nba chase 12/13

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  • gamewinninglv
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-18-12
    • 207

    #2346
    Originally posted by Wallco99
    Hey, where is your normal disclaimer at the bottom of your post?


    Sorry Sir. Here it is:



    IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go to page 46 and read post # 1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day !!!
    Comment
    • gamewinninglv
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-18-12
      • 207

      #2347
      Originally posted by 0tuks0
      Hi Stifler, do you have any detailed statistics per system; number of won/lost A/B/C/D bets of every system (i.e. A 20-12; B 7-5; C 5-0; D 0-0) and would you be kind enough to share it please? thx


      Check post # 2228 on page 64 (if you are using computer and not mobile). It talked about the stats that you are asking for. I think ...............




      IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go to page 46 and read post # 1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day !!!
      Comment
      • gamewinninglv
        SBR High Roller
        • 09-18-12
        • 207

        #2348
        Originally posted by UK_gixxer
        kind of off topic for tonight, but the opening line on the Bucks @ home vs Suns D bet tomorrow is out @ Bucks -5.5...just curious what everyone thinks of this line, will it go up or down by tomorrow? I know it's best to wait for Stif to post the line, but I personally would like to get the best possible line for this game.

        I think there is not going to be much action/betting on this game so the line probably won't change.





        IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go to page 46 and read post # 1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day !!!
        Comment
        • Asset
          SBR Sharp
          • 11-07-09
          • 326

          #2349
          Originally posted by gamewinninglv
          Less poop in your pants if no S1 plays, Mr. Asset ?
          How did you know? LOL
          Comment
          • Wallco99
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-01-11
            • 7261

            #2350
            Looks like the Boston (fade) C bet won't be happening til January 20. It will almost be forgotten by that point.
            Comment
            • gamewinninglv
              SBR High Roller
              • 09-18-12
              • 207

              #2351
              Originally posted by Wallco99
              Looks like the Boston (fade) C bet won't be happening til January 20. It will almost be forgotten by that point.

              Made a reminder for 19th. Will post to remind on 19th.

              IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go to page 46 and read post # 1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day !!!
              Comment
              • illisdre
                SBR Sharp
                • 06-22-12
                • 360

                #2352
                Im a huge fan of Stifflers Systems... they're great
                but i must say... every game is always super tight and generally Dramatic.
                like its rarely a clean win. orlando! ugh

                Update.. You win. I draw.. i played +6.0 line. never again!
                Last edited by illisdre; 01-08-13, 12:36 AM.
                Comment
                • knugen
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-09-09
                  • 2612

                  #2353
                  Woohoo, orlando made it after all.. Yeehaa
                  Comment
                  • DANO74
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 09-08-10
                    • 221

                    #2354
                    Thank you J.J. Redick !
                    Comment
                    • GeorgeLynch
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 11-10-12
                      • 3

                      #2355
                      Originally posted by UK_gixxer
                      kind of off topic for tonight, but the opening line on the Bucks @ home vs Suns D bet tomorrow is out @ Bucks -5.5...just curious what everyone thinks of this line, will it go up or down by tomorrow? I know it's best to wait for Stif to post the line, but I personally would like to get the best possible line for this game.
                      My ample gut tells me its gonna rise... I jumped on it already @ -5.5
                      I usually wait for Stif's line too, but noticed it was out already and took a chance.
                      Comment
                      • DANO74
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 09-08-10
                        • 221

                        #2356
                        I would be surprised if that spread doesn't go up. But PHX is a JM play tomorrow so it's
                        going to be very interesting to see what happens.
                        Comment
                        • UK_gixxer
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 11-14-11
                          • 89

                          #2357
                          Originally posted by DANO74
                          I would be surprised if that spread doesn't go up. But PHX is a JM play tomorrow so it's
                          going to be very interesting to see what happens.
                          Is the JM a chase? If so, is PHX an A/B/C/D bet?

                          Thanks
                          Comment
                          • DANO74
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 09-08-10
                            • 221

                            #2358
                            It's an ABC chase & the play is an (A) bet. Now Bucks coach Skiles gets fired. Very strange.
                            Comment
                            • Stifler
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-11-09
                              • 3511

                              #2359
                              Originally posted by Stifler
                              07.01.2013

                              S2

                              (B Bet) Orl: Orlando -1 1,10u | Orlando +6,5 2,31u
                              (B Bet) Bos fade: Atlanta -4,5 1,10u | NY Knicks -6 2,31u

                              S4

                              (A Bet) Dal fade: Utah -5 1,10u
                              records:
                              S1: W 34 | L 2 (-2,90 units)
                              S2: W 17 | L 0 (+17,00 units)
                              S3: W 10 | L 0 (+10,00 units)
                              S4: W 27 | L 0 (+28,00 units)

                              pending:
                              - S1 Mil, D Bet on 08.01.2013
                              - S1 Tor, C Bet on 09.01.2013
                              - S2 Bos fade, C Bet on 20.01.2013


                              ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ____________

                              all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                              Comment
                              • Stifler
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-11-09
                                • 3511

                                #2360
                                - smart choice on getting that -5,5 line, dont think this line will get better than -6 now.

