[goldengreek]

LOOKS LIKE THE UNDER IS SOLID IN GAMES WHEN A TEAM IS FACING ELIMINATION


HERE IS A BREAKDOWN OF PAST YEARS-- THE UNDER IS THE FIRST TOTAL SHOWN IN THE RECORDS


***NUMBERS FROM 2004 THRU 2010 PLAYOFFS****
(SEE 2009 & 2010 TRACKING RESULTS BELOW)

Since keeping records starting with the 03-04 post season, the stats I've accumulated (based on opening lines & regulation scores) for all Elimination games* total results are as follows:


Overall SINCE 2003/2004

All Elimination Games: U/O 80-49-3

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 29-28-2
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 51-21-1



1st Round of playoffs

All Elimination Games: U/O 40-26-1

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 20-14-1
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 20-12



2nd Round & onwards of playoffs

All Elimination Games: U/O 40-23-2

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 9-14-1
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 31-9-1


Clearly the prime spot to take Unders are in a game 6 or 7 taking place during the 2nd round or beyond, when both teams have a series win under their belts and are both winners of at least 2 games in the current series.



2009 RESULTS

OVERALL

ALL ELIM GAMES 12-9

ELIM GAME 4 OR 5 ....5-4
ELIM GAME 6 OR 7 ....7-5


1ST ROUND 6-4

ELIM GAME 4 OR 5.... 3-1
ELIM GAME 6 OR 7... 3-3



2ND ROUND AND BEYOND 6-5

ELIM GAME 4 OR 5... 2-3
ELIM GAME 6 OR 7 ....4-2



1ST ROUND 6-4 U/O

CAVS ELIM GAME 4 UNDER
PISTONS

HEAT ELIM GAME 6 - UNDER
HAWKS ELIM GAME 7 -UNDER


MAGIC ELIM GAME 6 - OVER
76ERS


CELTICS ELIM GAME 6 -OVER
BULLS ELIM GAME 7 -OVER


LAKERS ELIM GAME 5 -UNDER
JAZZ


ROCKETS ELIM GAME 6 -UNDER
BLAZERS


NUGGETS ELIM GAME 5 - UNDER
HORNETS


MAVS ELIM GAME 5 ---OVER
SPURS




2ND ROUND 5-2 U/0

CAVS ELIM GAME 4 -UNDER
HAWKS

MAGIC ELIM GAME 6 ---UNDER
CELTICS ELIM GAME 7-- UNDER


LAKERS ELIM GAME 6 --UNDER
ROCKETS ELIM GAME 7-- UNDER


NUGGETS ELIM GAME 4--- OVER
MAVS ELIM GAME 5 ---OVER



3RD ROUND 0-3 U/0


CAVS ELIM GAME 5-- OVER
MAGIC ELIM GAME 6--- OVER

LAKERS ELIM GAME 6 ---OVER
NUGGETS



FINALS 1-0 U/0

LAKERS LAKERS GAME 5--- UNDER
MAGIC





2010 PLAYOFFS


OVERALL

ALL ELIM GAMES: 15-6-1


ELIM GAME 4 OR 5: 4-6-1
ELIM GAME 6 OR 7 : 11-0


1ST ROUND 9-3

ELIM GAME 4 OR 5: 3-3
ELIM GAME 6 OR 7: 6-0


2ND ROUND AND BEYOND 6-3-1

ELIM GAME 4 OR 5 : 1-3-1
ELIM GAME 6 OR 7: 5-0



14-2 ALL GAME 5'S AND BEYOND


1ST ROUND 9-3 U/O

CAVS -ELIM GAME 5 UNDER 199.5 -CAVS 96 BULLS 94
BULLS


HEAT -ELIM GAME 4 OVER 186 -HEAT 101 CELTICS 92
CELTICS -ELIM GAME 5 UNDER 188 -CELTICS 96 HEAT 86


HAWKS - ELIM GAME 6 UNDER 190 -HAWKS 83 BUCKS 69
BUCKS -ELIM GAME 7 UNDER 185.5 -HAWKS 95 BUCKS 74


MAGIC - ELIM GAME 4 OVER 184 -MAGIC 99 BOBCATS 90
BOBCATS


LAKERS -ELIM GAME 6 UNDER 195 -LAKERS 95 THUNDER 94
THUNDER


NUGGETS -ELIM GAME 5 OVER 215 -NUGGETS 116 JAZZ 102
JAZZ -ELIM GAME 6 UNDER 217.5 -JAZZ 112 NUGGETS 104


BLAZERS -ELIM GAME 6 UNDER 202 -SUNS 99 BLAZERS 90
SUNS


SPURS -ELIM GAME 5 UNDER 193 -MAVS 103 SPURS 81
MAVS -ELIM GAME 6 UNDER 191 -SPURS 97 MAVS 87




2ND ROUND 2-1-1 U/O


CAVS - ELIM GAME 6 UNDER 196 ...CELTICS 94 CAVS 85
CELTICS

HAWKS - ELIM GAME 4 UNDER 193... MAGIC 98 HAWKS 84
MAGIC

LAKERS -ELIM GAME 4 PUSH 207.... LAKERS 111 JAZZ 96
JAZZ

SPURS -ELIM GAME 4 OVER 207... SUNS 107 SPURS 101
SUNS



3RD ROUND 2-2 U/O


MAGIC -ELIM GAME 4 OVER 187... MAGIC 96 CELTICS 92 OT
CELTICS -ELIM GAME 5 OVER 186... MAGIC 113 CELTICS 92
.............-ELIM GAME 6 UNDER 189... CELTICS 96 MAGIC 84


