Sando's All Sports (NBA, AFL, NRL)

[TC Woods]

Actually it's 3-0 both SU and ATS, but who's counting...? (Lakers, Nets, Bucks)

Also, do you notice a difference between the above 3 teams and the Suns? You still need the talent to be able to deliver on the "breath of fresh air, renewed confidence, fresh start, blah, blah, blah" that a coaching change brings.

I appreciate your insight mate, don't get me wrong, however I am well aware of the Suns coaching change and I have analysed it, digested it and summarily dismissed it. Notice the line is shorter than perhaps it should be (Kings -4 to -5 IMO). I'd say Vegas and there mates have factored the coaching change into their lines.

Can't compliment you enough on the job you do here Sando....

Any thought as to impact of potential team move from Sacramento to Seattle next year? Do you think that has any impact on the players minds this year ?

[Bostongambler]

Good luck Sal Bando

[jfraser16]

OKC/SAC/SAS triple tonight - thoughts anyone?

[Harvester]

you are kidding, right?

No, It really happened.

[Bbr]

Tailng here. Don't fk me here guy. Hahaha all good just wanted a bit of action so took the kings and also okc & wizards ats

[MrXYZ]

Big card today. Good luck Sando. Have been on a break from NBA but your Kings play is too good to pass up. Will definitely be on it.

Re: tennis, AO coming to a close means footy season's almost here!

[mvanja]

100% with U on SAC even if we lose, great preview....
I' can't understand ur pick HOU - points x2,5u
Is it because they need to start to win because it is their last train to the playoff or u really think based on their game that they match so good with Denver?

[sando]

Long season. Stay focused. Keep grinding.

2-2 Tuesday in the NBA +0.76 Units (+ nice parlay hit on the Pistons and Bucks)

NBA 188-151-12 (+42.87 Units) 55.5%

(NBA ATS/ML 134-112-9 YTD) 54.5%

(NBA Totals 54-39-3 YTD) 58.1%

YTD 48-46-1

NBA prop bets YTD 5-4

NBA Parlays YTD 2-1

NBA Teaser's YTD 0-3

NBA 2nd Half Bets YTD 0-1


All time SBR Picks

MMA/Boxing 8-10 (+12.86 Units)
Rugby Union 7-7 (+2.97 Units)
Rugby Sevens 28-24-1 (+2.27 Units)
MLB 4-1 (+9.49 Units)
Tennis - to be calculated (Down on the year, but still up units on overall record)

**Above record based on picks posted at SBR forum

________________________________________

NBA Wednesday

Phoenix @ Sacramento
Kings -3.5 (-105, $1.95 Pinnacle) 3x

Ok lets start with an impressive stat. Kings at home are an impressive 12-10 an altogether different beast to the one that heads out on the road (4-16), whilst the Suns are a woeful 3-17 on the road (worst road team in the NBA) with two road wins over Cleveland and Charlotte (nothing special) and the 1 impressive win over Chicago although the Bulls are known to pull out complete shockers from time to time and are one of the worst ATS teams to wager on. The Kings on the other hand have home wins over the Celtics, Knicks, Blazers, Warriors (twice), Raptors (no longer deserving of the "Craptors" title), Jazz and of course a destruction of the Lakers. Phoenix is without a doubt an offensive first team (as they always will be under Gentry) and whilst far removed from their dominant run n' gun days (Nash/Stoudemire) they still remain a team that lives and dies by their offence, not their defence. Notice that a lot of the kings home wins have been over some of the most dominant offensive teams in the league - Knicks, Warriors (twice), Lakers, Jazz; even the Blazers and Raptors are in the top half of the league offensively. With the speed and penetration of Thomas and Evans and the very effective inside/out game they run through Cousins you will struggle to beat the Kings (at home) in an offensive showdown without being an elite team.

Here is the most impressive part of the Kings performances at home, their 10 losses.

Heat
Mavericks
Grizzlies
Nuggets
Pacers
Timberwolves
Nets
Hawks
Blazers
Spurs

All playoff caliber teams, perhaps the Blazers, Mav's and/or Wolves will miss the playoffs but they will be there or there-abouts in the West and every single team on that list would make the playoffs if they were in the weak East. Also every team on that list is superior to the Suns. The Kings do not lose to average teams at home. Average winning margin over teams similar to the Suns (slightly better or worse) = 8.42 points.