                                08.01.2013

                                S1

                                (D Bet) Mil: Mil +5,5 1,10u | Mil -1 2,31u | Mil +4,5 4,85u | Milwaukee -6 10,19u



                                ________________________________________ ________________________________________

                                all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                                Comment
                                • Grinder12000
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-21-11
                                  • 1809

                                  #2361
                                  smart choice on getting that -5,5 line, dont think this line will get better than -6 now.
                                  Very few times in the last 10 years will a home Fav of 5.5,6.0 or 6.5 need that extra 1/2 point to cover. Only 48 times in 1230 games will the ATS come down to that extra half point.

                                  Stiffler - can you contact the commissioner and have him dial up an easy game for once?
                                  Comment
                                  • UK_gixxer
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 11-14-11
                                    • 89

                                    #2362
                                    Originally posted by Grinder12000
                                    Very few times in the last 10 years will a home Fav of 5.5,6.0 or 6.5 need that extra 1/2 point to cover. Only 48 times in 1230 games will the ATS come down to that extra half point.

                                    Stiffler - can you contact the commissioner and have him dial up an easy game for once?
                                    good to know, hey just wondering where these stats come from? Like how easy is it to pull data like that, would like to know for my own reasons and for backtesting.

                                    thanks
                                    Comment
                                    • luciddream
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 12-22-12
                                      • 27

                                      #2363
                                      Originally posted by Stifler
                                      - smart choice on getting that -5,5 line, dont think this line will get better than -6 now.

                                      08.01.2013

                                      S1

                                      (D Bet) Mil: Mil +5,5 1,10u | Mil -1 2,31u | Mil +4,5 4,85u | Milwaukee -6 10,19u
                                      BOL
                                      Comment
                                      • OoozeDonatin
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 01-08-13
                                        • 25

                                        #2364
                                        i am trying to understand your system and as soon as i do, i will follow you!
                                        thanks for your effort!
                                        Comment
                                        • gamewinninglv
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 09-18-12
                                          • 207

                                          #2365
                                          Another exciting day of D bet !!! Let's go Bucks, cover this one for Coach Scott Skiles !!!



                                          IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go to page 46 and read post # 1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day !!!
                                          Comment
                                          • Db530
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 11-26-12
                                            • 9

                                            #2366
                                            S1: Whenever a team has a winning or losing streak of 3 games start the 4 game chase following that streak.

                                            Milwakuee A bet was started on Jan 1st against the spurs but before that game there was no 3 game winning or losing streak..
                                            Check the Milwaukee Bucks schedule for game times and opponents for the season, as well as where to watch or radio broadcast the games


                                            Milwakuee is curently on a 4 game losing streak in which we should have faded them against the Pacers for an A bet the other night that would have hit

                                            I just wanted to do some research before placing a big D bet tnight...maybe u saw something different
                                            Comment
                                            • Nino7
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 07-11-09
                                              • 798

                                              #2367
                                              Originally posted by Db530
                                              S1: Whenever a team has a winning or losing streak of 3 games start the 4 game chase following that streak.

                                              Milwakuee A bet was started on Jan 1st against the spurs but before that game there was no 3 game winning or losing streak..
                                              Check the Milwaukee Bucks schedule for game times and opponents for the season, as well as where to watch or radio broadcast the games


                                              Milwakuee is curently on a 4 game losing streak in which we should have faded them against the Pacers for an A bet the other night that would have hit

                                              I just wanted to do some research before placing a big D bet tnight...maybe u saw something different
                                              It wasn't stated in the rules but the winning/losing streaks triggering the chases that are considered are the ATS one.
                                              Comment
                                              • Grinder12000
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-21-11
                                                • 1809

                                                #2368
                                                UK. I have a program that has all games and spreads for the last 25 years. I downloaded all the data into one big Excel spreadsheet. Im not a wiz in excel "programming" like that one dude a month ago. So I'm not sure how easy it would be for back testing.


