ray doesnt get many assists. hes avg's only 2.5 assists per game. he's also a very streaky shooter. and wade's gonna be guarding him right? wades a good defender. ray is good but he is very streaky. he is bad at times also. remember after he lit up 3's in game 1 or 2 in the finals last year, then the next couple games couldnt buy a shot if his life depended on it? when ray's on, hes amazing.. but he's very streaky. but im not sold on this just yet. i like the prop that the largest lead will be under 14.5.
so with his 2.5 apg, you're basically betting hes gonna get more than 18 points. i think its kinda high personally. but not by much. i'd say he'll be in the 15-20 range. it's gonna be close. i'd take pierce to get more than 18, not sure about ray. too streaky. pierce has his work cut out for him being defended by lebron, but pierce is an animal and is great at muscling his way to the hoop and getting to FT line
if ray can get to the line ur in business... but rays not known for his driving the lane... sure i've seen him do it plenty of times, but he's a catch and shoot kind of guy. if ray plays aggressive all night and gets to the line ur in business.. if he's taking jumpshots all night it will be very close (unless he heats up of course)