Heat haven't showed me enough to even think of laying 11 with them on the road. They struggled to cover versus the underhanded Wiz and Twolves and now face a respectable home team that has a great PG. PG's and C's are the weakest link for the Heat, so facing Lopez and Williams will only expose that weakness.
I think the Nets have a slim chance of even winning out right. No that brave to play the moneyline but I got 2 units on the Nets +10.5.