1. #1
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,798
    Betpoints: 9204

    Homestead

    Hamlin NOT win Sprint Cup +152


    .

  2. #2
    Boscoe
    Boscoe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-08-10
    Posts: 2,811
    Betpoints: 494

    what's it going to take for jimmie to pass him? simply finish ahead in the race?

  3. #3
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,798
    Betpoints: 9204

    I'm thinking a Chevy ends Hamlin's chances before half distance. He has 7 of them out there in teams directly fighting him and a few more with engines or chassis' from his competitors that likely won't be helpful either.
    Last edited by Optional; 11-17-10 at 01:00 PM.

  4. #4
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,798
    Betpoints: 9204

    And Jimmie to win is only +100, so it seemed like a good value play.

    And I was itchin to get into the action on this race.

  5. #5
    avssakic
    avssakic's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-12-07
    Posts: 1,795
    Betpoints: 4193

    its going to be an interesting race to say the least

  6. #6
    sideloaded
    staring into the abyss
    sideloaded's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-21-10
    Posts: 7,561

    Sorry but have you seen the way Denny is racing? He's went straight up with the 48 on pure speed and outclassed him.

  7. #7
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,798
    Betpoints: 9204

    He still has to stay as cool as Jimmie to survive to the end, and deal with all those Chevs.

    Probably doesn't help my judgment that I just don't want him to win it though.

  8. #8
    sideloaded
    staring into the abyss
    sideloaded's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-21-10
    Posts: 7,561

    Yeah Jimmie does have the experience but not one championship did he come into homestead and take it away from someone. He's always protected. Right now Joe Gibbs Racing just has the total package.

  9. #9
    ATP123
    ATP123's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-10
    Posts: 1,094

    i had denny in this race last year and he was a stud, most likely expecting more of the same, do have the inkling that one of the three will be involved in something bad but dont have a gut feel on which, avoided some big crashes lately, this may be the one. Dont count out Happy Harvick, just saying.

  10. #10
    hawk 5
    Update your status
    hawk 5's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-06
    Posts: 3,982
    Betpoints: 8779

    Quote Originally Posted by Boscoe View Post
    what's it going to take for jimmie to pass him? simply finish ahead in the race?
    No. Not unless he leads the most laps and wins. Depending on where they are on the leader board Jimmie has to beat him by at least 3 spots. Then it depends on who lead a lap and if it was the most laps. It might be 4 spots to win and not tie.

  11. #11
    sideloaded
    staring into the abyss
    sideloaded's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-21-10
    Posts: 7,561

    Hmm anyone have a hot qualifying matchup?

  12. #12
    your pixel army
    your pixel army's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-15-09
    Posts: 454

    I'm thinking the pressure gets to Hamlin and he implodes. I may lay some on that +money for the field to take the championship.

    I put a bet on Harvick at +2800 to win the championship around week 10 I think, so I'm hoping for some big wrecks near the front of the field

  13. #13
    rickie65
    Update your status
    rickie65's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-27-07
    Posts: 2,819
    Betpoints: 4370

    Quote Originally Posted by sideloaded View Post
    Yeah Jimmie does have the experience but not one championship did he come into homestead and take it away from someone. He's always protected. Right now Joe Gibbs Racing just has the total package.
    true, but even without any pressure JJ still hasn't been worse than 15th the last 4 years. now he reason to drive harder and you know he can win at any track.

    in the last 4 Homestead races Hamlin has the best avg finish, but Harvick best avg in the 2 COT races. This really could come down to the last lap!

  14. #14
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,798
    Betpoints: 9204

    Quote Originally Posted by sideloaded View Post
    Hmm anyone have a hot qualifying matchup?
    Nothing hot, but I'm tossing up these options

    Carl Edwards -115 v Greg Biffle -115
    Jeff Burton -115 v Matt Kenseth -115
    Regan Smith -135 v Marcos Ambrose +105
    Ryan Newman -145 v Kyle Busch +115

  15. #15
    hawk 5
    Update your status
    hawk 5's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-06
    Posts: 3,982
    Betpoints: 8779

    Taking Biffle +850 and Edwards +700 to win. Will add 2 more.
    Last edited by hawk 5; 11-18-10 at 10:00 AM. Reason: bad #

  16. #16
    ATP123
    ATP123's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-10
    Posts: 1,094

    what are the odds on burton, im not seeing them at my site

  17. #17
    hawk 5
    Update your status
    hawk 5's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-06
    Posts: 3,982
    Betpoints: 8779

    Burton is at +2200 at DSI.

