1. #1
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,600
    Betpoints: 9208

    Sprint Cup 2010 - IRWIN Tools Night Race - Bristol

    Qualifying underway, if only this little league game would end.

    Here's the list of drivers with better Qualifying and Finish records at Bristol than their overall average. First number is how much better in quali and second is how much better they finish here.

    Biffle 8% 50%
    Ambrose 38% 44%
    Harvick 1% 25%
    Kenseth 13% 17%
    Speed 66% 11%
    J Gordon 56% 4%
    Martin 13% 4%
    McMurray 15% 1%

  2. #2
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,600
    Betpoints: 9208

    Added McMurray +4000 to my Newman +5000

    Just on the value.

    I rate them both top 10 chances and think their odds should be more like +1500 to +2000

    Kurt Busch is looking like a juicy lay at +600

  3. #3
    sideloaded
    staring into the abyss
    sideloaded's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-21-10
    Posts: 7,561

    I like Jeff Gordon at +1600. I just like the way he's been rolling the last few weeks.

  4. #4
    hawk 5
    Update your status
    hawk 5's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-06
    Posts: 3,982
    Betpoints: 8779

    48 +620, 18 +720, 99 +850, and 14 +850. GL all.

  5. #5
    avssakic
    avssakic's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-12-07
    Posts: 1,795
    Betpoints: 4181

    I like the 18, 48, 99 as well. Busch might get the triple

  6. #6
    Jay Price
    Jay Price's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-10-10
    Posts: 284
    Betpoints: 435

    Again, way too much money on this one...

    My Plays:

    M. Kenseth under 11.5 +100 (3.0 u)
    C. Bowyer under 12.5 +110 (2.0 u)
    R. Newman top 10 +130 (2.0 u)
    J. Burton top 10 +115 (2.0 u)
    J. Johnson to win +600 (0.5 u)
    C. Edwards to win +1200 (0.5 u)
    G Biffle to win +1600 (0.5 u)
    G. Biffle under 9.5 +105 (2.0 u)

    I think the win will be between Stewart, Edwards, and Johnson. Kyle Busch might have something to say about that though.

    Best of luck to all. Hope everyone enjoys the fireworks on a Saturday night!
    Last edited by Jay Price; 08-21-10 at 03:42 PM.

  7. #7
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,600
    Betpoints: 9208

    It's almost 8.00am down here in oz, race starts in 90 mins, I've just walked in the door after the best Saturday night I've had in a decade. Not sure I can think straight enough to do my betting on this, or care right now. Not keen to back any of the favorites at this track, and don't have a cool bookie that offers lines like "u11.5 +100". (is that 5Ds again?)

    3 bucks riding on McMurray and 2 bucks on Newman will have to do me.

    Good Luck everyone.

  8. #8
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,600
    Betpoints: 9208

    Changed my mind. Took three Driver To Win Group bets.

    26230 Kevin Harvick +250
    26231 Denny Hamlin +275
    26232 Jeff Gordon +275
    26233 Kurt Busch +325
    26234 Jeff Burton +325


    26235 Greg Biffle +250
    26236 Matt Kenseth +275
    26237 Kasey Kahne +300
    26238 Juan Montoya +300
    26239 Martin Truex Jr +325


    26240 Ryan Newman +250
    26241 Jamie McMurray +300
    26242 David Reutimann +315
    26243 Clint Bowyer +325
    26244 Mark Martin +350

  9. #9
    avssakic
    avssakic's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-12-07
    Posts: 1,795
    Betpoints: 4181

    I say kyle is motivated to win the treiple and will do what it takes

  10. #10
    Jay Price
    Jay Price's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-10-10
    Posts: 284
    Betpoints: 435

    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    It's almost 8.00am down here in oz, race starts in 90 mins, I've just walked in the door after the best Saturday night I've had in a decade. Not sure I can think straight enough to do my betting on this, or care right now. Not keen to back any of the favorites at this track, and don't have a cool bookie that offers lines like "u11.5 +100". (is that 5Ds again?)

    3 bucks riding on McMurray and 2 bucks on Newman will have to do me.

    Good Luck everyone.
    Yes 5D again....

    Drink plenty of water

    Good luck!

  11. #11
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,600
    Betpoints: 9208

    Quote Originally Posted by dew22 View Post
    Drink plenty of water
    It was my first date since being divorced 10 years ago actually. I don't need water, just a kick up the ass for not having done it 9 years ago. Good to feel like a teenager again.

  12. #12
    Jay Price
    Jay Price's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-10-10
    Posts: 284
    Betpoints: 435

    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    It was my first date since being divorced 10 years ago actually. I don't need water, just a kick up the ass for not having done it 9 years ago. Good to feel like a teenager again.
    Maybe you can request a kick up the ass on the second date?

