1. #1
    t-wizzle
    t-wizzle's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-18-09
    Posts: 38,099
    Betpoints: 2191

    Grizzlies -3.5 in Game 3

    Oklahoma City won in a must-win game last night but when the series heads to Memphis, the Grizz will get back on track. Grizzlies or no play for me.

  2. #2
    BettingWizard
    BettingWizard's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-28-09
    Posts: 6,522
    Betpoints: 102

    Thunder win. Hope it goes to 4 and above

  3. #3
    jacer333
    jacer333's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-03-11
    Posts: 361

    More like the Thunder got back on track...if OKC brings the same intensity in the paint and on the boards as last night, they will win easily. OKC is simply a much better shooting team, and Memphis can't match that. Z-Bo will have to go insane again for Memphis to win.

  4. #4
    ramones951
    ramones951's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-08
    Posts: 2,356
    Betpoints: 891

    I like the Grizzlies -3.5 at home here.... They can hang with OKC and they play well at home

  5. #5
    t-wizzle
    t-wizzle's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-18-09
    Posts: 38,099
    Betpoints: 2191

    Thunder are too much of a perimeter-oriented team. They might still win this series and if i had to pick, i'd say they will. But the Grizzlies are a much more well-rounded team. The Thunder will do what they did last night from time to time because that's how it goes for teams that shoot so much from the outside.

  6. #6
    djpremier36
    djpremier36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-11-08
    Posts: 3,479
    Betpoints: 3398

    Leaning Grizz as well. Really like how their bench has played vs. OKC's bench.

  7. #7
    t-wizzle
    t-wizzle's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-18-09
    Posts: 38,099
    Betpoints: 2191

    Line is now 3. Still like the Grizz

  8. #8
    suicidekings
    Update your status
    suicidekings's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-23-09
    Posts: 9,962

    Just booked Grizz -2.5 (-109) at Pinnacle.

    Looking at the line movement since release, the Grizzlies received the early love (in the first hour) on both the ML and spread, but since then the Thunder line has been dropping for 3 days without really reaching equilibrium (at Pinnacle & Greek). This is abnormal and not a good sign for Thunder backers.

    When a line doesn't reach equilibrium and the betting %s are lopsided, it means the market is content with the bet distribution. They're not concerned about the Thunder getting 3 points. If late money hammers the Grizzlies I'll be 95% convinced that Memphis wins this game. But you know... it's the NBA so some magic might happen.

  9. #9
    t-wizzle
    t-wizzle's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-18-09
    Posts: 38,099
    Betpoints: 2191

    SK, do you think sbr odds is accurate as far as the pinnacle line movement? It says pinny opened at 4, then dropped to 3.5. Meanwhile, shops such as the Greek and 5Dimes opened at 3 and went up to 3.5 before coming back to 3.

  10. #10
    suicidekings
    Update your status
    suicidekings's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-23-09
    Posts: 9,962

    It was never 4. It opened at The Greek at 3, moved to 3.5 because Bookmaker was at 3.5, and then opened at Pinnacle at 3.5 half an hour after the Greek/BM openers. Since then the movement has been one way.

  11. #11
    thericker7
    thericker7's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-10
    Posts: 340
    Betpoints: 207

    I'm all over it no matter what. Mem will win this game by 5.

  12. #12
    boddyw68
    boddyw68's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-11
    Posts: 40

    go thunder

  13. #13
    t-wizzle
    t-wizzle's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-18-09
    Posts: 38,099
    Betpoints: 2191

    Line has dropped to 2.5 at pinnacle. Not a good sign for memphis backers but the ML hasn't moved since the spread dropped...

  14. #14
    PayDay
    PayDay's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-19-10
    Posts: 104

    look like people is fading okc...

  15. #15
    suicidekings
    Update your status
    suicidekings's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-23-09
    Posts: 9,962

    Quote Originally Posted by t-wizzle View Post
    Line has dropped to 2.5 at pinnacle. Not a good sign for memphis backers but the ML hasn't moved since the spread dropped...
    We'll see how it closes. I kind of doubt that there's big late money coming in on the Thunder at the worst line that's been available all week.

  16. #16
    StanleySharp
    StanleySharp's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-20-11
    Posts: 645
    Betpoints: 24

    I think this series will go 7 games ... I'm backing Memphis today as well

    BOL t-wizz

  17. #17
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Memphis 1st half

  18. #18
    t-wizzle
    t-wizzle's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-18-09
    Posts: 38,099
    Betpoints: 2191

    Memphis gonna pull this out?

Top