Whilst actually loaded with talent (Cousins, Evans, Thornton, Fridette) the key to the success of this team is without a doubt Isaiah Thomas. Think a quicker Nate Robinson, with a higher basketball IQ and better passing. If not for his own penetration off the dribble, or his improved ability to hit the open man, it is his suprising connection with DeMarcus and the ability to implement a simple but effective inside/out game plan (that they do not run often enough IMO) with Cousins dishing from the post (an underrated passer). Also the kid appears to have come of age this season, after showing glimpses of his potential last year, he has actually started taking over games in the 4th quarters, the exact time when stars like Kobe, Durant and D-Wade usually earn their salary's. I watch a lot of pacific basketball, my favorite teams ALL play in the Pacific and I have hardly missed more than 1 or 2 Kings games all season. I also have followed the rise of Thomas closely. Here is a post I made about him after a spectacular 4th quarter against OKC.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-betting/2073732-isiah-thomas-second-coming.html


Match up's

Cousins v Gortat - The Pole is talented and skillful but just not the same this year without Nash. Also he is physically inferior to Cousins who without a doubt can outmuscle and manhandle him in the post and back him down at will under single coverage. Of course DeMarcus is almost demanding of a double team from most teams as he continues his evolution into one of the most physically dominant players in the league, although mentally he still has a long way to go.

This team has almost no good coaches ATM. No Gentry, no Majerle, no Turner, instead they are left with an ex player who has never coached at any level before. This team is arguably the worst team in the league at the moment, or at least competing with Charlotte for the title. They are however the worst road team in the league, that much is undisputed. The whole coaching change/fresh start thing just doesn't apply here. This situation is filled with negativity, not a fresh start by any means. The Suns roster is the most lacking in talent in the whole league, there best players are Dudley, Brown, Dragic and Gortat. I do like Dragic and Gortat but neither is playing at the same level this year as they were last. Nash's departure should have at least helped Dragic even it has hindered Gortat, but no one on this team is playing at a high level, perhaps Brown is the only shining light, and Dudley when his jumper is on (not consistent enough).

http://www.azcentral.com/sports/suns...nclick_check=1

Want to know what the attitude is amongst Suns fans right now? Read the comments in above article and tell me that Phoenix is going into Sacramento tomorrow and taking that game...? This is not a fresh start and renewed hope (unlike the Nets and Lakers), this is a team in crisis mode. Gentry was very very popular in Phoenix, both with fans, players and coaches. Who the fukc is Lindsey Hunter? Thunder Dan quit in disgust, no Turner at practice eaither. Don't be fooled by the media hype. So Hunter's solution to Phoenix's troubles is more Luis Scola? 2 x longer, more competitive practices and they are suddenly a defensive team? Please? Sac-town destroys this team tomorrow...

http://www.azcentral.com/sports/suns...till-away.html



Denver @ Houston
Rockets -2 (-105, $1.95 Pinnacle) 2.5x

Indiana @ Portland
Pacers m/l (+113, $2.13 Pinnacle) 1.5x

Indiana @ Portland
Under 183.5 (-105, $1.95 Pinnacle) 1x

Atlanta @ Charlotte
Bobcats +3 (-106, $1.94 Pinnacle) 1x
Bobcats m/l (+127, $2.27 Pinnacle) 0.5x

OKC @ GS
Thunder -1.5 (-106, $1.94 Pinnacle) 1x

Toronto @ Miami
Under 196 (-109, $1.91 Pinnacle) 1x

LA Lakers @ Memphis
Grizzlies -4 (-103, $1.97 Pinnacle) 1x

NO @ SA
Hornets +8.5 (-107, $1.93 Pinnacle) 1.5x
Hornets m/l (+361, $4.61 Pinnacle) 0.5x

Massive card today for me. Make or break time. Added some more to the Kings writeup but that's about all I have time for. Got a really interesting Indoor hard tourney going on in Germany at the moment that is obviously overshadowed by the AO, but quite a few nice match-up's coming up that I need to look into.

[No coincidences]

BOL sando.

[Catchn_Picks]

bol sando

[funbet8112]

Hey Sando, registered to thank you, not for just the picks, but also for suggestions. I dont know much about Sloane before looking at it here, and was sure about prospects of Laura Robson as a future talent. Won good money with her on most matches including Kvitova match, and watched Sloane in action against her. With your suggestion and a hunch after watching first set today, I had placed a bet on Sloane at odds of 1:50 and covered all the losses haunting in last few days. This is the biggest odd I won so far and with a great stake called for partying today.

Thanks and keep them coming.

[MacVPTgod]

Rockets suck at the moment.

[Catchn_Picks]

Does any tennis favorite ever win? Damn...night after night we watch this.