    The wife is on a girl's night. Hitting the ice box early...like a teenager again

  13. #13
    Jay Price
    Jay Price's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-10-10
    Posts: 284
    Betpoints: 435

    Quote Originally Posted by avssakic View Post
    I say kyle is motivated to win the treiple and will do what it takes
    I believe it. He needs to watch out though. He's got a bullseye on his bumper

  14. #14
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,600
    Betpoints: 9208

    You have me thinking about morning beers and hot wings now!

    Quote Originally Posted by dew22 View Post
    I believe it. He needs to watch out though. He's got a bullseye on his bumper
    And Brad's starting 2 rows ahead of him on the inside.

  15. #15
    onlooker
    I'm still watching...
    onlooker's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 36,572
    Betpoints: 4315

    Jimmie Johnson +325
    Jeff Gordon +1800
    Jeff Burton +2700

  16. #16
    avssakic
    avssakic's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-12-07
    Posts: 1,795
    Betpoints: 4181

    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    It was my first date since being divorced 10 years ago actually. I don't need water, just a kick up the ass for not having done it 9 years ago. Good to feel like a teenager again.
    im definitely enjoying the college life

  17. #17
    Jay Price
    Jay Price's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-10-10
    Posts: 284
    Betpoints: 435

    Quote Originally Posted by onlòóker View Post
    Jimmie Johnson +325
    Jeff Gordon +1800
    Jeff Burton +2700
    Nice price on Burton.

  18. #18
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,600
    Betpoints: 9208

    Ha Ha... you'll be here soon enough.

  19. #19
    hawk 5
    Update your status
    hawk 5's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-06
    Posts: 3,982
    Betpoints: 8779

    Here's to the 18.

  20. #20
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,600
    Betpoints: 9208

    Nice work. Looks like Dew and avssakic had a nice weekend too.

    Our turn next onlooker.

  21. #21
    avssakic
    avssakic's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-12-07
    Posts: 1,795
    Betpoints: 4181

    yep, thank you kyle!!!

  22. #22
    hawk 5
    Update your status
    hawk 5's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-06
    Posts: 3,982
    Betpoints: 8779

    Another sat nighter next week.

  23. #23
    onlooker
    I'm still watching...
    onlooker's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 36,572
    Betpoints: 4315

    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Our turn next onlooker.
    Man. I sure do need to get on a role here.

  24. #24
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,600
    Betpoints: 9208

    I love the Montreal Nationwide race. Ranks up there as one of the best of the year for me.

    Wonder if we can make some money on Ambrose stuffing it up again?

  25. #25
    rickie65
    Update your status
    rickie65's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-27-07
    Posts: 2,819
    Betpoints: 4250

    I haven't seen an entry list yet but I assume Jacques Villenueve is racing and might be a good early high odd bet. Good road racer and driving at "Dad's" track could pull it out.

  26. #26
    avssakic
    avssakic's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-12-07
    Posts: 1,795
    Betpoints: 4181

    Yea the Montreal race always seems to be pretty exciting

  27. #27
    ClipShow14
    ClipShow14's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-29-10
    Posts: 57

    i'm gonna try this race, small value play on mcmurray +3500.

  28. #28
    hawk 5
    Update your status
    hawk 5's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-06
    Posts: 3,982
    Betpoints: 8779

    Might try a small play myself.

  29. #29
    avssakic
    avssakic's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-12-07
    Posts: 1,795
    Betpoints: 4181

    Yea I will see what prac speeds look like and go from there

  30. #30
    Fischnasty
    come on Papanick!
    Fischnasty's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-10-09
    Posts: 1,931
    Betpoints: 311

    how muych did you win?

  31. #31
    hawk 5
    Update your status
    hawk 5's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-06
    Posts: 3,982
    Betpoints: 8779

    No big boys running this week. That sucks.

  32. #32
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,600
    Betpoints: 9208

    Kyle, Stewart and Harvick would have added more spice for sure. :\

    Ambrose, Edwards and Villeneuve should be up there of course, but if they don't put it all together there is a bunch of decent long shots imho.

    Max Papis, Brad Coleman and Carpentier are awesome on the road courses and in very good cars. It's Robby Gordon's first trip back since his claim of being robbed in 2007, and you know he's not going back for anything but a win, so probably has a hot piece saved up.

    Andrew Ranger for a top 5 could be a good bet, and Colin Braun might be worth a dollar at really long odds too I think.
    Last edited by Optional; 08-25-10 at 10:48 AM.

  33. #33
    avssakic
    avssakic's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-12-07
    Posts: 1,795
    Betpoints: 4181

    Gordon might just put on a show up there, should be fun to watch

  34. #34
    hawk 5
    Update your status
    hawk 5's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-06
    Posts: 3,982
    Betpoints: 8779

    Is this run Saturday night?

  35. #35
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,600
    Betpoints: 9208

    2pm Sunday

12 Last
Top