nba chase 12/13

**Asset** · 12-27-12, 06:37 PM

Originally posted by rustie

Sorry if this has been answered but , what happens
when we have a situation where it's two "A" bets opposing ?

Ex. S2 - cleveland fade ( A Bet) play is Atlanta

S4- Atlanta fade (A Bet) play is Cleveland

Thanks.

From my experienced, I would play the S4 any day. We have never reach a "D bet" yet for any S3 or S4 so...
It's up to you thou, so don't listen to me. $hit might just happen cause I opened my big mouth.

*knock on wood*

**J.M. Disciple** · 12-27-12, 06:42 PM

Originally posted by Nino7

sigh the line moved our way.

Anyone explain me the line moving mechanism regarding to the % concensus?

I thought that more % your team got,worse its line will get...

Thx

Its not just about consensus. The books try to make it even money on both sides so they collect on the juice no matter what happens. If someone made a big bet on one side it can change the line.

For example, If Mia was at -7.5 and someone place a million dollar bet on them, than it will go to -8 or +8 on the other side, so that more people bet against Mia. If someone placed a big bet on Detroit, than Mia's line may drop from -7.5 to -7 to even out the money.

Consensus does not always equal the most money which is why line movements change in weird directions at times.

**rustie** · 12-27-12, 06:48 PM

So I think I just found the answer on post #850

and if I'm reading it right it says to play both and then play the "B" bet on the next game

that still applies,

**Nino7** · 12-27-12, 06:53 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

Its not just about consensus. The books try to make it even money on both sides so they collect on the juice no matter what happens. If someone made a big bet on one side it can change the line.

For example, If Mia was at -7.5 and someone place a million dollar bet on them, than it will go to -8 or +8 on the other side, so that more people bet against Mia. If someone placed a big bet on Detroit, than Mia's line may drop from -7.5 to -7 to even out the money.

Consensus does not always equal the most money which is why line movements change in weird directions at times.

I thought the consensus % = money spread %

**UK_gixxer** · 12-27-12, 07:37 PM

my local bookie is offering -7.5 after some persuasion showing him other online lines...I'm thinking of buying a 1/2 point for safe measure....I don't think it will be a blow out.

**Grinder12000** · 12-27-12, 07:43 PM

Yea - this line has me baffled. I can get -7.5 -110 and feel it's a gift but . . . . why is 5Dimes the only book even close to that! hmmmm

has Ray Allen been out for a while? He's been playing about 20 minutes a game. Maybe that is why the lower line?? hmmmmm

**UK_gixxer** · 12-27-12, 07:45 PM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

Yea - this line has me baffled. I can get -7.5 -110 and feel it's a gift but . . . . why is 5Dimes the only book even close to that! hmmmm

From my experience 5dimes is one of the more "bettor friendly" sites with better lines...but like others have said, maybe someone with a large 5dimes account just hammered Detroit?

**UK_gixxer** · 12-27-12, 07:51 PM

we are all concerned and freaking out over the S1 (det fade) D bet, but I'm also equally as concerned about the S1 (SAS fade) C bet as well, I'm not really liking Houston +8 here...but I'll follow the system regardless.

**Wallco99** · 12-27-12, 08:31 PM

Never mind

**Wallco99** · 12-27-12, 08:34 PM

Originally posted by Nino7

I thought the consensus % = money spread %

I totally agree with you.

**Nino7** · 12-27-12, 08:47 PM

Originally posted by Wallco99

I totally agree with you.

???

**Molodamus** · 12-27-12, 08:50 PM

Dwade suspended 1 game.....

**UK_gixxer** · 12-27-12, 08:52 PM

Originally posted by Molodamus

Dwade suspended 1 game.....

F my life.

**J.M. Disciple** · 12-27-12, 08:54 PM

Originally posted by Nino7

I thought the consensus % = money spread %

What consensus are you using? If you are using covers consensus it is only around 50,000 players accounted for in it. Does not take into account phone wagers etc. It gives a pretty accurate stand point on where the public money is at, but its not exact. One big wager could change a lot of things for the books.

**Huego** · 12-27-12, 08:57 PM

Originally posted by Nino7

I thought the consensus % = money spread %

no. consensus numbers are based on number of bets on each side, not the amount of $$$. The line doesn't necessarily move in the same direction as the consensus.

