1. #1
    demens
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    Some play-off ATS stats from past years.

    Was messing around with the database and found some interesting things.

    Since 2002 season
    A team that had a better win% of 5% or more then the opponent.
    258-199 (56%) ATS (just 1 losing season out of 8)
    25-11 in elimination games.
    145-96 (60%) in home games (no losing seasons)
    18-5 in home elimination games.
    114-78 (59%) H and single digit line.
    26-14 H and double digit line.

  2. #2
    Thomas
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    demens whats the query for that one please

  3. #3
    demens
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    Past 5 seasons.

    Team and lost game 1 on the road is 6-37SU in game 2. 13-30ATS
    For teams that are a bit closer in strength (lines of 5 or less) its 3-13SU 5-11ATS (relates to Port/Dal)

    After a game 1 win on the road teams are 3-14SU and 7-10ATS (atl)

  4. #4
    demens
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    After going up 3-0 in the series if the team is Favored on the road they are 15-2 SU 11-4 ATS (Mia and Chi are likely to sweep their opponents).

  5. #5
    FR3SH like UgHH
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    any trends on 2night?

  6. #6
    forzuto13
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    Quote Originally Posted by demens View Post
    After going up 3-0 in the series if the team is Favored on the road they are 15-2 SU 11-4 ATS (Mia and Chi are likely to sweep their opponents).

    This stat's useful and I see it happening. In one way you expect the opposing team to fight tooth and nail but you have to think in their minds they know it's almost impossible to go four games in a row after being down 0-3. However, I still don't see Chicago covering game four. Indy just plays them too close. They might even get a game at home.

  7. #7
    ParlayJunkie
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    Interesting shiit. Going way back with 2002 stats. Lakers 3 peated that year and hopefully do it again.

  8. #8
    demens
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    I thought the winning team kind of takes it easy up 3-0 knowing they can close out the series at home. But apparently its not the case. Or maybe it is when they play a decent opponent (and are not road favs), but i guess its the weaker team that is deflated after the 3 loses and just dont show up for game 4 most of the time knowing no team has ever come back down 0-3 (i think).

  9. #9
    JOHON8
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    Quote Originally Posted by demens View Post
    I thought the winning team kind of takes it easy up 3-0 knowing they can close out the series at home. But apparently its not the case. Or maybe it is when they play a decent opponent (and are not road favs), but i guess its the weaker team that is deflated after the 3 loses and just dont show up for game 4 most of the time knowing no team has ever come back down 0-3 (i think).
    The teams that have come back to tie it 3-3 lost in the end simply because they were too exhausted.

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