1. #1
    Sunde91
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    Dallas -6.5 Game 5 Has To Be A Play

    Seems as if books still disrespecting Dallas despite getting murdered by them all playoffs.

    Books just keeping to their series models or w/e the fuk as 6.5 was game 1 line. Bad line. Should be -8 or more.

    Dallas is the most resolute team we maybe have ever seen and they probably blow out OKC here. What happened in game 5 against Portland affter blowing 20 point lead in Portland? Blow out. What happened after LA was down and out going into game 4 similar to OKC here? Blow out.

    I literally cannot find one instance of a road team winning game 5 in recent past. There are many examples where home team will close out huge in game 5. A comparable example to look at is 07 WCF Jazz/Spurs. Veteran Spurs just came off a game 4 road win vs. a young Jazz team. Jazz probably discouraged as it was a must win. Spurs come home in game 5 and win by 25 on a -8 line when game 1/2 was -6.5. This is exactly what we should see here in a similar situation.

    Haven't even mentioned the fact yet that OKC is completely beaten and demoralized. Durant looks like a defeated 13 yo kid yesterday with his back pack and terrible body language and tone of speech. Westbrook sure as hell isn't responding either.

    Dallas closes out in a big way like they have all year. Too many veterans, too much experience over OKC.

    No doubt this line moves, probably over a full point.
    Last edited by Sunde91; 05-24-11 at 11:53 AM.

  2. #2
    M.W.
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    Totally agree.

  3. #3
    OpiateBank
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    No , you would have thought the same thing with the Lakers close out game. Everyone took Lakers. Line will favor taking Dallas. Which you should

  4. #4
    Sunde91
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    Earlier today it was 60%+ on OKC. Now after Miami is over, on to the next one for public, it's 54% on Dallas. http://pregame.com/EN/main/sports-be...-spy-insights/
    Sportsbook was 55% OKC now 70% Dallas http://www.sportsbook.com/betting-trends/

    GREAT line and it will go higher after people jump on it now.

  5. #5
    terpkeg
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    I think you are right on here. I definitely took the bait on Jazz in the series you referenced above. Wouldnt be suprised to see this jump tomorrow when limits increase tomorrow AM. Everything out of Dallas past month would lead you to beleive they maintain focus. For the Thunder, an emotional letdown is inevitable.

  6. #6
    Sunde91
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    Can't believe 47% are on OKC, keeping line from moving, for now.

    terp, no doubt. Some quotes

    "I know that (the Thunder) are going to come in tomorrow and they're going to come back at us hard, as they've done every game," Carlisle said. "We'll have to play our best game to close them out. ... We've got to be careful about getting away with how happy we are".
    "There's a laser-like focus with this group to do whatever we can to get the next win," Carlisle said. "It's been a group that's believed in themselves all year long. We don't quit. We never give up. A lot of those qualities came into play last night. ... They know what it's about for us. We're trying to get somewhere this franchise has never gotten. There's a real resolve there."
    http://stats.washingtonpost.com/nba/...ef=hea&tm=&src

    Most resolute team possibly ever gets it done tonight by DD

  7. #7
    GoldRush7
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    Dallas by DD to close for sure

  8. #8
    t-wizzle
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sunde91 View Post
    Really reaching and looking to be some pseudo sharp contrarian playing Dallas here. Notice you don't have a single reason to take them.

  9. #9
    sweethook
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    dallas at home ,liken the over as well , gl

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