lean here on Toronto +7.5.
Sacramento at Boston -7: I see Boston winning by 8 line is at 7 too close for me, I find more value here in the total, Boston plays a good decent defense at home and Kings struggle to score away from home, My lean here Under 194.
Bulls at Milwuakee +1: Line is at 1 I see this game as a PK, Milwuakee has the edge on Conference games but I see the bucks as a better road team than home and they are on b2b, on the Other hand Chicago is way better ATS on the road than home, My lean Bulls -1.
Clippers at Minnesota +4.5: Until Clippers does not recover some players due to injury It´s is better not to touch their games IMO. Pass
Miami at Brooklyn +2: ATS I see this game very close to line, I see a good value here with the Totals, brooklyn have been scoring very good at home lately and defending way better, on th eother hand offense efficiency % from Miami on the road it´s pretty damm good even Nets play slowest pace and Miami does not speed up much the game I have a lean here Over 190.
Charlotte at Spurs -15: even I see Spurs destroying Bobcats no DD for me.
Houston at Denver -4: houston is gaining confidence again migt come flat here after that blowout to Utah, Denver had to fight till late to win vs Pacers, line is at 4 I see thos game beong decided by 5, too close to make a call, pass.
Hornets at Utah -7: NOrleans has been a real money machine for me, althpugh tis time they are on b2b vs a Utah team that was blown out by 45 at home, I see very hard for the Hornets to cover here, I like to play Utah at home usually though I am not confident in this one it´s too close for me to make a call ATS, where I see more value is on the totals, both teams have allowed more than 100 last 3 games, and both have a nice % off efficiency as well, my lean here Over 189.
Lakers at Suns +2.5: Lakers is on b2b playing ATS 42.9% in thi situation, Suns is 2 days off playing 80% ATS (4-1) I like the way Suns have played lately at home and I see this as a pk game , My lean is to take the points Suns +2.5
Will be back later to post final plays
GLTA
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