                                                on a side note. Being a Bucks fan I was feeling good about the "D" game. Now with a new coach I happy. The BEST time to play on a team is on a coach change. I'll play the bucks until they lose 2 in a row.

                                                the theory is that when a coach is dumped the team is at the very bottom with nowhere to go but up. The players are pumped with new life (unless you are the Chicago Bears). Confidence is high.
                                                Comment
                                                • UK_gixxer
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 11-14-11
                                                  • 89

                                                  #2369
                                                  Originally posted by Grinder12000
                                                  UK. I have a program that has all games and spreads for the last 25 years. I downloaded all the data into one big Excel spreadsheet. Im not a wiz in excel "programming" like that one dude a month ago. So I'm not sure how easy it would be for back testing.


                                                  on a side note. Being a Bucks fan I was feeling good about the "D" game. Now with a new coach I happy. The BEST time to play on a team is on a coach change. I'll play the bucks until they lose 2 in a row.

                                                  the theory is that when a coach is dumped the team is at the very bottom with nowhere to go but up. The players are pumped with new life (unless you are the Chicago Bears). Confidence is high.
                                                  I agree, I think we are due to with a D bet. Anyways, adjustments I've made personally to my system unit structure (such as increasing my S4 unit size to $100 and lowering my S1 units a tad) has built me a cushion to take a D loss and still be up on my local bookie before payout this week.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • UK_gixxer
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 11-14-11
                                                    • 89

                                                    #2370
                                                    30% of the public is on Phoenix ATS, but 53% of the money is on Phoenix ATS...interesting because an hours ago is was like 71% of the public and 87% of the money is on bucks covering, at least according to VegasInsider..which means a SERIOUS bet was placed on Phoenix... now I'm a bit worried.
                                                    Last edited by UK_gixxer; 01-08-13, 02:53 PM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Pickle2728
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 01-19-12
                                                      • 8

                                                      #2371
                                                      My name is Mike and I have a gambling problem.

                                                      LETS GO BUCKS!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • clamchowder
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 02-26-11
                                                        • 471

                                                        #2372
                                                        Originally posted by UK_gixxer
                                                        30% of the public is on Phoenix ATS, but 53% of the money is on Phoenix ATS...interesting because an hours ago is was like 71% of the public and 87% of the money is on bucks covering, at least according to VegasInsider..which means a SERIOUS bet was placed on Phoenix... now I'm a bit worried.
                                                        Trust the system.
                                                        Last edited by clamchowder; 01-08-13, 03:08 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Nino7
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 07-11-09
                                                          • 798

                                                          #2373
                                                          Originally posted by Pickle2728
                                                          My name is Mike and I have a gambling problem.

                                                          LETS GO BUCKS!
                                                          LOL
                                                          Comment
                                                          • UK_gixxer
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 11-14-11
                                                            • 89

                                                            #2374
                                                            what?
                                                            Last edited by UK_gixxer; 01-08-13, 03:09 PM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Nino7
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 07-11-09
                                                              • 798

                                                              #2375
                                                              Originally posted by UK_gixxer
                                                              30% of the public is on Phoenix ATS, but 53% of the money is on Phoenix ATS...interesting because an hours ago is was like 71% of the public and 87% of the money is on bucks covering, at least according to VegasInsider..which means a SERIOUS bet was placed on Phoenix... now I'm a bit worried.
                                                              I don't believe the money is on Phoenix because the line only went against us at every books.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Riceboi
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 10-03-11
                                                                • 857

                                                                #2376
                                                                Originally posted by clamchowder
                                                                Trust the system.

                                                                nice edit, saw the gasol and howard commment and I was like wtf?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • clamchowder
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 02-26-11
                                                                  • 471

                                                                  #2377
                                                                  Question. Right now, 47% on Mil ML and 69% on Mil Spread. Does this mean 53% taking Pho to win SU and 69% taking Mil to cover the spread?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Huego
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 01-23-11
                                                                    • 265

                                                                    #2378
                                                                    Originally posted by clamchowder
                                                                    Question. Right now, 47% on Mil ML and 69% on Mil Spread. Does this mean 53% taking Pho to win SU and 69% taking Mil to cover the spread?
                                                                    yes but who cares...none of that means anything.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • UK_gixxer
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 11-14-11
                                                                      • 89

                                                                      #2379
                                                                      Originally posted by Riceboi
                                                                      nice edit, saw the gasol and howard commment and I was like wtf?
                                                                      LOL mte too I was like DA FUQ?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • rina23
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 06-19-12
                                                                        • 120

                                                                        #2380
                                                                        Let's go Bucks, we will need this shit ''D'' bet!!!
                                                                        Comment
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