LAKERS -ELIM GAME 6 UNDER 216 ....LAKERS 111 SUNS 103
SUNS



FINALS 2-0 U/O


CELTICS -ELIM GAME 6 UNDER 189 ......LAKERS 89 CELTICS 67
LAKERS -ELIM GAME 7 UNDER 186...... LAKERS 83 CELTICS 79

[himeshforex]

nice stuff !! one more nuke in our arsenal

[Petenana15]

good stuff man, can't wait to see your picks! Are you more confident in the playoffs or regular season. Some people love the playoffs.

[goldengreek]

good stuff man, can't wait to see your picks! Are you more confident in the playoffs or regular season. Some people love the playoffs.

i do well in the playoffs...but i prefer the regular season.. There are days in the playoffs wereyou are forced to pick from 3-4 games

in the regular season you can pick and choose from 8-12 games any given day

[ClimbSomeRocks]

I always thought the playoffs were the hardest to cap. Looks like you do well - GL

[jcygts6]

thanks for the useful info

[MrXYZ]

thanks for sharing this info GG. I figured the Under would have a better chance of hitting in the playoffs, but thought the bookies would set lower totals to compensate.

[kobefanatic]

thanks fro sharing this GG

[demens]

http://sportsdatabase.com/nba.py/que...t=query_header

2006 10-12
2005 10-15
2002 9-17

108-84 overall since 2002 (56%).

Not 60+ but not bad, just know there is no magic angle thats just gonna win games for you. You can easily have a losing run doing this. I'm sure if there was data going past the 2002 season it would level out closer to 50% like pretty much any other angle.

[kobefanatic]

GG any leans for saturday games?

[goldengreek]

http://sportsdatabase.com/nba.py/query?text=Sum%28points%3Cooints@team%20and%20o:team%20and%20season %20and%20playoffs=1%29%20=%203%20and%20s eason&sort=query_header

2006 10-12
2005 10-15
2002 9-17

108-84 overall since 2002 (56%).

Not 60+ but not bad, just know there is no magic angle thats just gonna win games for you. You can easily have a losing run doing this. I'm sure if there was data going past the 2002 season it would level out closer to 50% like pretty much any other angle.

AND 62% SINCE 2003 WHICH IS WHAT I POSTED ( YOUR FIGURES ARE A BIT OFF )

SO YOU HAVE TO BRING OUT 2002 TO DROP IT DOWN TO 60 % ??

I ASSUME THE THREE YRS YOU POSTED WERE THE ONLY THREE YRS THIS SYSTEM DIDNT DO WELL ?

SO ITS BEEN HITTING AT 70 % PLUS FOR 6 OF THE LAST 9 YRS IF YOU TAKE OUT THE THREE YRS U POINTED OUT


MAN.... U ARE JUST A MISERABLE PERSON

[goldengreek]

gg any leans for saturday games?

not yet... Tomorrow looks tough

[lyon804]

Thanks for sharing.

[demens]

AND 62% SINCE 2003 WHICH IS WHAT I POSTED ( YOUR FIGURES ARE A BIT OFF )

SO YOU HAVE TO BRING OUT 2002 TO DROP IT DOWN TO 60 % ??

I ASSUME THE THREE YRS YOU POSTED WERE THE ONLY THREE YRS THIS SYSTEM DIDNT DO WELL ?

SO ITS BEEN HITTING AT 70 % PLUS FOR 6 OF THE LAST 9 YRS IF YOU TAKE OUT THE THREE YRS U POINTED OUT


MAN.... U ARE JUST A MISERABLE PERSON

What are you laughing at exactly? And why are you still posting in caps, whats wrong with you?

I "have" to bring up 2002 cause thats as far as the database goes dumbass. And yes I "have" to include it to bring down the % because you dont get to cherry pick data that only fits to what you're pushing.

Yeah, those 3 years are only years the system lost. DING, DING, that was my point, you got it, thank god Solid long term winning system had losing season. There is no magic angle that hits 70%.

Not sure what you're spazzing over. I posted additional info about your system for people to know. The info is accurate and valuable but you're freaking out again. You have some issues bud.

[BigDeem5]

This system is invincable

[goldengreek]

Bump

[Love The Action]

So do you think Bulls/Pacers go under because of this trend? I must admit that I thought of this post before making my play on the over, however, as you noted, the real under leans come when the elimination games are in games 6 and 7 of the series rather than 4 or 5. What are your thoughts on the Bulls total?