  18. #18
    avssakic
    avssakic's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-12-07
    Posts: 1,795
    Betpoints: 4193

    I think Johnson's avg finishes here are a little skewed. Mainly because he usually comes in here with the championship just about wrapped up and cruises around to avoid all that trouble

  19. #19
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,798
    Betpoints: 9204

    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Ryan Newman -145 v Kyle Busch +115
    Figured I would take that one. New baby might help distract the rocket man for me.

  20. #20
    shock11
    shock11's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-16-08
    Posts: 838
    Betpoints: 613

    i'll be shocked if anybody besides Hamlin, Johnson, Harvick, Edwards and Biffle win this race

  21. #21
    hawk 5
    Update your status
    hawk 5's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-06
    Posts: 3,982
    Betpoints: 8779

    Quote Originally Posted by shock11 View Post
    i'll be shocked if anybody besides Hamlin, Johnson, Harvick, Edwards and Biffle win this race
    I'm with you. Can't find Harvick at a decent # or I'd be on him. See what happens tonight.

  22. #22
    shock11
    shock11's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-16-08
    Posts: 838
    Betpoints: 613

    LOL HAMLIN STARTS 37TH

  23. #23
    avssakic
    avssakic's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-12-07
    Posts: 1,795
    Betpoints: 4193

    hamlin just made it interesting starting in the back

  24. #24
    sideloaded
    staring into the abyss
    sideloaded's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-21-10
    Posts: 7,561

    Track is going to be hot and slick, groove way next to the wall. I like Kevin Harvick in this spot.

  25. #25
    avssakic
    avssakic's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-12-07
    Posts: 1,795
    Betpoints: 4193

    anyone think harvick can pull it off?

  26. #26
    hawk 5
    Update your status
    hawk 5's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-06
    Posts: 3,982
    Betpoints: 8779

    I think he can win the race but not the championship.

  27. #27
    your pixel army
    your pixel army's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-15-09
    Posts: 454

    Quote Originally Posted by avssakic View Post
    anyone think harvick can pull it off?
    God I hope so. That would be fun.

  28. #28
    shock11
    shock11's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-16-08
    Posts: 838
    Betpoints: 613

    I'll take Gordon at 20-1, top 7 in all 3 practices starting 11th. 5 top 5 finishes at homestead in his last 9 races there. add Jamie Mcmurray tomorrow don't think his odds will go anywhere but up

  29. #29
    pavyracer
    MOLON LABE
    pavyracer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-12-07
    Posts: 82,189
    Betpoints: 410

    like stewart romorrow

  30. #30
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,798
    Betpoints: 9204

    It would be just like Smoke to pop up and steal the last race when nobody seems to be thinking about him.

  31. #31
    rickie65
    Update your status
    rickie65's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-27-07
    Posts: 2,819
    Betpoints: 4370

    yep, smoke hasn't showed anything, doesn't even look like a top 10, so he'll probably win.

    took burton/kahne/gordon/mac that combined are about a +450 for me. includes a CYA bet on harvick.

    good luck all! I"m off to the race.....look for me, I'll be the guy in turn 1 drinking a beer....

  32. #32
    hawk 5
    Update your status
    hawk 5's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-06
    Posts: 3,982
    Betpoints: 8779

    Adding Happy Harvick at +1000. Tough to win this at his starting spot but he's got a hot rod. No gay stuff here.

  33. #33
    hawk 5
    Update your status
    hawk 5's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-06
    Posts: 3,982
    Betpoints: 8779

    Quote Originally Posted by shock11 View Post
    I'll take Gordon at 20-1, top 7 in all 3 practices starting 11th. 5 top 5 finishes at homestead in his last 9 races there. add Jamie Mcmurray tomorrow don't think his odds will go anywhere but up
    Gordons a great pick, but he won't ever finish the job anymore. Anyway, good luck.

  34. #34
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,798
    Betpoints: 9204

    Quote Originally Posted by rickie65 View Post
    yep, smoke hasn't showed anything, doesn't even look like a top 10, so he'll probably win.

    took burton/kahne/gordon/mac that combined are about a +450 for me. includes a CYA bet on harvick.

    good luck all! I"m off to the race.....look for me, I'll be the guy in turn 1 drinking a beer....
    Have fun, ya lucky bastard!

  35. #35
    hawk 5
    Update your status
    hawk 5's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-06
    Posts: 3,982
    Betpoints: 8779

    Adding Burton +1900. Has a fast car.

12 Last
Top