[Optional]

Early odds are;

Hamilton +175
Vettel +225
Botass +325
Leclerc +325
Verstappen +2000
Gasley +10000



This race seems to come up with surprises every year. Weird twisty inner city Baku street track.

If Verstappen and Gasley are similar odds for fastest lap when that market comes out, I am going to take that.

Leaning Leclerc as race winner. He was special here on debut last year in the Sauber, picking up a top 6. Probably a race that helped seal the Ferrari drive for him.

[eaglesfan371]

16% house edge there

Wish there was better liquidity in racing

Know you’re running rough this year, hope you get a solid W here

[Optional]

16% house edge there

Wish there was better liquidity in racing

Know you’re running rough this year, hope you get a solid W here

I'm killing it in F1 actually. Hit 2 out of 3 fastest laps and 2 out of 3 race winners so far this season. And ahead on NASCAR and Indycar too. MotoGP is only series I have bet and not ahead on so far.

Also still ahead for the year on A-League by a couple of hundred.

But thanks for the concern.



And do you mean 16% house edge as in -108/-108 style lines?

Because that would be decent for a multi runner futures market.

And you are listening to JJ too much if you think there is too much vig in motorsport markets to win.

EG: Here is the Bristol NASCAR race markets on race day;

Equivalent to -103/-104 lines!

[eaglesfan371]

Ohhh nice when you consider multiple books!

Congrats and good to hear! Had not seen many sports posts by you so figured wasn’t going too well. Just finished turning $800 into a whole bitcoin today myself after 2 weeks, cash out time.

When I put those F1 odds into the futures house edge calculator, it spit out 16%.

[Optional]

Ohhh nice when you consider multiple books!

Congrats and good to hear! Had not seen many sports posts by you so figured wasn’t going too well. Just finished turning $800 into a whole bitcoin today myself after 2 weeks, cash out time.

When I put those F1 odds into the futures house edge calculator, it spit out 16%.

I don't do many threads with picks. Rarely seems to end up well when i do lol


It comes out at 16% because you aren't including all 20 drivers in the market.

It will come out in the 20% to 30% range at most books.

But there is so much opinion in motor racing markets it only takes a handful of books to effectively halve that rate.

If you compare that to golf futures, or tennis tourney futures I think you will find motorsport suddenly appears quite sharp compared apples for apples with similar style markets.

[reigle9]

lol @ fukkin ron jaworski explaining edge to opti

dont ya just wanna smash him in the fukkin face once?

[5mike5]

lol @ fukkin ron jaworski explaining edge to opti

dont ya just wanna smash him in the fukkin face once?

Lol

So true

[reigle9]

make a talladega thread for me to post my hate lol

also kurt/steamboat 2150

[eaglesfan371]

lol @ fukkin ron jaworski explaining edge to opti

dont ya just wanna smash him in the fukkin face once?

I’ll be at Dover May 5th for the race.

Come fight but try not to get arrested for disorderly conduct on the flight over.

[unlearn]

I knew it was only a matter of time until he started fagging up our racing forum too.

[reigle9]

i might've invited him

idk, my b

[Optional]

I’ll be at Dover May 5th for the race.

Come fight but try not to get arrested for disorderly conduct on the flight over.

Let's get someone there to Facebook Live it for us all!!!!

[reigle9]

I’ll be at Dover May 5th for the race.

Come fight but try not to get arrested for disorderly conduct on the flight over.

i fly first class like an adult, it's pretty much impossible once the flight takes off

[Optional]

i fly first class like an adult, it's pretty much impossible once the flight takes off

There's still that hitch of having to make it from the airport bar to the plane with ID still. Might be tricky.

[unlearn]

opti taking the piss out of reigle like he's eaglesfan in players talk

[unlearn]

LeClerc +350 (Bovada)

[Optional]

LeClerc +350 (Bovada)

He's my early lean for both the race and fast lap.

But with top 4 all similar odds, I think I will take the risk and wait until Saturday to bet him.

Hoping Mercedes come out with a strong first practice and send markets going their way over night.




Leclerc took the Sauber to 6th last year, so if the car is good enough on this track to do that, you'd have to think Kimi is a great chance at top 10 in it this year.

And if he can be a top 10 finisher he has a shot at fastest lap too. He may need late tires like Gasley did last race to nab it, but if he is in the top 10 he has a shot at it. And should be 100-1 plus for kimi fastest lap at a guess.

[unlearn]

Kimi at 100/1? take my $ please

[reigle9]

There's still that hitch of having to make it from the airport bar to the plane with ID still. Might be tricky.

i'm gonna need an assistant

[reigle9]

opti taking the piss out of reigle like he's eaglesfan in players talk

he's not even joking

i lost my fuckin passport on the way to the plane

i had lost my license card way before and was too lazy to get a new one, was using my pp as id

lol booze (and vape pens)

[unlearn]

Opti, what are the chances we can get an SBR sanctioned boxing match at the next AC bash between the not southern gentleman and the resident cuck?

[Optional]

Kimi at 100/1? take my $ please

He was 125-1 for fastest lap when it opened last race.

Think it's a good chance to be near that again.

If he practices well as I expect, it will halve by race day though.

i'm gonna need an assistant

I'd be there if I could. Shame it doesn't match up with the early June WSOP poker tourney. Race plus that might be just enough to get me to spend the dollars.

[reigle9]

He was 125-1 for fastest lap when it opened last race.

Think it's a good chance to be near that again.

If he practices well as I expect, it will halve by race day though.



I'd be there if I could. Shame it doesn't match up with the early June WSOP poker tourney. Race plus that might be just enough to get me to spend the dollars.

pj guy on twitter i think said he was going too

he seems like someone i wouldnt hate that bad

[reigle9]

Opti, what are the chances we can get an SBR sanctioned boxing match at the next AC bash between the not southern gentleman and the resident cuck?

i could never hit that dude, id only box someone i could lose to

id box, penetrate, what's his name, idk im retarded...guido from new england, i'd box him

https://getyarn.io/yarn-clip/1ae4b47...6-731fd6fa9514

[unlearn]

To be fair you probably have cirrhosis and could be dropped with a good hook to the body, but the chances eaglecuck can throw a proper punch are about the same as him getting a job.

[reigle9]

yeah im not looking to be hit at all, fukk that

again, greaseball shit

[reigle9]

gonna see if a tinder girl wants to get a case of beer and go to the lake

you know that's a sure thing if a scumbag wants to drink on easter lol

[Optional]

gonna see if a tinder girl wants to get a case of beer and go to the lake

you know that's a sure thing if a scumbag wants to drink on easter lol

Families traditionally get together and drink our heads off over Easter. Or go on a holiday and drink our heads off.

Booze buses everywhere over Easter down here.

You'd love it.

[reigle9]

got sammy adams, porch rocker, because, marketing

[reigle9]

obv aus is an alcoholic state

[reigle9]

really the only way to deal with the police state i suppose

cucks

[Optional]

obv aus is an alcoholic state

Un-cloistered is the word you are looking for.

really the only way to deal with the police state i suppose

cucks

We love rules.

Don't give the rednecks guns.

Don't let the cops kill people. Even the blacks.

Lets drink safely.

[reigle9]

disgusting

[reigle9]

you and your entire \*\*\*\*\*\* country wouldnt exist if not for those rednecks

[Optional]

Australia is the GOP nightmare really.

We mostly vote conservative.

But we like gun control.

But we demand abortion rights.

And we convict cops who kill.