I suck at betting, but I do know and am learning to spot special occasions/circumstances (sometimes emotional) where teams are more inclined to play to their full potential than most nights.
Knowing that a win locks up the 1 seed for the Bulls, and they are at home... and they are unveiling a statue of Scottie Pippen @ halftime... it was a pretty easy decision to just go ahead with the Bulls @ -5... it may not hit... but only if the C's decide to match desire and intensity for 4 quarters knowing that they have no shot to get #1 seed and they can beat the Heat next game to be sure of getting the 2 seed.
I'm just trying to gear up for some playoffs betting.
As I speak the Bulls end the 1q up 8, so far so good!