[pipita17]

few weeks ago. ive watched kings at home vs mavs. they had +18 in last q but they still managed to lose. young and fast team but crazy too. with hot heads in the team and with so many turnovers you just cant win the game. you have really tough time mate but it will pass, keep your head up and keep doing great work. and please accept friendly advice and stop playing so many games. best of luck.

[tblues2005]

Not a good night so we will have to get them back next time. Don't let yourself get down too much.

[MrXYZ]

Fukkn rough day. Rounded off with a kick in the nuts by the Warriors. Get 'em tomorrow Sando.

[Sharp Snake]

Does any tennis favorite ever win? Damn...night after night we watch this.

Well considering the number 1, 2, 3, and 4 seeds have made it to the semifinals in the Men's, I'd would say, yes favorites win.

[GirlCanCapToo]

Hang in there buddy. You'll turn it around. But, remember, across every single sport, one of the best betting angles is betting that team after their coach gets fired. For whatever reason, the team always comes out with more energy and emotion. So far this season, the Nets, Lakers, Bucks, and now Suns have all covered in the first game after their coach got fired.

Fade Sacramento/Seattle every single game vs any moderately decent team and you will for sure come out ahead! They are a garbage team that should not have 16 wins. Completely overvalued right now. Look at their point differential - they get completely crushed by anyone even remotely decent. I've watched them a lot this year bc I have a future on them to get over 32 wins. Their pieces don't fit well, and frankly, they aren't thinking about basketball right now. They're more concerned with where they are going to be playing next year.

[Bbr]

Im pretty big on djoko 3-1 tonight :S

[Izza77]

Its coz players are playing for their spot in the team...like when u get a new boss at work, ur working flat out to start with, then after a bit u dont give a f**k again

Hang in there buddy. You'll turn it around. But, remember, across every single sport, one of the best betting angles is betting that team after their coach gets fired. For whatever reason, the team always comes out with more energy and emotion. So far this season, the Nets, Lakers, Bucks, and now Suns have all covered in the first game after their coach got fired.

Fade Sacramento/Seattle every single game vs any moderately decent team and you will for sure come out ahead! They are a garbage team that should not have 16 wins. Completely overvalued right now. Look at their point differential - they get completely crushed by anyone even remotely decent. I've watched them a lot this year bc I have a future on them to get over 32 wins. Their pieces don't fit well, and frankly, they aren't thinking about basketball right now. They're more concerned with where they are going to be playing next year.

[GirlCanCapToo]

Its coz players are playing for their spot in the team...like when u get a new boss at work, ur working flat out to start with, then after a bit u dont give a f**k again

Truth

[Bbr]

Or they are the players are trying to show the public that their bad run was not their fault and indeed it was the coaches?

[GirlCanCapToo]

Or they are the players are trying to show the public that their bad run was not their fault and indeed it was the coaches?

Probably a combination of both. Phx, though, genuinely seemed like they liked playing for Gentry. The Lakers and the Nets are a completely different story on the other hand. It almost seemed like the Nets were actively tanking for a few weeks to get Avery fired. I was thrilled about betting the Nets at that time.

[aussieH]

Hey guys. I placed a few bets at the start of Aussie open on quarters final betting. Thought I had a winner with tonga because he played in the quarter final. Turns out you have to win the quarter final and get to the semi. Is this correct?

[Sharp Snake]

That's correct. The "To Win Quarter" bets requires your player to win their quarterfinal match and reach the semifinals

[aussieH]

That is what they told me. It really was not clear though I maintain

[napalmrain]

Rough night in the NBA but you will get it back man no worries... Thanks for all the plays

[Killa Cam]

You'll bounce back sando no worries.

[thewhiteguy]

Its funny, your still up 34 Units year to date. You could go on 3 more -10unit streaks and still be winning lol

[shovde]

You guys know where to find opening/closing lines in nba?

[thorny]

Its funny, your still up 34 Units year to date. You could go on 3 more -10unit streaks and still be winning lol

Well yes and no, because Sando recalculates his unit size every so often...so he may have started with say $200 and then moved up to $300 per unit

[TBsp75]

i wouldn't recommend laying big units on inconsistent teams. biggest unit plays this season are on CLE, NO, and SAC. went 1-2. CLE & SAC game both leading 10+ points into 3rd q and got fuckd in the 4th.

[thewhiteguy]

Your right, I was referring to him being up units.

[MrXYZ]

If you like the under on Knicks/Celtics, Centrebet still hasn't moved from 190.5.

[JM92]

You guys know where to find opening/closing lines in nba?

https://www.oddsportal.com