1. #1
    5mike5
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    NEW HAMPSIRE (Xfinity/Cup)---

    Alright guys were are gonna be going back to short track racing (sort of lol) this weekend at the Magic Mile, New Hampshire Motor Speedway...The Xfinity and Cup series will both be in action, while the truck series will return on the next race weekend from Pocono...The Xfinity series race is 4PM on NBCS and the Cup race will be Sunday afternoon at 3PM on NBCS..

    NEW HAMPSHIRE is a 1.058 mile long oval comprised of granite and asphalt combination. This is 1 of the most flat racetracks on the entire circuit..The banking is only 2-7 degrees of variable banking in all 4 of the turns and is just 1 degrees on the straights..The big dogs have won this race the last several years so odds wont be very good on them once again...



    Lets keep the good work going this weekend and GOOD LUCK!!!!!!!!!!




    Last edited by 5mike5; 07-15-19 at 11:17 PM.

  2. #2
    kjack25
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    Almirola at +2750 looks pretty good. He was leading the race last year until a caution with about 40 laps left. He dropped from 1st to 3rd after pitting and had a horrible restart. I think I’ll take him with a couple small bets on Blaney, Logano, Byron and Bowman.

  3. #3
    kjack25
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    Menard +1540 for Xfinity in Penske equipment looks tempting.

  4. #4
    5mike5
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    Quote Originally Posted by kjack25 View Post
    Menard +1540 for Xfinity in Penske equipment looks tempting.
    I ve taken him several times at decent odds in Xfinity races but he always seems to disappoint. But at those odds i agree prob worth a shot because of the equipment so taking it too. Actually dont think Penske has won a race in xfinity this year yet but not many races they have put cup guys in either

  5. #5
    5mike5
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    Im gonna get this outta the way early

    Larson 3300

    Hes finishes runner up here 2 of last 3 times. I know i know. But 3300 is a crazy # imo

  6. #6
    5mike5
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    Bell should dominate the Xfinity race, and his early odds reflect it. Will parlay him

  7. #7
    kjack25
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    You sold me, I didn’t realize Larson had run that well here. I’ll throw some money down at 33-1.

    Good call on Bell. Checked the results and he’s won 3/4 races on the shorter tracks. The Xfinity odds are crazy lately.

  8. #8
    tucks
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    Truex will be strong

  9. #9
    5mike5
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    Quote Originally Posted by tucks View Post
    Truex will be strong
    Yeah hes parlay material for me this week. Hopefully closing 1 from Xfinity

  10. #10
    5mike5
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    Decided on my Long shot for Xfinity. B.Jones at 60-1. (Had Menard only so far) I dont think he has a good chance of actually winning and beating the big 3, its really just a huge number and a buddy i respect took it so tailed. He finished top 10 in in this race last season. But when hes fast like last week he usully wrecks. Lol.

  11. #11
    5mike5
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    Jones odds cut in half now at 33

  12. #12
    Wolverine88
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    I'll jump on Jones at 33 Mike, I can't ever justify taking the big 3 at these odds...I think Allgaier is a solid top 5 car if he keeps it in one piece, 11-1 aint bad, I think I may drop a little on Annette just based on odds, he's trending the right way, just take a lot of luck. Menard don't scare me too much (which means he'll probably run away with it)...I don't think he's hit the top 15 here in cup the last few years, may be running to get some extra practice. Xfin tough to make money with those big 3.

  13. #13
    Wolverine88
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    Not trying to hijack Mikes thread, y'all do good work in here, just food for thought with the cup race and golf major happening this weekend. I play parlays almost exclusively, and as such I generally lose more than I win...but I like the big hits when they do occasionally happen....golf and nascar seem to marry up pretty well for me so with Mike's blessing I'm gonna throw in my 2 squirts of squirrel pizz here. You can get about 50-1 on any two favs this weekend....I personally like Rory/Joey and Koepka/Bad Brad...but whatever flavor floats your boat gets you about a grand for a 20 spot.....this is all for fun so don't necessarily take my picks....others I like - Golf (Stenson, Rahm, Kuch, JT)....Nascar (11/18/19, 2/22) .... GL to all.
    Last edited by Wolverine88; 07-17-19 at 09:35 PM.
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  14. #14
    unlearn
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    $200 on Bell +140