[goldengreek]

So do you think Bulls/Pacers go under because of this trend? I must admit that I thought of this post before making my play on the over, however, as you noted, the real under leans come when the elimination games are in games 6 and 7 of the series rather than 4 or 5. What are your thoughts on the Bulls total?

IT IS BETTER IF THE ELIMINATION GAMES ARE GAME 6 OF 7

AND ITS BETTER IN THE LATER ROUNDS

TODAYS GAME IS A 50/50

JUST READ IT PIECE BY PIECE.... I WOULDNT PLAY THE UNDER IN THE BULLS GANE BASED ON WHAT THE #'s SAY

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

Greek alot of the BIG named handicappers out there seem to really like the Bulls/Pacers over 187.5. It's hard to see that happening based on how both teams have played such good defense against each other in the series, but should we trust our gut, go with the over???

[Wojo]

http://sportsdatabase.com/nba.py/que...t=query_header

2006 10-12
2005 10-15
2002 9-17

108-84 overall since 2002 (56%).

Not 60+ but not bad, just know there is no magic angle thats just gonna win games for you. You can easily have a losing run doing this. I'm sure if there was data going past the 2002 season it would level out closer to 50% like pretty much any other angle.

Thanks for posting that, Demens. Don't understand why Greek blew a gasket. I appreciate the fact he posted the info he did, you just gave an extra year and broke it down season by season.

Thanks to both of you for the information!

[goldengreek]

Greek alot of the BIG named handicappers out there seem to really like the Bulls/Pacers over 187.5. It's hard to see that happening based on how both teams have played such good defense against each other in the series, but should we trust our gut, go with the over???

you lost me here... where does it say to play the over ?

and fuk the services.. if anything FADE their ass !!!

[BigBoi]

Looking like this is the case again in CHI/IND.

[goldengreek]

3-0 so far this yr

bulls / indy game 4 -- under
bost / ny game 4 --- - under
philly / miami game 4 -under

[Duby]

That is good info. Thanks for sharing

[demens]

3-0 so far this yr

bulls / indy game 4 -- under
bost / ny game 4 --- - under
philly / miami game 4 -under

So its 3-0 but

IT IS BETTER IF THE ELIMINATION GAMES ARE GAME 6 OF 7

AND ITS BETTER IN THE LATER ROUNDS

TODAYS GAME IS A 50/50

JUST READ IT PIECE BY PIECE.... I WOULDNT PLAY THE UNDER IN THE BULLS GANE BASED ON WHAT THE #'s SAY

Wonder if that game would have counted if it lost.

[goldengreek]

(7-4-1 in 2011) ----> 8-3-1 if wade dosent go in for the dunk at the buzzer like a jerk off

[NBA_Brosuf]

If last year is 15-6 then this year, it is not looking so well. Just 2 more overs and you will get x-6 in 2011.

Dodging 2 in 8 more games left? Hrmmmm

[goldengreek]

LOOKS LIKE THE UNDER IS SOLID IN GAMES WHEN A TEAM IS FACING ELIMINATION


HERE IS A BREAKDOWN OF PAST YEARS-- THE UNDER IS THE FIRST TOTAL SHOWN IN THE RECORDS


***NUMBERS FROM 2004 THRU 2010 PLAYOFFS****
(SEE 2009 & 2010 TRACKING RESULTS BELOW)

Since keeping records starting with the 03-04 post season, the stats I've accumulated (based on opening lines & regulation scores) for all Elimination games* total results are as follows:


Overall SINCE 2003/2004

All Elimination Games: U/O 80-49-3

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 29-28-2
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 51-21-1






2nd Round & onwards of playoffs

All Elimination Games: U/O 40-23-2

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 9-14-1
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 31-9-1


Clearly the prime spot to take Unders are in a game 6 or 7 taking place during the 2nd round or beyond, when both teams have a series win under their belts and are both winners of at least 2 games in the current series.



2009 RESULTS

OVERALL

ALL ELIM GAMES 12-9

ELIM GAME 4 OR 5 ....5-4
ELIM GAME 6 OR 7 ....7-5


1ST ROUND 6-4

ELIM GAME 4 OR 5.... 3-1
ELIM GAME 6 OR 7... 3-3



2ND ROUND AND BEYOND 6-5

ELIM GAME 4 OR 5... 2-3
ELIM GAME 6 OR 7 ....4-2








2010 PLAYOFFS


OVERALL

ALL ELIM GAMES: 15-6-1


ELIM GAME 4 OR 5: 4-6-1
ELIM GAME 6 OR 7 : 11-0




2ND ROUND AND BEYOND 6-3-1

ELIM GAME 4 OR 5 : 1-3-1
ELIM GAME 6 OR 7: 5-0



14-2 ALL GAME 5'S AND BEYOND

..........

[Speedy88]

Under for the LA game is looking even sweeter now....

[NBA_Brosuf]

Question.

Since the regular season starts in 2010, is this playoff the 2010 or 2011?

[ManBearPig]

2010 Playoffs...tied to the 2010-2011 season

[JR007]

Thanks greek

[linedrivr]

Under for the LA game is looking even sweeter now....

you should go back and read those records that GG posted again. The Under is NOT a strong play today in the Lakers elimination game.