You can pay for services which tell you the percentage of bets and $$ on each side, but I'm not sure how accurate they are.

**sbrhgary** · 12-27-12, 09:12 PM

D Wade suspended for Detroit game.

**jaredms66** · 12-27-12, 09:15 PM

Wade suspended one game. This is a very interesting spot for final game of the chase.

**Grinder12000** · 12-27-12, 09:51 PM

Wade suspended one game

Could be a good thing - like losing a QB one man makes the team play harder and more focused.

Or not - my lines are now OTB and I fear my wonderful -7.5 could be not so wonderful now LOL

**UK_gixxer** · 12-27-12, 10:00 PM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

Could be a good thing - like losing a QB one man makes the team play harder and more focused.

Or not - my lines are now OTB and I fear my wonderful -7.5 could be not so wonderful now LOL

Yea I'm worried my -7.5 isn't goin to be all that great now...ugh, the trials and tribulations of sports betting.

**Asset** · 12-27-12, 10:05 PM

And guess what? F*cking 5d*ck has no line for the Miami game now...

**tr4sh** · 12-27-12, 10:06 PM

Why did everyone bet so early? Anyways, the Heat might even be better with Wade out as it'll let Lebron do whatever he wants now.

**UK_gixxer** · 12-27-12, 10:54 PM

Originally posted by tr4sh

Why did everyone bet so early? Anyways, the Heat might even be better with Wade out as it'll let Lebron do whatever he wants now.

Because we all expected the line to increase because most people feel houston will get beat by more than 8, therefore we wanted to lock in -7.5 before it became -8.5, -9, or -9.5

**Riceboi** · 12-27-12, 11:14 PM

wade sucks in my opinion, I think this will help our D bet. Better line hopefully and miami plays better.

**NYC's Finest** · 12-28-12, 12:46 AM

celtics 4th qtr live lines available probably everywhere. booked mine on 5dimes +14.5

**jimmy007oc** · 12-28-12, 12:48 AM

I'll wait a little more, clipper will put some more PTA on the board like 20 PTs lead.

**Asset** · 12-28-12, 12:49 AM

4Q bets on the LAC game...

**jimmy007oc** · 12-28-12, 12:53 AM

21pts lead, good time to bet on Celtics

**jimmy007oc** · 12-28-12, 12:55 AM

Celtics + 20.5!!! Confirmed

**CAPLOCKS** · 12-28-12, 12:55 AM

damn i got Miami -8 Local

**CAPLOCKS** · 12-28-12, 01:09 AM

Stilfer Houston +8 take or wait ?

**Asset** · 12-28-12, 01:27 AM

His still asleep LOL

**CAPLOCKS** · 12-28-12, 03:21 AM

Not sure if this matter or if this is right but this is for the Detroit (D Bet)

Wade has been out twice this season due to injury.
And Won and covered both games without him.

November 15 ; Miami +3.5 @ Denver ; 98-93
November 17 ; Miami -6.5 @ Phoenix ; 97-88

Just a little info.

**Stifler** · 12-28-12, 03:55 AM

28.12.2012

S1

(D Bet) Det fade: Wash +6 1,10u | Wash +1,5 2,31u | Atlanta -7,5 4,85u | Miami -7,5 10,19u
(C Bet) SA fade: Dallas +11 1,10u | Toronto +13 2,31u | Houston - waiting on line movement
(new A Bet) NYK fade: Sacramento - no line up atm
(A Bet) Det: Detroit - waiting on line movement
(A Bet) Ind: Indiana - no line up atm

S2

(A Bet) Orl: Orlando -1 1,10u
(A Bet) Cle fade: Atlanta - no line up atm

S4

(A Bet) Atl fade: Cleveland - no line up atm
(A Bet) Dal fade: Denver - no line up atm

________________________________________ ______________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

**CAPLOCKS** · 12-28-12, 04:08 AM

you think the line for houston is going to be better than +8 ?

**Asset** · 12-28-12, 04:28 AM

Originally posted by CAPLOCKS

you think the line for houston is going to be better than +8 ?

No1 can answer that question for you. It all depends on who is pounding on which team. This is how the line will move and it's up to you to decide. It's only a "C bet", if I were you I would be worry about the S1 "D bet" lol, but that's just me

BOL to everyone today