1. #1
    The Coach's Desk
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    Dal/Okc game 3

    Dal/Okc u 200.5

    Significant reverse line movement here
    only 28% of the $$ on the under but total dropped 1.5 points from 202
    heavy money on the under here
    some books shade the under at -115 most are at -110
    Last game saw total score drop from 235 in game 1 to 206 in game 2
    game 2 second half was low scoring as well only 90 total points
    I think this series is shifting to the def. end....and IMO scoring should be harder to come by

    Also keep eye on side total
    48% of public on Dal and line coming down
    from 3 to 2.5
    This trend continues and we lean Dal +points

    BOL

  2. #2
    migz
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    Actually, 56% on Dal side.

  3. #3
    Love The Action
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    Quote Originally Posted by migz View Post
    Actually, 56% on Dal side.
    Depends on where you look...I see different numbers at different outs, but they are all pretty much within the 45%-55% range. That's really not that significant though.

    I also love the under here, and jumped on it for 10x at 202. Good luck all!

  4. #4
    spongerat
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    where is 28% on the under? I'm seeing a huge majority 80%ish on the under

  5. #5
    The Coach's Desk
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    Vegas insider.com
    30% on the under now

  6. #6
    thejrichshow85
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    okc is going to explode in this game durant will have 30+ westbrook will have a near triple double and the thunder will win 111-94

  7. #7
    rapidfire5
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    Jose Bautista

  8. #8
    headhunter34
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    okc always has a huge home court advantage with their crowd goin nuts. i think they win game 3 by 5

  9. #9
    AikenJ
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    I'm personally gonna play the over. I'm feelin Jason Terry comin' out gunz blazin

  10. #10
    hankcream
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    Under today & over tomorrow,

  11. #11
    hankcream
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    Under today & over tomorrow in the MIA / Chi game.

  12. #12
    Love The Action
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    Quote Originally Posted by spongerat View Post
    where is 28% on the under? I'm seeing a huge majority 80%ish on the under

    I think the better question is where you see 80% on the under. Sportsinsights, Sportspy, Scores/Odds, VegasInsider and Covers/BetUS all havef the majority of total bets being on the over (all of them 68% and up).

    Where are you looking?

  13. #13
    The Coach's Desk
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    Quote Originally Posted by Love The Action View Post
    Depends on where you look...I see different numbers at different outs, but they are all pretty much within the 45%-55% range. That's really not that significant though.

    I also love the under here, and jumped on it for 10x at 202. Good luck all!
    LTA I respect your opinions..I should have listened to you on your advice about game 1 over trend in this yrs. NBA playoffs
    Im with you on the under tonight
    GL

  14. #14
    Love The Action
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Coach's Desk View Post
    LTA I respect your opinions..I should have listened to you on your advice about game 1 over trend in this yrs. NBA playoffs
    Im with you on the under tonight
    GL

    Same here...you always have solid plays. Let's get this under!

  15. #15
    jacer333
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    Hopefully these teams finally realize it is the WCF and we see a little defense tonight. I am on the under again and need to get back my losses from getting burned in Dallas on the totals.

  16. #16
    Firefox14
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    Quote Originally Posted by Love The Action View Post
    I think the better question is where you see 80% on the under. Sportsinsights, Sportspy, Scores/Odds, VegasInsider and Covers/BetUS all havef the majority of total bets being on the over (all of them 68% and up).

    Where are you looking?

    I believe he's referring to the opening line movement. You can see it on sbrodds. Roughly 83% on the under at 202. It began leveling out around 200 1/2.

  17. #17
    Deggs
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    pass on the totals and bet on OKC.

  18. #18
    Love The Action
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    Quote Originally Posted by Firefox14 View Post
    I believe he's referring to the opening line movement. You can see it on sbrodds. Roughly 83% on the under at 202. It began leveling out around 200 1/2.
    Thanks...but remember, SBR odds only provides betting percentages from 5Dimes so that's not a comprehensive representation of the action at all the books. Plus, if the early money was on the under, that is a good thing. Generally, the only people betting openers are sharps. The public money on the over comes today. The sharp money on the under came yesterday....

  19. #19
    TheAccountant
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    OKC wins this one right?

  20. #20
    zogdog
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    I think Dallas wins this... I think they're simply the better team. This is almost a must win for Dallas because they do not want to face the prospect of going down 3-1 with game 4 at OKC as well.

  21. #21
    smarsh816
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    u guy keep talking bout the d these 2 teams dont play great d u guys are talking about these teams like they are the heat and bulls they win by scoring not playing d this game goes over the mavs live off the 3 they will hit around 10-15 and then the thunder will hit 5-10 maybe more

  22. #22
    TheDane
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    I still see more offense.

  23. #23
    jureslo
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    On Oklahoma today.

  24. #24
    Pivotpoint
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    I'm going to take Dallas tonight. Just enough to keep it interesting, Dallas + 2 1/2 2x. Went back and forth on this one and I think one could make a decent arguement for either side. Even though it's not much, when in doubt, I'll take the points.
    Bottom line, trends point slightly to Dallas to bounce back off a loss as a fav, getting points. Thunder strong at home, Mavs tough on the road. I agree that Dallas is a better "team" and experience should help them bounce back. I believe Dirk will have a better game and don't believe Harden will have a repeat. Very concerned about how Westbrook will be mentally. They need him to win and I worry he will try to prove something tonight. Great potential, but he get's out of control and really needs to grow up. Dallas got here by playing strong "D" and I might put a small play on the under. Makes sense if you like the under to make a small bet and parlay it with Dallas on the ML. Glta, this is what I'm going with. Love the Bulls getting +5 on Sunday.
    Dallas + 2.5 2x
    Dallas ml +120 / Dallas un 200 1x

  25. #25
    supr_villn
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    i just hit ridiculous on shackleford !

  26. #26
    Fed_42420
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    most money is on the under, just because the majority is taking the over doesnt mean that is where the big money is

  27. #27
    J Boom
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    over again

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