    Not gonna piss around and wait for parlayables and get +100 or whatever

  15. #15
    tucks
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wolverine88 View Post
    Not trying to hijack Mikes thread, y'all do good work in here, just food for thought with the cup race and golf major happening this weekend. I play parlays almost exclusively, and as such I generally lose more than I win...but I like the big hits when they do occasionally happen....golf and nascar seem to marry up pretty well for me so with Mike's blessing I'm gonna throw in my 2 squirts of squirrel pizz here. You can get about 50-1 on any two favs this weekend....I personally like Rory/Joey and Koepka/Bad Brad...but whatever flavor floats your boat gets you about a grand for a 20 spot.....this is all for fun so don't necessarily take my picks....others I like - Golf (Stenson, Rahm, Kuch, JT)....Nascar (11/18/19, 2/22) .... GL to all.
    Been looking to get a little more action on golf these days.

  16. #16
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by kjack25 View Post
    Almirola at +2750 looks pretty good. He was leading the race last year until a caution with about 40 laps left. He dropped from 1st to 3rd after pitting and had a horrible restart. I think I’ll take him with a couple small bets on Blaney, Logano, Byron and Bowman.
    Like the thinking.

    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post
    Im gonna get this outta the way early

    Larson 3300

    Hes finishes runner up here 2 of last 3 times. I know i know. But 3300 is a crazy # imo


    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post
    Bell should dominate the Xfinity race, and his early odds reflect it. Will parlay him
    Hate the odds though

    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post
    Decided on my Long shot for Xfinity. B.Jones at 60-1. (Had Menard only so far) I dont think he has a good chance of actually winning and beating the big 3, its really just a huge number and a buddy i respect took it so tailed. He finished top 10 in in this race last season. But when hes fast like last week he usully wrecks. Lol.
    Yes. Feel like I have to bet him after talking him up last week!

    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post
    Jones odds cut in half now at 33
    Oh great... grrrr

  17. #17
    Optional
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    The last 7 Xfin races in a row have been won from Pole position.

    Apart from last year when Bell won from 2nd and BradK came in 2nd from pole.


    So far just Brandon Jones +5000 and +1000 for a Top 3





  18. #18
    5mike5
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    Interesting Cup stat:

    4 of last 6 Cup winners at NH have started between 13th-19th.


    Unlike Xfinity cup stating position not near as important here. U can basically start almost anywhere

  19. #19
    tucks
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    Waiting for xfinity the qualifying to make any plays. One lane race track usually here on the bottom, tough to get around the leaders. Track position will be key.

    As for cup, like Larson 3300 and Blaney has been good here lately and with this 750hp package this year as well. Truex and Kyle as parlay material with a nice head to head maybe......

    Goddamnit I love short track racing

  20. #20
    tucks
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    Quote Originally Posted by tucks View Post
    Waiting for xfinity the qualifying to make any plays. One lane race track usually here on the bottom, tough to get around the leaders. Track position will be key.

    As for cup, like Larson 3300 and Blaney has been good here lately and with this 750hp package this year as well. Truex and Kyle as parlay material with a nice head to head maybe......

    Goddamnit I love short track racing
    Larson and Blaney as long shots of course

  21. #21
    5mike5
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    42>20 -115 very tempting


    Debating 11 and 12 still for early plays. Wont touch favs til raceday with parlays. Hopefully closing 1 or 2 of them from the Saturday races

  22. #22
    tucks
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    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post
    42>20 -115 very tempting


    Debating 11 and 12 still for early plays. Wont touch favs til raceday with parlays. Hopefully closing 1 or 2 of them from the Saturday races
    Love that h2h. Haven’t taken a deep dive into them yet, great find.

    Will be on my card.

  23. #23
    tucks
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    19 > 4 is almost playable too at -145. Little pricey but I’m not touching Harvick until he shows me something this year.

  24. #24
    5mike5
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    Quote Originally Posted by tucks View Post
    19 > 4 is almost playable too at -145. Little pricey but I’m not touching Harvick until he shows me something this year.
    Agree. Agree on Harvick too. No more for me. Especially at his odds still

    Also have that on my list ive jotted down when I was first looking at them a few days ago. Was -155 when i did so actually so it has went down a little which is very surprising. Prob just little too high on openers. May go ahead and hammer that early too

  25. #25
    Optional
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    I have another Indycar special this week.

    Like it almost as much as Pags last race, and maybe it's a sign that he's the same odds as Pags was pre quali last week.


    Ryan Hunter-Reay has had 5 top 5s and 3 more top 10s out of 11 starts at Iowa. That includes 3 wins.

    The only time he has not finished top 10, he wrecked or the car broke down.

    His worst result in the last 7 years is 3rd (when the car didnt break down)


    Let's get this one, RHR at +1000

    Also took Ed Carpenter +3000 and Colton Herta +2500 small, but just a gut feel shots there.



    Also parlayed RHR/Bell/KyleB +11000 to win the 3 races.
    Last edited by Optional; 07-19-19 at 08:40 AM.

  26. #26
    Optional
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    Indy H2Hs

    7/20/2019 7:00 PM IndyCar Motor Racing 7839 Ryan Hunter-Reay* -145 vs James Hinchcliffe
    7/20/2019 7:00 PM IndyCar Motor Racing 7911 Ed Carpenter* -145 vs Santino Ferrucci
    7/20/2019 7:00 PM IndyCar Motor Racing 7965 Spencer Pigot -120* vs Marcus Ericsson
    7/20/2019 7:00 PM IndyCar Motor Racing 7980 Sage Karam -120* vs Conor Daly
    Last edited by Optional; 07-19-19 at 09:15 AM.

  27. #27
    Optional
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    Xfin H2Hs

    7/20/2019 4:00 PM Xfinity Motor Racing 8721 Austin Cindric* +115 vs Paul Menard
    7/20/2019 4:00 PM Xfinity Motor Racing 8748 Brandon Jones* +100 vs Harrison Burton
    7/20/2019 4:00 PM Xfinity Motor Racing 8766 Michael Annett* -120 vs Ryan Truex
    7/20/2019 4:00 PM Xfinity Motor Racing 8783 John Hunter Nemechek* -120 vs Kaz Grala

  28. #28
    5mike5
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Indy H2Hs

    7/20/2019 7:00 PM IndyCar Motor Racing 7839 Ryan Hunter-Reay* -145 vs James Hinchcliffe
    7/20/2019 7:00 PM IndyCar Motor Racing 7911 Ed Carpenter* -145 vs Santino Ferrucci
    Tailing h2hs for open parlay

    RHR 770 at dimes, go ahead and take early or wait?

  29. #29
    5mike5
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    Went ahead and took him +770

  30. #30
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post

    Tailing h2hs for open parlay

    RHR 770 at dimes, go ahead and take early or wait?
    Yeah probably. Value will go after practice is he as good as he has been the last 7 years in a row on track.



    Ed Carpenter racing team has been 2nd, 2nd, 1st the last 3 years here too.

    Think Ed jumping in car for this race is sign he thinks he can win. +3000 seems way over odds to me.

  31. #31
    5mike5
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    Ok Added Carpenter 2800
    Last edited by 5mike5; 07-19-19 at 10:08 AM. Reason: Forgot to add odds

  32. #32
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    OK Opti, you talked me into it:

    COLTON HERTA +3300
    ED CARPENTER +3300
    RYAN HUNTER REAY +700

  33. #33
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    OK Opti, you talked me into it:

    COLTON HERTA +3300
    ED CARPENTER +3300
    RYAN HUNTER REAY +700
    I shut up last race and didnt explain and felt bad afterward.

    What are the chances I will feel the same way after doing that super sales job post race this week?

  34. #34
    unlearn
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    Thanks for the tips opti but I see they already had p1 so odds are down at the moment. I'll get down on RHR when ofds are reposted. So far I just have Bell +135 aggregate for 400 (200 on +140 @ 5d and 200 @ +130 on Bovada. Loving Kyle too but will have to work it in with a pstlay, perhaps RHR h2h?

  35. #35
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by unlearn View Post
    Thanks for the tips opti but I see they already had p1 so odds are down at the moment. I'll get down on RHR when ofds are reposted. So far I just have Bell +135 aggregate for 400 (200 on +140 @ 5d and 200 @ +130 on Bovada. Loving Kyle too but will have to work it in with a pstlay, perhaps RHR h2h?
    Probably lucky.

    He didn't qualify too well and will probably be more like +1200 now

    Said they could not get balance right for quali but thought they would be good in the race.

    Will check out practice this evening at same time as the race will be run.

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